In the Canadian petrostate, climate policies aiming to reduce domestic emissions are adopted time and again in exchange for more oil and gas exports. After all, the emissions when those fossil fuels are burned are not our problem. 🧵
Exhibit 1: Federal approval of #TMX pipeline in 2016 exchange for Alberta’s agreement to raise its carbon price from $30 to $50/tonne (agreement that was later withdrawn but wasn’t constitutionally required anyway.)
Exhibit 2: Never publicly confirmed but likely that federal approval of Pacific NW LNG was either a condition of or at least helped get BC to sign on to the carbon pricing plan in the Pan Canadian Framework.
Exhibit 3: My favourite. The Government of Canada declared a climate emergency, then purchased the TMX pipeline the next day. Bonus: "future profits" from the pipeline will all go toward climate action in Canada!
Exhibit 4: Today Newfoundland withdrew its moratorium on offshore wind. Hours later the fed govt approved the Bay du Nord offshore oil project. Probably just optics in that case, but can't hurt when 2 days before IPCC reiterated new oil/gas projects aren't consistent with 1.5C.
Sometimes these are openly presented as political concessions necessary to advance climate action. In other cases, I’m sure well-intentioned folks have told themselves it’s the political price that must be paid for climate action in Canada. And paid, and paid.
Maybe they’re right. Maybe the rest of the world will put our oil and gas industries out of business. I hope so. Because in the meantime Canada just keeps adding more fossil fuels to the global fire, even as we congratulate ourselves for climate leadership.
Correction, climate emergency declaration was before reapproval in 2019.
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One last comparison of the parties’ #climate plans in #elxn44! This time updates based on LPC and NDP platform costing. As with original thread (pasted at end), I haven’t covered everything, incl adaptation, buildings, climate finance, green growth $$ (might do that one yet). /1
Big update for NDP. Platform said NDP “supported” carbon pricing but didn't specify price. This led many (incl me) to question impact and cost of the NDP plan. But budget matches Lib price schedule - $170/tonne in 2030. That will deliver signif and cost-effective reductions. /2
NDP promised to reduce or eliminate unfair industry C pricing “loopholes” but I'm not seeing a new revenue stream for that (open to correction!). So, budget suggests NDP plan will be more effective than previously implied, but obfuscation on price, fairness is disappointing. /3
We’ve now got the 3 main national parties’ climate platforms. (Greens haven’t got much on website, so will go with a 8/9 press release here and there.) How do they compare? Great that lots of detail, so 🧵will be long. Still can’t promise to cover everything. #cdnpoli#elxn44 /1
Cutting to the chase, Cons plan is better than in 2019, but Lib and NDP both promise much more ambitious policies and less support for fossil fuels. NDP builds on Lib initiatives, w tweaks, some important (fossil fuel subsidies). There’s a table to compare at end of 🧵! /2
TARGETS: Libs submitted new target of 40-45% below 2005 by 2030. Cons said they’ll meet “Canada’s Paris commitment” but that’s original -30% target. #ParisAgreement doesn't allow backtracking, so would mean going to #COP26 with a stated intention of non-compliance. NDP -50%. /3
The good: $ to support worker transition in oil/gas-dependent provinces; more ambitious methane red'ns by 2030; net zero electricity by 2035. More $ for EV purchases because, hey, it's election time. /3
This is integral to the fed govt's v important carbon budget legislation (Bill C-12). Independent advice is critical to ensure govts set appropriate climate targets and stay on course. Can also provide a shared foundation of knowledge for parliamentarians. But.../1
There are different approaches. The UK Climate Change Committee is heavily weighted toward researchers, most from academia. theccc.org.uk/about/ /2
The Cdn one announced today is more diverse with representatives from Indigenous communities, govt, labour, ENGOs, business, academia. /3 canada.ca/en/services/en…
In anticipation of a possible 2021 Canadian election, with a new fed climate plan on the table, and a new Paris Ag target to come by April, some thoughts on partisanship and #climate. Bear with me for 🧵, two proposals at end. #canpoli /1
It's tempting and easy to play partisan politics with climate for 5 reasons. 1. Most voters have no idea how far current policies are from what's needed. So parties still debate marginal policy shifts even as they *say* they are committed to 2/1.5C. /2
2. Climate action will have uneven costs on sectors, workers, provinces. They fight change. The oil ind has spent big $ on denial, obfuscation - with success. Parties still want those votes so are afraid to tell the truth. There WILL be new jobs but beneficiaries are unknown /3
That Canada's Environment Minister would celebrate this initiative using Shell's "Carbon Neutral" framing is deeply troubling to me, for many reasons. /1
$0.02/litre is less than $9/tonne CO2. *IF* we still have credible (i.e., additional, lasting) offsets at that rate in Canada it speaks volumes to the failure of our government to adopt policies that move Canada, cost-effectively, toward our Paris Agreement target. /2
Worse, this reinforces the individual responsibility narrative -- "hey, just pay 2 cents more per litre and you can save the planet!" -- and in a way that undermines public support for much more costly *government* actions that are needed (still good investment!) /3