August 3 Assessment Highlight:
Russian forces likely set fire to the #Olenivka prison complex holding Ukrainian POWs in occupied #Donetsk Oblast but blamed #Ukraine for an alleged precision strike using Western-supplied military equipment. (1/6)
isw.pub/RusCampaignAug…
Russian forces likely set fire to the #Olenivka prison complex holding Ukrainian POWs in occupied #Donetsk Oblast but blamed #Ukraine for an alleged precision strike using Western-supplied military equipment. (1/6)
isw.pub/RusCampaignAug…
The Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) reported that it has determined that the Wagner Group deliberately set fire to the prison complex on July 28. This report is consistent with the damage observable in the Russian-provided video of the site. (2/6)
Russian-provided footage and commercial satellite imagery from the colony showed that the walls of the building were burned but still standing and did not reveal shell craters or other indicators consistent with an artillery strike. (3/6)
ISW previously reported that imagery from the site shows that the attack only damaged one building, did not collapse the walls of that building, and did not leave any shell craters in the vicinity... (4/6)
...all very strongly suggesting that the destruction of the prison was the result of either a precision strike or an internally planted incendiary or explosive. (5/6)
understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…
understandingwar.org/backgrounder/r…
Russian officials previously claimed that the deaths of the POWs were the result of a Ukrainian HIMARS strike, likely as a component of the ongoing Russian information operation attempting to dissuade the US from continuing to provide Ukraine with HIMARS. (6/6)
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