My gut say Aussie uranium investors are spooked of getting slapped by more capital raises. $bmn trading near deal price of 22c. Who’s next to raise? Call me.. I might be interested in playing
Last commodity cycle I was at sprott and we owned 10-20% of companies we liked. So they would always call us and restrict us and discuss capital raising. We would give our support. Offer lead order and took down prorata so never diluted. Nice position to be in.
This cycle I often own fuck all of these companies. Max a just over a percent for most. I rarely get a call and but get a bit nervous and feel the need to take profits after large runs. Knowing the rally killing capital raising are likely coming and ya walk up to halted stocks…
Nothing like getting whacked for 10-20% to help make it easy for over paid investment banksters to fund the company you’ve been supporting.
I look at the fees they get and it turns my stomach sometimes. When I ran the sprott resource corp fund I once help raise $100mln…
Did the intro and toured the project with the investor. Got them to put $100mm into the company sprott was invested in. Charged them only 1% fee and credited the fee to the sprott fund I was running. Fucking rare you’ll see that happen. All to avoid conflicts of interest
And be as fair to the company I invested in and also my fund holders
Anyhow. For new investor in resources. Just know that every fucking time we see new highs and a good run in any commodity the junior shitco’s especially ones with huge capex issues will line up to capital raise and it will stop the rally. Every time.. every sector
So, take profits on big runs. Be ready to buy back near deal price. Hopefully get some trading gains so you can enjoy a nice dinner and good bottle of wine like the management of your shitco surely will with their gout toed, Versace shoe wearing investment banking whore…
You can tell by my choice of language I don’t expect many calls from their kind. :)
Pardon all the typos. Distracted this morning and rushing
The most successful seem to be one’s that truly don’t give a fuck about anything, just completing the deal and cashing cheques. Kinda people that don’t mind selling crap to a grandma justifying it as she’s old should know better. Anything to not just earn but out earn all others
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I often get asked what my opinion on Trudeau is. I don’t think he’s any more corrupt than our typical leader. He’s just not that sharp… Like most Canadians I’m skeptics about any politicians improving my life. I prefer to focus on working hard and controlling my destiny
Happy to pay my taxes and I think I’m very fortunate to live in a relatively free country with out fear of repression. I can call our leaders out and nearly every name on the book and not be tossed out a window in the night. For that I’m grateful because I think they all stink
I don’t ever care to vote for a leader. I would prefer to vote for a great administrator that truly seeks to implement the will of the people. More voting on issues with referendums and less picking between three shitty candidates that never have the majority support
Nearly everyone in my generation swore off #gold and #silver as relics in the late 90’s and piled into the future.. #tech stocks and #internet related businesses #dot-coms
Nearly everyone got their assess handed to them and destroyed a good chunk of their early savings
Savings that could have compounded greatly for them and worth a fortune 25 years latter had it been prudently invested in counter cyclical quality companies at the right time. But, contrarian investors performance, by definition, can only be achieved by a few.
Assessing / estimating #uranium demand isn’t about looking at the current spot market. When I talk about demand exploding, I’m looking at restarts, life extensions and new builds.
When we see announcements that Belgium or Finland are adding 10-20 yrs of life to their reactors
That instantly creates a large and unexpected jump in future demand. The #nuclear industry moves very slowly. The decision to extend life to reactors were not in the WNA supply demand forecasts that were already long term bullish. They are now wildly bullish…
But these utilities will still make purchases in steps. Official extension approvals must be papered, budgeting and financing sorted and approved. And the first effort to seek out future fuel supplies will be talking with fuel buyers who will put out RFP’s to mining companies
Another major extension for a couple #nuclear reactors. Instead of 5yrs, 8yrs for these two it will be yrs each. So, was 13yrs x 500k lbs, now 56years x 500k lbs of #uranium ~21.5 mln lbs of added demand. Just like that… world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/Fortu…
Restarts, extensions and new builds will just keep coming. With these Finnish reactors having been planned to shut down in a relatively short time they will likely have little to no surplus fuel beyond the expected life. Given the 2 yr fabrication cycle and obvious concerns…
About availability of conversion, enrichment and fabrication capacity due to Russian sanctions and Geo risk, aggressive #uranium contracting will need to occur quickly to make sure supplies are available and in the fuel cycle asap
Take note: Fuel buyers have been warned for years. We flat out told them this would happen. That they need to just be reasonable and fund 1st world #uranium mining production. That they should prepare for a bull market and new nuclear builds, extensions and restarts.
We told them that they should rely on Kazakhstan so much and certainly not Russia. But they put small dollars ahead of national security and for that matter global security.
We started finding SPUT $u.un $sruuf to buy #uranium because we could see this coming.
But they refused to buy. I’ve heard how angry some are and stubborn. Thinking they can wait out investors and somehow the price would come back down.
Even the worlds second largest producer argued in conference calls that we wouldn’t get a spike in pricing