Also rather surprised Azimio have scheduled this - and screened the Serena presser at their own event - to make it clear they are coordinating with the Serena 4
Very bad optics, especially given the timing of the Serena 4 statement and the Azimio wall out from Bomas
Now failing to answer basic questions about the results on the basis they were not worth paying attention to.
Slightly strange argument from actual IEBC commissioners …
1. There was inconsistent use of the manual register in some areas. This seems to have been because court decisions changed the process twice *after* the IEBC completed training, so maybe not IEBC's "fault", but it is nonetheless an inconsistency
2. The IEBC did a much much better job with the digital scans of forms 34A and forms 34B than in 2017, which is great, but it is still the case that the portal is missing 28 forms 34A (though, as of now, is not missing any forms 34B).
On Kenya BBI & the gender quota. Am I missing something or does it fail to *guarantee* that no more than two-thirds of Parliament will be of the same gender? I have read the proposals & it is not clear to me that it does 1/5 @MitullahWinnie@karutikk@gathara@Nanjala1#BBIReport
BBI mandates parties to have 30% women on their candidate lists. But this doesn’t ensure they win - if they contest against other male candidates many may lose. Only 27 women in the current parliament did not come through the reserved county seats. 2/5 @kopalo#BBIReport
That means that securing the threshold will likely depend on the 70 seats to be appointed by the parties on the basis of their vote share. But reports suggest only 35 of these have to go to women. That’s a *loss* of 12 compared to the 47 county women’s representatives. #bbi 3/5
The world holds its breath as voters go to the polls in a deeply divided country. Political violence seems more likely than not due to pronounced ethnic divisions and irresponsible leadership. #ElectionDay#Election2020#thread 1/5 google.co.uk/amp/s/amp.theg…
Despite growing fears of electoral manipulation and conflict, international observers have been denied access to some parts of the country, exacerbating fears that the president will refuse to leave office if he loses power. 2/5 #USAElections2020google.co.uk/amp/s/theconve…
Much will depend on the electoral system, which is disorganised and controversial - & is likely to lead to contradictory claims about who has won early on Election Day, further radicalIsing & polarising a fractious and distrustful society. 3/5 #ElectionDaygoogle.co.uk/amp/s/globalne…
You may think that you don't personally benefit from slavery, but you almost certainly do. Many of you may be surprised to find your ancestors + people with your name in this database - like Thomas J. Cheeseman a British slave over. Check it out here: 2/4 ucl.ac.uk/lbs/project/de…
Even if you don't find your own name in the database, you live in a county whose infrastructure and economy benefitted massively from slavery and other immoral acts, and those benefits created advantages - in education, business, healthcare - enjoyed by subsequent generations 3/4
The impact of #COVID19 on democracy, a #thread. There is a lot of discussion of this but some is a bit simplistic. We need to distinguish different mechanisms through which this works. I can see at least three. (Anyway wants me this up just DM me) 1 #COVID2019#protectdemocracy
The most obvious mechanism is that authoritarian leaders use #COVID19 to ban rallies and protests, and in some cases cancel elections, eg by declaring states of emergency. We might call this the covid *sleight of hand*, which is used by authoritarian regimes in trouble 2
A less obvious mechanism is that authoritarian leaders simply do more oh what they have always been doing in the knowledge that no one is paying attention. In other words for these leaders #COVID2019 represents a good period to bury bad news. These are *corona opportunists* 3