Ted Darling Profile picture
Aug 19 11 tweets 3 min read
Hello Friday and the week to date!

$HYG -1.55%
$TLT -0.55%

$SPX +0.1%
$COMPQ -0.65%
$DAX -1.65%
$SSEC -0.6%
$NIKK +1.35%

$USD +1.94% ⬅️
$GBP -2.1%
$GOLD -2.7%

$WTIC -3.0%
$NATGAS +3.55%

$COPPER -1.25%

#Bitcoin -12.4% ⬅️

Let's dig into the pre #opex 🧮!
Asia closed ↔️ to ↘️

$NIKK 28930 -0.05%
$SSEC 3258 -0.6%
$TWII 15409 +0.1%
$HSI 19772 +0.05%
$KOSPI 2493 -0.6%
$IDX 7172 -0.2%

Australia ↔️
$ASX 7114 unch

India ↘️
$BSE 59639 -1.1%
Europe ↘️

$DAX 13558 -1.0%
$FTSE 7514 -0.35%
$CAC 6512 -0.7%
$AEX 772 -0.5%
$IBEX 8343 -1.05%
$MIB 22643 -1.5%
$SMI 11174 +0.05%
$MOEX 2185 -0.45% 🪆

$VSTOXX 23.54 🔺

$DAX range = 13535 - 13895 🐻
🇺🇸 futures ↘️ ahead of #opex

$ES 4249 -0.8%
$NQ 13361 -1.05%
$RTY 1975 -1.3%

$VIX 20.64 🔺

$SPX range = 4143 - 4367 ♉️
$VIX range 18.43 - 24.66 🐻
GOLD and metals mostly ↘️

$GOLD 1767 -0.2%
$SILVER 19.16 -1.55%
$COPPER 3.618 -0.35%
$PLAT 895 -1.05%
$PALL 2143 -0.25%
$ALI 2389 -0.6%
$ZINC 3496 +0.7% ⬅️

$GVZ 15.36

$GOLD range = 1747 - 1843 🐻
$COPPER range = 3.34 - 3.74 🐻
Hydrocarbons ↘️

$WTIC 89.18 -1.45%
$BRENT 95.22 -.14%
$NATGAS 9.089 -1.1%
$GASO 2.988 -1.25%

$OVX 47.41 🔻

$WTIC range = 85.79 - 99.11 🐻
$NATGAS range = 7.46 - 9.79 ♉️
Grains are ↔️ after a rough day

$WHEAT 737 +0.85%
$CORN 619 -0.1%
$SOYB 1398 -0.55%
$SUGAR 17.80 +0.1%

$COFFEE 215.13 +0.15% ☕️

$DBA range = 19.38 - 20.73 🐻
The $USD 💪↗️

$EUR 1.008 -0.08%
$GBP 1.188 -0.41%
$AUD 0.6904 -0.2%
$USD 107.645 +0.21% ⬅️
$USDJPY 136.46 +0.42%
$USDCHF 0.9578 +0.1%
$USDCAD 1.2979 +0.24%
$USDRUB 59.424 -0.08% 🪆

$USD range = 104.96 - 108.37 ♉️
#cryptocurrencies ↘️🩸

$BTC 21822 -6.05%
$ETH 1737 -5.9%

#Bitcoin range = 22186 - 24740 🐻
Oversold
UST yields ↗️ across the steepening curve
10/2s to -0.32 🔺

MOVE 120.26 🛗

$TNX range = 2.62 - 2.93 ♉️
$TLT range 112.94 - 120.15 🐻

Global 10Ys mostly ↗️
UST 2.926 +0.046
GILT 2.391 +0.081
BUND 1.186 +0.091
ITA 3.432 +0.111
JPN 0.195 +0.003
AUS 3.43 +0.014
CAN 2.841 -0.019🔻
Ahead of #opex we have the $USD +1.95% on the week with $TNX back to ♉️ trend and at the top of the range

Equities, GOLD, and commodities ↘️

#RiskOff and begs the question - are we headed back to May conditions?

⚠️🚩 and have a super profitable day 💰and a GREAT weekend! 😎

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Ted Darling

Ted Darling Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @tdarling1

Aug 21
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

1/9 🧵

Global Macro Review 08/21/2022

$UUP 🚀
$VIX ↗️
$TLT ↘️
$GLD ↘️
$EFA ↘️
$BNO ↘️
$DBA ↘️

An aberration? or a resumption of primary Trend = (T)

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/9

🤴🏽 💵 aka the wrecking 🎳

$UUP +2.4% (w) +5.05% (T)
$FXF -1.75% (w) +1.45% (T)
$FXC -1.8% (w) -1.25% (T)
$FXE -2.2% (w) -5.15% (T)
$FXB -2.55% (w) -5.3% (T)
$FXY -2.5% (w) -6.7% (T)
$FXA -3.44% (w) -2.25% (T)

Chart: $USD with room to run Image
2a/9

$EURUSD back to parity Image
Read 17 tweets
Aug 14
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

1/7 🧵

Global Macro Review 08/14/2022

A big decline in $CPI to +8.5% y/y, ➕ the July services #PMI ↗️ ➕ #NFP ↗️, kept the 🔥 burning on risk assets - enough to lure the ♉️

Is this a new ♉️ market or the end of the 🐻 rally?

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/7

Equity volatility ↘️ across market and 🐻 Trend (T)

$VX 19.53 -1.62 bps
$VXN 25.18 -1.95 bps
$RVX 24.23 -1.07 bps
$VSTOXX 21.21 -1.64 bps
$VXEEM 19.45 -2.41 bps

Chart: $VXEEM lending support to $EEM 🆕 ♉️
3/7

US equity indices 🚀

$SPX +3.25% (w) +6.35% (T) 🆕 ♉️
$COMPQ +3.1% (w) +10.55% (T)
$IWM +5.0% (w) +12.5% (T)

Chart: $IWM - small caps have retraced nearly 50% of the 6-mo decline
Read 16 tweets
Aug 12
Hello Friday and the Week to date

$SSEC +1.7%
$SPX +1.5%
$KOPSI +1.3%
$DAX +0.9%

$AUD +2.8%
$GBP +1.02%
$GOLD +0.9%
$USD -1.4%

$LUMBER +24.3%
$COTTON +8.8%
$BRENT +5.05%
$COPPER +4.35%
$BTC +3.5%

$TLT -1.8%

Let's dig into more 🧮!
Closed for 🏔️ day yesterday, 🇯🇵 played catch ↗️

$NIKK 28547 +2.6% 🇯🇵
$SSEC 7032 -0.55%
$TWII 15289 +0.6%
$HSI 20163 +0.4%
$KOSPI 2528 +0.15%
$IDX 7130 -0.45%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 7032 -0.55%

India ↗️
$BSE 59519 +0.3%
Europe ♉️↗️ at the open

$DAX 13779 +0.65%
$FTSE 7509 +0.6%
$CAC 6578 +0.5%
$AEX 726 -0.05%
$IBEX 8442 +0.75%
$MIB 22986 +0.55%
$SMI 11165 +0.1%
$MOEX 2140 +0.3% 🪆

$VSTOXX 21.15

$DAX range = 13376 - 13858 🐻
Read 11 tweets
Jul 17
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

Global Macro Review 07/17/22

1/7

Has #inflation peaked?

June #CPI +9.1% ♨️, but core +5.9% 🔻
@NYFedResearch consumer inflation expectations 1-year +6.8% 🔺, but UMich +5.2% 🔻from 5.3%

And firms +3.7% unch per @AtlantaFed

Let’s dig into more 🧮!
2a/7

#Commodities

Chart: Since the June 10 peak at 329.59, the $CRB is -15.75% – and deeply oversold
2b/7

Metals have been 🐻 Trend since May
(T) = Trend = 3 mos price momentum

$COPPER -8.5% (w) -31.55% (T)
$SILVER -3.4% (w) -27.65% (T)
$PLAT -6.0% (w) -16.5% (T)
$GOLD -2.2% (w) -13.75% (T)

Chart: Base metals ↘️ with $DBB -6.45% (w) -31.0% (T)
Read 13 tweets
Jul 15
Hello Friday!

China reporting -2.6% Q/Q growth on the back of Q2 🦠🔒🔻 and US retail sales 🛍️ on tap.

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asian equities closed the week ↔️ with 🇨🇳↘️

$NIKK 26788 +0.55%
$SSEC 3228 -1.65% 🇨🇳
$TWII 14551 +0.8%
$HSI 20304 -2.15%
$KOSPI 2331 +0.35%
$IDX 6652 -0.55%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 6606 -0.7%

India ↗️
$BSE 53517 +0.2%
Europe opens ↗️

$DAX 12738 +1.75%
$FTSE 7120 +1.15%
$CAC 5968 +0.9%
$AEX 669 +1.35%
$IBEX 7909 +1.35%
$MIB 20882 +1.6%
$SMI 10860 +0.55%
$MOEX 2057 -0.3% 🪆

$VTSOXX 31.01 🛗

$DAX range 12425 - 12925 🐻
Read 11 tweets
Jul 3
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

Global Macro Review 07/03/22 🇺🇸
1/9

Powell is committed to fighting #inflation and cares not whether you lose 💰 during the war.

“The process is highly likely to involve some pain, but the worst pain…”

Let’s dig into the early campaign results 🧮!
2/9

The $USD +0.91% ♉️ is becoming more dear against major currency pairs with $AUD -1.97%, $GBP -1.49%, and $EUR -1.17% on the week

Chart: $USD +6.3% (T) = 3 mos, +9.75% YTD
3a/9

The UST curve both flattened and steepened with 10/2s ↘️ to 5BPS and 30/5s ↗️ to 23.2 BPS

Chart: $IVOL +2.76% (w), +4.9% (T)
Read 16 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(