1/10 #Kherson western front update 🧵is finally here.Been working on checking info from local,#OSINT,sat & other sources to produce the most complete picture IMO while still keeping #Opsec.Let's go 🚀
2/10 First by popular req. a full overview map of the current(8 aug) frontlines west of the #Inhulets river. As we can see there have been some (small) shifts in the overall line. As you can see i have included known 🇷🇺 defensive pos. and some published 🇺🇦 pos. Some details ⬇️
3/10 First we look at the sit. around #Stanislav. 🇷🇺VDV reinforcements arrived 15-7,and started a push toward #Oleksandrivka pushing 🇺🇦 back across the coastal road W and N taking control of the town. 45th Spetnaz are active here. 🇺🇦 are using art. & tank fire to stop the advance
4/10 meanwhile 🇺🇦 28th mech. brigade is keeping pressure on #ShyrokaBalka & #Sofiivka to prevent any move north.They are supported by #Terra drone rec. platoon aswell as SOF units & partisans in the area. Here a drone assisted strike in #Oleksandrivka
5/10 When we move W we can see 🇺🇦 forces taking ground, the small town of #Doslidne was abandoned after the ammo dep. was hit & consequently 🇺🇦 forward troops took position there, the same for #Myrne & #Parysheve. 🇷🇺 forces retreated to fixed def. east.
6/10 When we look more north we can see the town of #Pravdyne has been left by 🇷🇺 forces, their def. pos. E of town had been hit by 🇺🇦 art. from begin july. and became hard to reinforce because SOF activity S & the 28th mech E & N.🇷🇺 forces fell back E.
7/10 the stragic town of #Kyselivka seems to be abandoned by 🇷🇺 forces. 🇺🇦 forces have not moved forward to the town prob. because of a large nr. of art. in the area of #Chornobaivka. 🇷🇺 forces fell back to def. pos. just outside #Klapaya & #Krutiyar covering the M14 highway.
8/10 🇷🇺 forces seem not yet to have give up #Chornobaivka airport even though it was hit serveral times with #HIMARS.Formidable def. pos. have been setup @ NE & SW corners. At least 1 BTG seem to be stationed there with 100+ dug in vehicles.🇷🇺 have setup new warehouse locations S
9/10 Looking on the line between #Kutiyar & #Novomykaivka we see a string of 🇷🇺 defenses. These seem te be spaced approx. 5 km. apart for optimal firing coverage. Artillery positions are prob. located to the E behind the river and relocate regulary to avoid counter fire.
10/10 newly arrived 🇷🇺 forces tried to push toward #Partizanske from #Snihurivka & #Kalynivka. They were pushed back and 🇺🇦 forces established a foothold in #Lyubyne.🇷🇺 forces have a forward pos. in #Novopetrivka. Heavy fighting there at this moment between forward units
11/11 Overall we can see 🇺🇦 small gaines & some counter attacks by 🇷🇺.However the 🇺🇦 forces seem to wait till the 🇷🇺 re-supply situation gets worse and their buildup in the rear is complete before they will make a major push toward #Kherson city or not 😉.
As promissed in my previous 🧵 ⬇️ i will go into the destruction of another ammo depot with #HIMARS in the west-#Kherson region. The one i will take a look at today was located just south of #Novodmytrivka and was hit on 21st of july.
If we look at the #FIRMS data we can see there are a lot of spots on fire around the compound however when looking at the #Sentinel imagery we can see it originates from the N end of the complex and spread on the dry lake bed. This is even more clear using the burned area option.
Burned area option on the #Sentinel imagery makes it possible to see how the fire progressed.We can see spots around the complex which indicates burning material was spread over a large area.This is consistent with a large explosion. (ref. Expl. #Novakhakova 21-7 ⬇️)
Video of 🇷🇺 BM-21 Grad MLRS being loaded & transported to launch site. This recent video published by 🇷🇺 media was supposedly recorded around the town of #Vugledar,#Donetsk oblast multiple launchers can be seen and loading occurs on the road.
At 11 sec. you can see the loaded MLRS driving on a road which bends to the right, in the distance two elec. towers can be seen as well as a field full of powerlines to the left. @neonhandrail geolocated this site. It was geolocated to #Novohryhorivka.
#Vulgledar would have put 🇷🇺 forces atleast 10 km behind the known frontlines in this area.The geolocation however puts it at 23 km away behind 🇷🇺 lines.When we look @ sighting loc. on 22-7 with #Sentinel imagery.we can see the field to the S is burned.
As promissed a 🧵 on what was happening inside #Kherson city yesterday (22-7). I have been in contact some local sources who painted a picture of every growing chaos & fear among 🇷🇺 troops & collaborators inside the city. First it's important to know that during the occupation
The 🇷🇺 invaders have been setting a system of checkpoints on almost any intersection in the city, these are called blockposts by the civilians. Before last week these checkpoints where mostly manned by #Rosgvardiya troops which are a internal mil. force directly under #Putin.
During the last few days,most of these #Rosvguardia seem to have left the city and manning of the checkpoint seemed more lacks. This seems to have increased the number of desertions,farmers in the surrounding areas are being confronted with 🇷🇺 soldiers dressed in civilian clothes
Just a little 🧵 looking at the aftermath of the strike on the ammo depot @ Raiske, Cherson Oblast, Oekraïne which seems to have happend on 18-7 at 5 am.When looking @ the video clearly missiles and thermobaric charges can be seen detonating
At 5 am presumable HIMARS rocket fire hit an ammonutions storage warehouse located at a 🇷🇺 military facility in #Raiske [46.42567 33.18566] seen on sat. images the facility consisted of 6 large warehouses and several smaller structures, just west are an urban area & wheat factory
When looking @ Nasa #FIRMS data from 18-7 it's clear there are mulitiple fires around the south and west sids of town. The fires can be located at 3 places. The first attack hit the ammo storage, fires to E & S were prob. started by exploding ammo & spread thru dry fields.
Yesterday some interesting footage from #Kherson region appeared on telegram showing 🇷🇺 BM-27 #Urugan launchers on the road with the comment that fields were burning around #Chaplynka due to the launches. I decided to investigate here is my little 🧵
On the photo's there are powerlines visible which i was able to locate to being on the road out of #Chaplynka toward #NovaKakhovka. Also a blue sign can be sign which suggests that it just outside of town. When we look at the #FIRMS data however we do not see fires in this area.
When we look at #Sentinel images for 18-7 however we can see a burnt piece of land just NW of this road near the town of #Preobrazhenka. When we go back one day however this piece of land hasn't burned yet. This makes it a likely launching site according to satellite date.
🧵 on 🇺🇦 offensive actions on #Snihurivka in the #Mikolaev region.First an introduction to the strategic importance of this town. 1. Located on the bend of the river #Inhulets. 2. 2 bridges 3. Railway hub #Kherson - #Zaporizhzhia - #Mykolayiv regions.
🇷🇺 forces occupied #Snuhurivka after heavy shelling on 19-3-2022.
Directly they started building heavy defensive lines N & W of town . 🇺🇦 forces held the surrounding towns to the North & West. Defensive works consisted mainly of trenches and dug in armour positions.
According to local sources early morning of the 3th of juli 🇺🇦 forces started to move from W, N & NW toward #Blahodatne.🇺🇦 forces been prepping the BF by targetting defenses around this town from the 1st of juli forcing 🇷🇺 to fall back to defenses @ #Novopetrivka & #Lyubine