Dave Keating Profile picture
Jun 23 15 tweets 5 min read
It appears leaders weren't able to convince 🇧🇬#Bulgaria's PM Kiril Petkov (whose government just collapsed) to end his veto on starting 🇲🇰#NorthMacedonia's 🇪🇺 accession talks this morning

The Western Balkan applicants almost boycotted this morning's meeting over lack of progress
The rumour going around is that the Western Balkan leaders are very unhappy with how this morning’s mini-summit went. Several EU leaders didn’t even bother to show up.

The press conference by VDL, Michel & Macron has been cancelled, Weatern Balkan leaders about to hold their own
This would be a pretty bad result considering the main point of this morning’s Western Balkans leaders meeting was to smooth over anger about Ukraine & Moldova being given fast-track candidate status while W Balkans have had every conceivable roadblock thrown in front of them
For years, the Western Balkans have been told their eventual place in the EU is assured, a matter of destiny, but the process needs to be slower than the previous Eastern enlargement wave of the 00s.

Then suddenly Ukraine & Moldova have rapidly leapfrogged them.
A Balkan journalist here at the summit just wryly observed, "maybe we need to have another war for the EU to let us in".
🇲🇰🇷🇸🇦🇱 PMs holding furious press conference now after this morning’s failed mtg

🇲🇰PM: “Given circumstances at today’s #EUCO” he expressed his government and peoples’ “dissatisfaction with the accession process”

“It is time for 🇪🇺 to fulfill its promises before making new ones”
🇲🇰PM Kovačevski notes N Macedonia has been in 🇪🇺accession process for 18 years (🇺🇦 just got candidate status in 115 days)

"What's happened now is a serious blow to credibility of 🇪🇺 We're wasting precious time we dont have. 🇲🇰&🇦🇱, the region, we can’t be stuck in this situation"
🇦🇱PM Edi Rama after this morning’s disastrous W Balkans meeting: “I have deep sorrow for 🇪🇺. I feel sorry for them, and I hope we can help”

“It’s not simply Bulgaria, lets say the truth. The enlargement spirit has gone from a shared vision of a community to a kidnapping vehicle”
🇦🇱PM Rama says EU enlargement is now “crooked” and “Bulgaria is only the most stunning expression” of this crookedness, where decisions and analysis are based on politics rather than facts.
Wow. The Albanian PM is now condemning the Serbian President, standing at other side of this press conference, for supporting Russia.

“A country where Vladimir Putin’s popularity is 80%, where public opinion is not so keen to run to Brussels” Macedonian PM standing between them
The Serbian president is striking a much more conciliatory tone toward 🇪🇺: “More than 20 EU leaders were listening to us for 3-4 hours.”

“This is why we need Macron’s proposal for a new European Political Community to be accepted. That’s the only way for us to be heard”.
🇷🇸President Vučić also has conciliatory words for his 🇦🇱&🇲🇰 colleagues.

I don’t think he took 🇦🇱PM Rama’s words as a personal attack, but rather as a description of public opinion in #Serbia.
🇷🇸President Vučić ends with praise for his 🇦🇱&🇲🇰 counterparts for fighting valiantly during this morning's meeting, noting that if he the Serbian president says it, you know you can believe it.

"It was an important meeting, it was a good summit"
🇦🇱PM Rama jokes that he wonders what will be 🇭🇷Croatia’s reaction when Serbia comes close to joining 🇪🇺 [about registering the “Serbian language”].

“They may become our Bulgaria” jokes 🇷🇸PM Vučić.
BREAKING: After all that - it appears the Bulgarian Parliament has just now voted to accept the French compromise and lift the veto on starting North Macedonia’s accession talks.

Announcement by the 🇧🇬 prime minister expected imminently.

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More from @DaveKeating

Jun 23
BREAKING: #Ukraine has just been given EU candidate status
President #Zelensky’s reaction to #Ukraine being given 🇪🇺 candidate status:
Following the approval of candidacy status, President Zelensky has just dialed in to speak to the 27 EU leaders by video at #EUCO.

He is speaking to them now.
Read 12 tweets
Jun 15
Today the EU fires back in a brewing 🇪🇺🇬🇧 trade war.

The Commission is expected to announce unfreezing of legal action against 🇬🇧 (and the start of new actions) following the UK government's tabling of legislation to undo the #Brexit divorce deal's Northern Ireland Protocol.
Both Brussels and national 🇪🇺 capitals were infuriated by Monday's bill from 🇬🇧 government which, if/when passed, would unilaterally terminate large parts of the NI Protocol by ending checks between Northern Ireland (in EU customs area) and Great Britain (not in EU customs area).
🇪🇺VP @MarosSefcovic reminded 🇬🇧 Monday that NI Protocol was a prerequisite for agreeing the free trade deal (TCA) that came later and is now in effect.

The widespread feeling in 🇪🇺 now is @BorisJohnson signed protocol in order to get the deal, with no intention of honouring it.
Read 20 tweets
Jun 14
🇪🇺Parliament just rejected the #taxonomy list of investments considered green, which controversially included both #nuclear & #gas as a result of a delicately crafted compromise between national governments

76 members of ECON & ENVI committees voted to reject, 62 voted to accept
"Russia's invasion changed the thinking on this " one EP source tells me.

Here's the background of how we ended up with this 🇪🇺 proposal to deem nuclear & gas as green.

TLDR: it was a political compromise between anti-nuclear🇩🇪 & anti-gas 🇫🇷.
energymonitor.ai/finance/report…
The taxonomy list proposal was made before the #UkraineWar.

The thinking is it probably would have gotten through the parliament were it not for Russia's invasion. But the idea of including gas as a 'transition fuel' eligible for green funds is now unpalatable.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 13
🇪🇺VP @MarosSefcovic responding now to 🇬🇧legislation undoing NI Protocol of #Brexit divorce treaty:

"🇪🇺&🇬🇧are partners facing same global challenges where upholding the rule of law is imperative. This relationship must be based on full respect of our legally binding commitments" Image
"After countless hours of intensive line-by-line negotiations, the NI Protocol was the one and only solution we could jointly find to protect hard-earned gains of the peace process in NI while addressing the challenges created by #Brexit and the type of Brexit chosen by 🇬🇧"
"Renegotiating the protocol is unrealistic," says 🇪🇺VP Sefcovic.

"No workable alternative solution has been found to this delicate long-negotiated balance. Any renegotiation would only bring further legal uncertainty for the people and businesses in NI"

"🇪🇺will not renegotiate"
Read 9 tweets
Jun 8
On the Whit Monday holiday I made a trip to #Rijeka Croatia (formerly Italian #Fiume).

This fascinating city is often called “the birthplace of Italian Fascism”. I wrote a screenplay about it at university so I wanted to visit.

The interwar period here has a complex legacy.
Fiume was part of 🇦🇹🇭🇺Empire and served as the only Hungarian port. After WW1 it was given to Yugoslavia despite having a majority Italian population.

Italian poet Gabriele D’Annunzio invaded the city and made himself dictator. They were filming a movie about him during my visit
D’Annunzio’s “Italian Regency of Carnaro” lasted 1919 to 1920. The Kingdom of Italy opposed it and said it should be given back to Yugoslavia.

A constitution was adopted that later served as a basis for Mussolini’s fascists. D’Annunzio’s ideals and techniques were later emulated
Read 12 tweets
May 31
Leaving #EUCO summit, 🇫🇷President #Macron tells journalists the exemptions for 🇭🇺🇸🇰🇨🇿 in the 🇪🇺ban on #RussianOil agreed last night are minimal.

He vows the exemptions will be time limited. But there is no such time limit in the deal. Leaders expected to revisit next month.
Macron says he doesn't rule out 🇪🇺 following up with a #RussianGas ban. “We have to keep credibility and this strategic ambiguity is also useful”

But privately energy industry insiders & EU sources tell me at this time there is almost no chance of an EU embargo on Russian gas.
Read 6 tweets

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