Surprisingly, the Zubr class hovercraft in Feodosia, Crimea, Black Sea, has been moved since the start of the #Ukraine War
The Pr. 12322 Zubr is the largest type in the world
Thread/
2/ It is at Feodosia 'More' shipyard. This was Ukrainian but was taken over by Russia gov 100% in 2014 when Crimea was annexed.
In 2014 it became part of Rostec. Now in March this year, after the invasion, it was transferred to United Shipbuilding Corporation. No fee
3/ In the past it built many of the Zubrs, including two for China. One of these was rushed off Crimea in 2014 moments before the annexation
4/ After the #Russian take-over, the shipyard didn't seem to do very well. But it did build Pr.22800 Karakurt-class missile corvettes. These are armed with Kalibr cruise missiles
5/ Raptor assault boats at the shipyard's harbour, Jan 2017
6/ The exact hovercraft is likely an Ex-Ukrainian Navy example, possibly U423 Gorlovka. Google Earth history shows that it has been in the open there since at least September 2020. With Sentinel-2 imagery we can say since July 2020 #OSINT
7/ Why has it now been moved? Is it being brought back into service for the #Russian Navy? I don't think so
Possibly to make space for new warships, up to corvette sized, which will be built there
/end
Typo .. In **2018** it became part of Rostec. Same difference though
Forgot to say, it was moved between April 6th and April 9th
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Provisional single-view geolocation of explosion at #Russian Navy Saki air base, Crimea, supports suggestion that at least one of the ammunition storage areas has explosions
Caveats apply, hope better efforts of geolocation can confirm/disprove
Calm before the storm, satellite image from 08:47 UTC today
#Chinese missile destroyer operating East of #Taiwan this morning. Likely Type-055 Renhai class, described as a cruiser
ID not 100% but agreed probable among multiple experienced #OSINT analysts watching situation
The #Chinese type-055 can carry a range of missiles including a new hypersonic missile provisionally identified as the YJ-21. See hisutton.com/Chinese-Hypers…
Quick thread on #Chinese submarine capabilities right now. Excuse typos
First up. China has been operating nuclear powered attack submarines, of its own design, since 1970s. Today the main type is the Type-09III (aka 093) SHANG Class (hisutton.com/Chinese-Navy-T…)
2. These attack subs (SSNs) are generally better than many people would expect. We have seen the steady implementation of newer technologies such as towed sonar arrays and anechoic coatings.
But they are relatively few in number.
3. They are based in South China Sea, south of Taiwan. Generally their role is protecting the nuclear ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) but they would be expected to play a role in any conflict
#Russia has withdrawn from Snake Island. This is important, and it is a significant victory for #Ukraine.
Why...
Thread. Usual caveats. Alternative analysis welcome
First, this is a surprise. I have not seen anyone predicting this.
There is only one way to see it, as a set-back for Russia
The island is strategically important, so giving it up cannot have been an easy decision.
Russian Navy cruiser capturing the island on first day of war:
As well as providing surveillance, the rock would be part of territorial claims, or sea etc. Whoever holds it going into a political solution has an advantage