Ted Darling Profile picture
Apr 22 11 tweets 2 min read
Hello Friday and the week to date!

$USD +0.3%
$CNY -1.27%
$GOLD -1.35%

$BTC +2.0%
$COFFEE +1.95%
$CORN +1.45%
$COPPER -0.4%
$WTIC -2.95%
$NATGAS -4.7%

$DAX +2.4%
$CAC +1.9%
$NIKK +1.7%
$COMPQ -1.3%
$HSI -3.9%
$SSEC -4.1%

$TNX +3.15%

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia closed the week on a ↘️🎵

$NIKK 27105 -1.65%
$SSEC 3087 +0.25%
$TWII 17025 -0.6%
$HSI 20614 -0.35%
$KOSPI 2705 -0.85%
$IDX 7226 -0.7%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 7473 -1.55%

India ↘️
$BSE 47555 -0.6%
Europe ↘️ in the open hours

$DAX 14320 -1.25%
$FTSE 7599 -0.4%
$CAC 6625 -1.35%
$AEX 721 -1.1%
$IBEX 87535 -0.65%
$MIB 24499 -1.25%
$SMI 12300 unch
$MOEX -0.5% 🪆

$VSTOXX 24.54
🇺🇸 futures drifting ↘️ after yesterday's epic fail

$ES 4388 4385 -0.2%
$NQ 12703 -0.15%
$RTY 1988 -0.2%

$VIX 22.90
Metals under pressure ↘️

$GOLD 1949 unch
$SILVER 24.34 -1.15%
$COPPER 4.66 -0.8%
$PLAT 961 -0.8%
$PALL 2423 +0.1%
$ALI 3292 -0.2%
$ZINC 4461 +0.25%

$GVZ 18.22
Hydrocarbons ↘️

$WTIC 101.64 -2.05%
$BRENT 106.27 -1.9%
$GASO 1096 -2.1%
$NATGAS 6.915 -0.6%

$OVX 49.86
Grains ↘️

$WHEAT 1055 -1.15%
$CORN 793 -0.8%
$SOYB 1732 -0.8%
$SUGAR 19.66 -1.1%

$COFFEE 226 -0.95% ☕️
$USD ↗️ into this #riskoff morning

$USD 101.047 +0.43%
$EUR 1.0798 -0.35%
$GBP 1.289 -1.09% ⬅️
$AUD 0.73 -0.9%
$USDJPY 128.26 -0.1%
$USDCHF 0.956 +0.26%
$USDCAD 1.266 +0.68%
$USDRUB 73.31 -1.97 🪆💪
#cryptocurrency ↘️

$BTC 40435 -3.6%
$ETH 3001 -3.25%
UST yields ↗️ with the 5Y cracking 3%
10/2s to 18 BPS

MOVE 130.69 🔺😱

2Y 2.762
5Y 3.03 ⬅️⬅️
10Y 2.949
30Y 2.953

Global 10Ys mostly ↗️
JPN 0.248 -0.006
GILT 2.01 -0.002
Powell the 🎉💩 reminded investors - AGAIN - that he is taking the 👊🥣 away, and risk is clearly off

The 5Y cracking 3% is significant 🛑

It's time to heed the ⚠️

Raise 💦

Have a super profitable 💰 day and a GREAT weekend!

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More from @tdarling1

Apr 24
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮
Global macro review 4/24/2022

1/11

We got a parade of FOMC members this week, starting with Bullard 🐻 and ending with Powell 💩

Their message was clear - no 👊🥣 for you!

The equity market 🤮, $CRB ↘️, $TNX ↗️, and $USD 🚀

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
1a/11

Indeed the Federal Reserve balance sheet ↘️ -9.5B this week Image
2/11

With the pending 💦🍋, the $USD has become more valuable - raising havoc around the 🌏

$USD +0.9% (w) +5.8% (T) = 3 months
$USDCHF 3.0% (w) +4.9% (T)
$USDJPY +1.7% (w) +13.05% (T)
$GBP -1.75% (w) -5.3% (T)
$AUD -2.1% (w) +1.0% (T)

Chart: $USD ripping to new cycle highs Image
Read 23 tweets
Apr 10
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮
Global Macro Review - 4/10/2022

1/11

The 💦🍋 has begun as the #FOMC drains the 👊🥣

And they are coming after YOU dear investor

"'The Fed needs to 'inflict more losses' on the stock market in order to rein in soaring inflation.’”

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/11

Realizing the Fed bid is no more, bonds headed for the ⛰️⛰️

10/2s steepened ↗️ to 18.6 BPS from #inversion the week earlier

MOVE 125.96 🛗🔺

Chart: $TNX with a new cycle high 2.72% - there’s no reason this cannot go to 5-6%
3/11

Bond ETFs go 'no bid' as the 🐻🐻 continue to roam

$TLT -5.5% (w) -12.05% (T) = 3 mos
$BNDD -5.45% (w) -2.2% (T)
$LQD -3.2% (w) -9.65% (T)
$HYG -2.1% (w) -6.55% (T)
$TIP -1.2% (w) -3.65% (T)
$IVOL +1.6% (w) -3.75% (T) ⬅️

Chart: Despite #inflation, $TIP no place to hide
Read 17 tweets
Apr 8
Hello Friday!

Week to date

$BTC -5.45%
$EUR -1.5%
$GOLD +0.75%
$USD +1.15%

$CAC -3.35%
$NIKK -2.8%
$COMPQ -2.55%
$KOPSI -1.6%

$GASO -4.2%
$WTIC -3.35%
$COFFEE -1.05%
$PLAT -3.1%
$COPPER +0.25%
$CORN +2.05%
$WHEAT +4.15%
$NATGAS +11.2%

$TNX +27.5 BPS

Let's dig into the 🧮!
After a ↘️ week, Asia closed Friday ↗️

$NIKK 26986 +0.35%
$SSEC 3252 +0.45%
$TWII 17285 +0.6%
$HSI 21857 +0.2%
$KOSPI 2700 +0.15%
$IDX 7210 +1.15% ⬅️

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7478 +0.45%

India ↗️
$BSE 59444 +0.7%
Europe catching a bid ↗️ into the weekend

$DAX 14321 +1.7%
$FTSE 7641 +1.2%
$CAC 6578 +1.8%
$AEX 727 +1.45%
$IBEX 8600 +1.55%
$MIB 24843 +2.2% ⬅️
$SMI 12465 +0.75%
$MOEX 2623 -0.5% 🪆

$VSTOXX 32.53
Read 11 tweets
Apr 6
Hello 🐫 day!

As if the relentless ↗️ in yields was not enough, #Brainard reminded participants that the #FOMC is hell bent on removing the 👊🥣

What 🐫 lurks today?

Let's dig into the 🧮!
🪦 🧹 in China is over and Asia closed ↘️

$NIKK 27350 -1.6%
$SSEC 3284 unch
$TWII 17522 -0.6%
$HSI 22016 -2.15% 🐫
$KOSPI 2735 -0.9%
$IDX 7104 -0.6%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 7490 -0.5%

India ↘️
$BSE 59666 -0.85%
Europe opens ↘️ for a 2nd day 🐫

$DAX 14211 -1.5%
$FTSE 7565 -0.6%
$CAC 6559 -1.3%
$AEX 726 -1.35%
$IBEX 8534 -1.05%
$MIB 24552 -1.65%
$SMI 12326 -0.4%
$MOEX 2668 +0.2% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 29.16 🔺
Read 11 tweets
Apr 5
Hello Tuesday!

$HYG +0.75%
$WTIC +4.05%
$TSLA +5.5%

As call buyers 🍋 the 🩳

Is this deep #Quad4?
Asking for a friend reading a themes deck in the desert

Let's dig into the 🧮!
China closed for Qingming Festival, also known as Tomb Sweeping Day

$NIKK 27788 +0.2%
$SSEC closed
$TWII 17625 -0.4%
$HSI 22502 closed
$KOSPI 2759 +0.05%
$IDX 7148 +0.45%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7528 +0.2%

India ↘️
$BSE 60397 -0.35%
Europe trading ↔️

$DAX 14555 +0.25%
$FTSE 7548 -0.15%
$CAC 6704 -0.4%
$AEX 742 +0.55%
$IBEX 8577 +0.65% ⬅️ 🇪🇸
$MIB 25201 +0.1%
$SMI 12345 +0.05%
$MOEX 2720 -2.4% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 26.73
Read 11 tweets
Apr 4
Hello Monday!

Post #opex
Post #NFP

With #PMIs and 3 Fed speakers beginning with Brainard on Tuesday and Bullard 🦅 on Thursday, today may be the quietest day of the week.

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia started the week 💪↗️

$NIKK 27736 +0.25%
$SSEC 3283 +0.95%
$TWII 17626 -0.4% 🔻
$HSI 22509 +2.15% ⬅️
$KOSPI 2758 +0.65%
$IDX 7116 +0.55%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7514 +0.25%

India 💪↗️
$BSE 60408 +1.9%
Good move to cover your 🩳
Europe trading ↔️ at the open

$DAX 14397 -0.35%
$FTSE 7554 +0.2%
$CAC 6677 -0.1%
$AEX 732 +0.6%
$IBEX 25127 -0.15%
$MIB 25132 -0.1%
$SMI 12288 +0.9% ⬅️
$MOEX 2773 +0.5% 🪆

$VSTOXX 28.50
Read 11 tweets

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