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H I Sutton

@CovertShores

Mar 15

**BREAKING**

Russian Landing Ships seen heading towards Odessa, today. Now on Naval News. This is fluid, but may update as we learn more.

navalnews.com/naval-news/202…

https://twitter.com/CovertShores/status/1503732767569420296

You heard it here first

https://twitter.com/CovertShores/status/1503732767569420296

https://twitter.com/bhl/status/1503785138509033480

https://twitter.com/bhl/status/1503785138509033480

Read 6 tweets

H I Sutton

@CovertShores

Mar 15

**NEW ARTICLE**

#China has an ambition to expand and modernize its navy on a scale not seen in any other country

so...
Massive Expansion Of Important Shipyard near Shanghai

Ref Type-003 aircraft carrier etc

navalnews.com/naval-news/202…

See for yourself on Google Earth

Caveats apply.. the plan

Read 4 tweets

H I Sutton

@CovertShores

Mar 7

#Russia's forgotten super-missile boat in Black Sea, the BORA Class 'hovercraft'

Thread/

We haven't heard much about these but they are an interesting design. The most powerful missile boats of the Cold War.

Only two Pr. 1239 built, both now based in Sevastopol, Crimea.

Primary armament is 8 x 3M-80E "Moskit", aka SS-N-22 SUNBURN supersonic anti-ship missiles. Really impressive weapons, famous in the 1990s.

Same armament as the Sovremenny Class destroyer, much heavier than other fast attack craft (FACs)

Here it is next to a Tarantul class missile corvette and Buyan class ships

Read 8 tweets

H I Sutton

@CovertShores

Mar 6

@detresfa_

**UPDATE**
Thread. Expected #Russian Landing Near #Odessa, Ukraine

Have categorized the landing beaches using Open Sources. Not the same as a real beach survey, but can give you an idea of the issues.

Karolino-Buhaz would be the war-game answer.
nod @detresfa_ @SimTack

Not clear how much beach reconnaissance Russia has been able to do. But they should anyway know these beaches well.

Based purely on geography, the armchair answer would be for Russia to land at Karolino-Buhaz.

But that has a lot of urban cover for defenders and the assault could easily get bogged down. It is unclear what the Ukrainian defenses are like here.

Read 6 tweets

H I Sutton

@CovertShores

Mar 4

Russia has amassed a sizable amphibious landing ship fleet near Odessa, Ukraine. Will they land?

Quick explainer thread on Russian Navy amphibious landings capabilities in Black Sea

Usual caveats

The large landing ships they have are not like the western model of a landing-ship-dock.

If the ships are to remain offshore, where they are safer, then the vehicles have to be able to swim ashore on their own

The swimming 'tanks' are less well armored and armed. Basically infantry vehicles.

Each ship can carry 10-12 depending on a lot of variables.

And these 'swimming landings' are very weather dependent. They don't like waves.

Also vert vulnerable to anti-tank missiles

Read 14 tweets

H I Sutton

@CovertShores

Feb 25

@detresfa_

**UPDATE** Feb 25 #Russian Navy activity ref #Ukraine

w/@detresfa_

Highlights:
* Amphibious landings west of #Mariupol, coord with land-based attacks
* civilian ships attacked
* Attack on Snake Island Feb 24 - SLAVA cruiser

**LIKELY** amphibious assaults targeting Odessa