⚡️ Thread 1/14
"Nord Stream 1 is not advancing 🇪🇺 interests and it is still pumping 🇷🇺 gas exports directly to 🇩🇪, bypassing 🇺🇦. There has never been a better time to shut it down."
our CEO, S. Makogon shares his views in an op-ed for @EURACTIV
2/14 For decades, Putin played hardball with the gas trade, and Europe usually met it with appeasement and acquiescence. In Ukraine, we found it puzzling. Europe depends on Russia for less than half of its gas, but Russia depends on Europe for pretty much all of its revenue.
3/14 When it comes to natural gas, Putin’s pivot to Asia is an empty threat. First of all, Russia’s extensive pipeline network is heavily oriented toward Europe.
4/14 The link to China was added with much fanfare in 2019, but most experts believe it economically unsound, especially if you account for the $55 billion price tag.
5/14 “In a nutshell, the “Power of Siberia” is a very costly window dressing. For the global market, this project gives nothing…Until 2030, the Power of Siberia will not even pay off,” a Russian energy expert, Mikhail Krutikhin @nalymov, explained when the deal was announced.
6/14 The more we consider the market reality, the more absurd the situation looks. Europe holds all the cards, yet Russia is the one spewing threats. Gazprom reduced exports in the fall of 2021, causing the prices to skyrocket. theguardian.com/business/2022/…
7/14 The 🇷🇺 military offensive in 🇺🇦 has now compromised one of the entry points – Sokhranivka – causing downstream effects on the transit volumes to 🇪🇺. Again, the Kremlin is mounting a misinformation campaign, refusing to reroute gas flows, & blaming 🇺🇦 tsoua.com/en/news/the-ac…
8/14 At the Gas TSO of Ukraine (GTSOU), we have proven our reliability as a partner for Europe beyond any possible doubt. Our repair crews have been risking their lives to keep the gas flowing under Russian bombardments for three months now.
9/14 We continue to operate our infrastructure despite the questions from the People of Ukraine, who rightfully wonder why Europe continues to buy Russian energy at one billion euros a day, and why we continue to facilitate this trade. transcripts.cnn.com/show/ctw/date/…
10/14 Our position at GTSOU has not changed. We, as a country, do not buy gas from Russia, and we support President Zelenskyy’s calls for an embargo on Russian energy in Europe. bbc.co.uk/news/world-eur…
11/14 But until it is enacted, or our government announces new policies, we will not be blamed for market disruptions. We will not take active steps to cause our European neighbours downstream problems.
12/14 To demonstrate resolve, refute the efforts at blackmail, and show non-negotiable solidarity with Ukraine, Germany can and should scale back or terminate flows via Nord Stream 1 as a response to Russian efforts to sabotage existing transit routes. biznesalert.com/makogon-europe…
13/14 At the beginning of the war, back in 2014, the West couldn’t muster the will to send heavy weapons to Ukraine. So we were left without the tools we needed to defend ourselves and push back against the Russian invasion. This is no longer the case.
14/14 The world now understands that Putin won't stop until he is stopped. On the energy front too, 🇷🇺 will continue to use the gas trade as a weapon until and unless 🇪🇺 refuses to be pushed around. The time to deploy heavy weapons has come. The time to stop flows via #NS1 is now
“the German People must learn how the intrinsic signalling that came along with the continued failure by Merkel’s government to terminate #NordStream2 was perversely interpreted by putin as a green light to attack Ukraine.” Writes M. Gonchar for @EURACTIV
“With the pipelines of death, the Kremlin had two objectives: to squeeze Ukraine out of the gas transit and cement Gazprom’s hold over European gas markets – controlling transit routes and the commodity. This was never about commerce.”
“As long as Russia depended on Ukraine for gas transit, Putin’s hands were tied, and he couldn’t wage his war. When Nord Stream 1 was launched in 2011, transit via Ukraine was cut. Turk Stream started flowing gas to Europe in 2020. The same story repeated itself.”
We said continuity of transit was Ukraine's biggest non-military barrier to Russian aggression. Now we see it 2/5
We offered as much transit capacity as Europe needed, but Gazprom chose not to use it and blackmail Europe instead. If you ever claimed this was Ukraine's fault, now your public apology would be welcomed 3/5
Indiscriminate shelling of nonmilitary targets, civilian population, and strategic infrastructure by the russian invaders has resulted in a major accident on the Kramatorsk-Donetsk-Mariupol gas pipeline. tsoua.com/news/stan-robo…
2/8 Our system engineers recorded a sharp pressure change in the transmission system and had to shut off the gas flows.
As a result of russian attack, 24 gas distribution stations in the region have no gas supply.
3/8 About 1m consumers in Donetsk & Zaporizhzhia provinces have no gas. Our local teams and the engineering department in our Kyiv HQ are looking for technical solutions to minimize the losses and restore the gas supplies.
NS2 was never going to bring new gas to 🇪🇺
It's a question of simple arithmetic.
🟨 total gas exports from 🇷🇺 to 🇪🇺 in 2021 = 140 bcm
🟨 maximum gas exports from 🇷🇺 to 🇪🇺 estimated at ~200 bcm by Gazprom itself
🟨 total existing transit capacity to bring 🇷🇺 gas to 🇪🇺 = 266 bcm
The gas crunch in Europe is a consequence of discretionary and deliberate efforts by Gazprom.
Don't take our word for it, just ask @fbirol of @IEA - the most respected international body, staunchly neutral, always objective and data-driven
[THREAD]: The #EnergyCrisis and #gasprice 📈is a consequence of deliberate choices by a dominant gas supplier to Europe not to use the existing gas transmission infrastructure
Russia talks of increased gas "supplies" to Europe but not “exports”
The difference seems subtle🤔 the consequences are not 🚨
To boost “supplies,” Gazprom is emptying its EU storage facilities (stoking fears ➠ pushing up prices 📈) and hides behind "delivering on obligations"
Gazprom increased production by 18% this year, which allowed Russia to triple its exports to China and Turkey, but not Europe 🤔 #gascrisis#energycrunch
The 5-year contract which was signed in 2019 foresees the transit volumes of 40 bcm in 2021, which amounts to 109 mcm/day.
It is deeply alarming 🚨 and quite informative to note that Gazprom is now paying for capacity and not using it!
Since the beginning of the month, Gazprom is shipping 86 mcm/day which is ~25% less than what it's paying for. There is a great disconnect between the words and the actions when it comes to the role of the Russian Federation in the European gas crunch. #EnergyCrisis#GasPrice
Ukraine stands ready to transport as much gas as Europe needs and our spare capacity, available at this very time, is nearly twice that of #NordStream2