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Apr 17 • 4 tweets • 5 min read
The #Chechen TikTok squads are starting to post victory videos around #Mariupol. This almost certainly means the western pocket has fallen and the one around #Azovstal will fall soon. Given the speed of collapse in west the last UAF probably only have 2-3 days before it’s over.
#Russia provided an ultimatum to #Mariupol defenders in the #Azovstal plant and the last pocket of defense for the city. Surrender on April 17 by 6:00 am Moscow time or be killed. That time has come and gone. They have not surrendered. reuters.com/world/europe/r…
Now seeing reports that despite the passing of the #Russian ultimatum, #Mariupol #Ukrainian defenders are still holed up in #Azovstal. @Reuters stating that fighting has subsided and no strikes were taking place. reuters.com/world/europe/r…
Here is the RIA report on the #Russian #Mariupol ultimatum. Later it was claimed by RIA that President Zelensky forbade the troops in the city from surrendering. No available evidence to support the second report other than the RIA claim.

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More from @AggregateOsint

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Apr 18
Overnight #Russian Missile strikes hit several cities throughout #Ukraine in the early morning today. 🇷🇺 struck the following targets: In Kramatorsk 8 residential buildings were destroyed, civilian infrastructure was damaged and an education facility was badly damaged.
In #Lviv 6 people were killed and 11 were wounded. 40 cars were damaged or destroyed and a hotel was damaged. No apparent military targets were destroyed.
These strikes are likely the result of cruise missile strikes. An alert was sent out overnight after the Strategic Bomber Bear NET went active, which usually precedes these attacks. More footage from the rooftops of #Lviv this morning.
Read 5 tweets
OSINT Aggregator Profile picture
Apr 17
Actual close up of the #Moskva post explosion. We are showing a side by side of new pic and a file photo for reference. Looks like it was #Ukraine #NeptuneMissiles that sank the ship. At water line 2/3 the way fwd looks like 2 holes. Consistent with anti-ship missile targeting. ImageImage
Additional, lower quality photo of the #Moskva burning and sinking in the Black Sea. Image
Infographic provides an overview of where the various weapons systems were onboard the #Russian #Moskva. Looks like the #Ukrainian #Neptune hit dead center of the ship at the water line and caused a fire to break out aft of the bridge as evidenced by significant smoke damage. Image
Read 4 tweets
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Apr 17
Latest ISW map of #Mariupol. The pocket around the #Azovstal plant is collapsing quickly. Very likely that #Ukrainian troops there have little to no ammo. Some fighting from holdouts around #Primorsky district, but likely just clearing ops at this point. Image
Lack of significant arms or ammo is also supported by the low level TU-22 bombing runs earlier today. As well as the mass gatherings of #Chechen fighters in #Mariupol for more propaganda videos. It may take several more days for #Russia to capture of kill every last fighter.
However, for all intents and purposes, including historical records, the battle of #Mariupol should be over within the next 48 hours or so.
Read 4 tweets
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Apr 13
#Ukraine has accomplished a major victory around #Kiev and the defenders of #Mariupol have held out for far longer than anyone expected. Nothing will change how history views those battles. However, there is reason to be cautious about the next stage of conflict. Thread/
First, #Russia has given up on capturing #Ukraine intact. It was clear from their original attack that they genuinely believed that #Ukrainians would be waving #Russian flags to greet them. They attacked very little infrastructure and attempted to merely capture key locations.
Second, #Russia wasted some of its most elite troops in thunder runs into the middle of cities and towns or unsupported air assaults that destroyed an amazing amount of #Russian combat power. Now that those formations are gone #Russia has changed tactics in multiple ways.
Read 12 tweets

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