Thread by @mortymer001

@AZmilitary1 THIS geopolitical decision will have HUGE consequences for shaping of future of the whole 🌍

Let's 🪚 in it, shall we?

FEW POSTULATES:

1️⃣ Economics trumps politics

2️⃣ All major surplus economies are located on Euro-Asia (🇪🇺🇨🇳🇷🇺🇮🇳🇸🇦...)

3️⃣ Two trader gates to EuroAsia (🇬🇧🇯🇵)

@AZmilitary1 4️⃣ The 🇺🇸 is the outside Island power, needs to ctrl seas.

5️⃣ The 🇺🇸 is the only debtor of international monetary reserves.

6️⃣ Africa, South America are ATM insignificant.

7️⃣ The biggest threat to 🇺🇸 is if EuroAsia integrates & unites.

8️⃣ The 🇺🇸 has imposed 🚧 roadblocks

@AZmilitary1 9️⃣ I call them #Mackinder #Roadblocks against E-A integration:
- Located on land trade choke-points
- Have form of failed states
- Afghanistan (20 years, let opium thrive, nothing built, prevented any development, created factions)
- Iraq (After unable to ctrl ISIS)
- Syria, UA.

@AZmilitary1 1️⃣0️⃣ Ukraine affair
- Puts wedge between EU and rest of Euro-Asia
- Weakens both Russia (great to blame) and EU (The USA's nr2 economical competitor)
- The USA raids European economy to scavenge value support for the $.
- Kills all independenceideas those pesky EUpeans had.

@AZmilitary1 1️⃣1️⃣ Afghanistan 🇦🇫
- Trade route choke-point
- The location is on several trade routes N-S Nd E-W.
- In past many empires had capitals in 🇦🇫: Greco-Bactrians, Kushans, Indo-Sassanids, Kabul Shahi, Saffarids, Samanids, Ghaznavids, Ghurids, Kartids, Timurids, Hotakis and Durranis

@AZmilitary1 1️⃣2️⃣ Opium & Afghanistan
The Opium wars in 19th century put China' dragon asleep, brought economic and political exploitation

Taliban imposed ban in 2001 = 0t. Production under US occupation grew and peaked in 2021 at 7k t

In 1st month 🇷🇺🇨🇳🇮🇷 promised development if phased out.

@AZmilitary1 The Afghanistan turned into Mackinder roadblock not just prevented land trade but also allowed exportation of heroin, radicalism and refugees which put growth in the central Asia down by dozens of years.

Pipelines, railroads will be built.
Projects are already discussed.