Mortymer Profile picture
Sep 17 7 tweets 3 min read
@AZmilitary1 THIS geopolitical decision will have HUGE consequences for shaping of future of the whole 🌍

Let's 🪚 in it, shall we?

FEW POSTULATES:

1️⃣ Economics trumps politics

2️⃣ All major surplus economies are located on Euro-Asia (🇪🇺🇨🇳🇷🇺🇮🇳🇸🇦...)

3️⃣ Two trader gates to EuroAsia (🇬🇧🇯🇵)
@AZmilitary1 4️⃣ The 🇺🇸 is the outside Island power, needs to ctrl seas.

5️⃣ The 🇺🇸 is the only debtor of international monetary reserves.

6️⃣ Africa, South America are ATM insignificant.

7️⃣ The biggest threat to 🇺🇸 is if EuroAsia integrates & unites.

8️⃣ The 🇺🇸 has imposed 🚧 roadblocks
@AZmilitary1 9️⃣ I call them #Mackinder #Roadblocks against E-A integration:
- Located on land trade choke-points
- Have form of failed states
- Afghanistan (20 years, let opium thrive, nothing built, prevented any development, created factions)
- Iraq (After unable to ctrl ISIS)
- Syria, UA.
@AZmilitary1 1️⃣0️⃣ Ukraine affair
- Puts wedge between EU and rest of Euro-Asia
- Weakens both Russia (great to blame) and EU (The USA's nr2 economical competitor)
- The USA raids European economy to scavenge value support for the $.
- Kills all independenceideas those pesky EUpeans had.
@AZmilitary1 1️⃣1️⃣ Afghanistan 🇦🇫
- Trade route choke-point
- The location is on several trade routes N-S Nd E-W.
- In past many empires had capitals in 🇦🇫: Greco-Bactrians, Kushans, Indo-Sassanids, Kabul Shahi, Saffarids, Samanids, Ghaznavids, Ghurids, Kartids, Timurids, Hotakis and Durranis
@AZmilitary1 1️⃣2️⃣ Opium & Afghanistan
The Opium wars in 19th century put China' dragon asleep, brought economic and political exploitation

Taliban imposed ban in 2001 = 0t. Production under US occupation grew and peaked in 2021 at 7k t

In 1st month 🇷🇺🇨🇳🇮🇷 promised development if phased out.
@AZmilitary1 The Afghanistan turned into Mackinder roadblock not just prevented land trade but also allowed exportation of heroin, radicalism and refugees which put growth in the central Asia down by dozens of years.

Pipelines, railroads will be built.
Projects are already discussed.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Mortymer

Mortymer Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @mortymer001

Sep 15
A short monetary history trip to 1967's exploring the exchange between Karl Blessing #Bundesbank, and the then Chairman of the Board of Governors of the US Federal Reserve System #FED, William Martin. Image
...keep reading the juice will be at the end.. Image
Are we there yet?
Nope...
Here are just some boring footnotes for the record. Juice coming soon in red: Image
Read 7 tweets
May 11
It is 1975 and oil oil exporters and importers try to find solution for broken monetary system.

An interesting history 🧵🧵🧵
How could oil producing countries keep their purchasing power in times of turbulent seventies?
#Gold #Oil #MonetaryAffairs #IMS
Few years before 16 January 1979 when the Shah had fled Iran...
Read 10 tweets
May 11
Once Iraq´s Saddam Hussein said about oil management:
A small thread about oil politics:

🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵

Is the US in the Gulf to "steal" the oil? -> NO!
All the oil ever consumed is LESS that 1/5 of Lake Tahoe: tinyurl.com/5n7fsc9e

Do this:
- Just zoom in and out.
- Think that all this burns at once and creates a cloud/blanket covering whole Earth.
- Tell me, would this little fart make ANY difference to #GlobalWarming ?
Read 10 tweets
May 11
About #Transnistria, #Moldova, #Nato and #Russia. A small🧵

But lets start with Georgia first!

During NATO's 2008 Bucharest summit in Bucharest, United States and Poland called for Georgia to be allowed to join the Membership Action Plan (MAP). A roadmap was set. (1/N)
The issue with accession articles and preambles is that implicitly no country without full control of its borders can join the alliance.

Let it sink.

Neither Georgia, Ukraine nor Moldova can join NATO without solving their territorial issues.

Internal conflicts matter. (2/N)
In Georgia it is #Abkhazia and South Ossetia.
In Ukraine it is #Crimea, #Donbas and #Lugansk regions.
In #Moldova it is #Transnitria.

Note that Russia has been for years working hard on their border issues.

Escalation in new member conflict zone would trigger art5. (3/10)
Read 15 tweets
May 9
FREEZING ASSETS OF FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS IN INTERNATIONAL LAW: AGAIN IN THE SPOTLIGHT

monardlaw.be/en/stories/fre…
"Freezing the assets means that they are blocked and therefore can no longer be withdrawn, transferred, paid, etc.: in principle, it is essentially a temporary measure, that is not tantamount to a confiscation. "
In some cases, however, the sanctioning State goes one step further and allows the funds to be used to satisfy judgments against the targeted State (this is what happened with the assets held by Iran’s Central Bank in the U.S., thereby triggering litigation at the International
Read 6 tweets
Mar 31
@VictorTheClean3 @avoidingfolly @LukeGromen @SantiagoAuFund @imetatronink en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Russ…

OPEC plus countries include Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Brunei, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Mexico, Oman, Russia, South Sudan and Sudan.
@VictorTheClean3 @avoidingfolly @LukeGromen @SantiagoAuFund @imetatronink So as you can see the US-KSA alliance fell apart and new alliance KSA-RU has been established. It is a win-win in long term and KSA has correctly realized that the USA would over-issue $ therefore devaluate all their inground reserves thus seriously lower their income.
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(