Jeff Seldin Profile picture
May 16 16 tweets 9 min read
NEW: @POTUS approves request to "reestablish a small, persistent US military presence in #Somalia" a senior administration official confirms to reporters
NEW: Senior administration official decries decision by ex President Trump to withdraw US troops from #Somalia

"Since then #AlShabaab...has unfortunately only grown stronger. It has increased the tempo of its attacks, including against US personnel"
#alShabaab remains #alQaida's "largest, wealthiest & deadly affiliate" per a senior administration official
The decision to withdraw from #Somalia never seemed to sit well w/@USAfricaCommand

From July 2021:
More from March 2022:

"What we're doing is not providing sufficient pressure & the best we can do is maintain a secure bases we return to...We can't really get at #alShabaab" " per @USAfricaCommand's Gen Townsend
US troops to be based in #Somalia "will involve repositioning troops already stationed in neighboring countries" per the senior administration official

"This will not change the scope of the mission that our special operators have conducted in Somalia"
Implementing decision to base some US troops back in #Somalia "will be done in consultation with the Somali gvt, indeed with the gvt that is emerging from an overall successful & important election process that occurred over the weekend" per the senior administration official
Move to send US troops back to #Somalia part of "aligning our global counterterrorism efforts with where the threat to Americans is most acute" per the senior administration official

"#alShabaab in Somalia simply has to be among our highest priorities on that score"
"#alShabaab has taken advantage of Somali instability & fractious politics...it exerts influence essentially throughout the country of #Somalia" per the senior administration official
"We're concerned about the potential for #alShabaab's upward battlefield & financial trajectory to generate more space for the group to plan & ultimately to execute external attacks" per senior administration official
NEW: US senior administration says new contingent of US forces to be based out of #Somalia will be under 500

Adds it will "take a little bit of time to reach that full implementation stage"
Some of what @FBI Director Christopher Wray had to say in September 2021
Per intelligence shared w/@UN's terror monitoring team, as of early this year #alShabaab had 7,000 & 12,000 fighters in #Somalia - up from earlier US estimates of 5,000-10,000

Same UN reports indicated Shabaab is able to collect $2 million - $10 million in revenue per month

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More from @jseldin

May 17
NEW: @DoD_IG report on US-#Afghanistan raises questions about Washington's "over-the-horizon" #counterterrorism strategy

Need for US planes/drones to fly long distances, loss of human intelligence "has significantly reduced the DoD’s
capacity to track terrorist targets"
"As of the end of the quarter [March 31], the DoD had not conducted any strikes on terrorist targets in #Afghanistan since its withdrawal last year" per @DoD_IG acting IG Sean O'Donnell

re: #ISIS #alQaida
#ISIS-#Khorasan estimated to have 2,000 members operating in #Afghanistan, per @DoD_IG citing @DefenseIntel

That's about half of estimates shared by the @UN in February
Read 10 tweets
May 16
NEW: Few details on the decision to send fewer than 500 troops back to #Somalia - but focus will remain on training/bolstering #Somali forces, per @PentagonPresSec

"This is a repositioning of forces..."
Sending US forces into #Somalia periodically had become "inefficient & increasingly unsustainable" per @PentagonPresSec
#Russia, #Putin conducting war in #Ukraine in an "utterly brutal way" per @PentagonPresSec, reminding world Putin can end it now if he chooses
Read 11 tweets
May 16
Day 82 of #Russia-#Ukraine - Fight focused on the #Donbas w/both sides exchanged artillery fire

"They [#Russia] did not make significant territorial gains..." per a senior US defense official
NEW: US seeing heavy fighting in #Donetsk w/#Russia making small gains to the west, per a senior US defense official

Could be an attempt to link up with other Russian forces
"No progress" on #Russia|n attempts to cross #Donetsk River, per a senior US defense official

"They have been stymied, just about every effort"
Read 18 tweets
May 10
NEW: #Russia invasion of #Ukraine - Russian ground forces making "slow and uneven" in #Donbas, w/airstrikes ongoing there & in #Mariupol, per a senior US defense official

"Limited stand-off strikes" near #Odesa, official adds
#Russia increased # of sorties to over 300 in past 24 hours, per a senior US defense official
Towns & villages changing hands still - "There's a lot of back and forth" per a senior US defense official
Read 20 tweets
May 10
Happening now: Senate Armed Services Committee Worldwide Threats hearing...

Testimony from @ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines & @DefenseIntel Dir Lt Gen Scott Berrier
SASC Chairman @SenJackReed on US intelligence sharing in #Russia-#Ukraine war:

"Intelligence officials are understandably cautious about revealing hard-won insights on adversaries, but this strategy has proven highly effective..."
"...This is a great example of competing effectively in the information domain, and I hope we will continue to make use of this kind of creative tradecraft" per @SenJackReed
Read 53 tweets
May 6
US-#Ukraine troop training update:

+220 trained on M777 #howitzers
+150 training on the Howitzers

15 completed trained on mobile air defense radar systems

60 trained in armored personnel carriers, w/50 still training

...per @PentagonPresSec
Another 20 #Ukraine soldier are completing a week-long training on the #Phoenix #Ghost drones, per @PentagonPresSec

The drones have not yet been delivered to Ukraine...
No US confirmation of #Ukraine claims it targeted/hit the #Russia|n frigate Admiral Makarov

"We've been looking at this all day & we have no information to corroborate those reports" per @PentagonPresSec
Read 9 tweets

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