Share this page!

ISW Profile picture
Twitter logo
Sep 20 • 4 tweets • 6 min read
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces are likely continuing limited and localized offensive operations across the #Oskil River and along the #Lyman-#Yampil-#Bilohorivka line. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

DNR Head Denis Pushilin claimed that fighting is ongoing in #Yarova, 20km northwest of #Lyman, confirming that Ukrainian troops likely advanced eastward from previously captured positions in #Sviatohirsk. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Geolocated combat footage confirms that Ukrainian troops have retaken #Bilohorivka, which lies along the #Donetsk-#Luhansk Oblast border and within 20km of the #Lysychansk-#Severodonetsk area. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian forces continued ground attacks south of #Bakhmut. /4
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with ISW

ISW Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TheStudyofWar

ISW Profile picture
Sep 21
Russian Defense Minister Sergei #Shoigu’s interview offers more insight into what the Russian “partial mobilization” really means. We will unpack some of the key points in this🧵
2/ #Shoigu, like #Putin, defends the mobilization order on the grounds of Western support for #Ukraine, rather than the upcoming annexation of occupied territory. It’s still a “special military operation,” not a Patriotic War.
3/ #Shoigu emphasized that this is a partial reserve call-up, not expanded conscription: “This is precisely from the reserves,” he said. “It isn’t anyone who has never seen anything of the army...”
Read 18 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 21
.@TheStudyofWar agrees with @KofmanMichael that #Russia's partial mobilization is unlikely to change battlefield dynamics rapidly and that #Ukraine retains “an important window of opportunity” in the coming months. /1
We also agree that #Russia has some limited capacity to induct and train large numbers of reservists; hence the rolling mobilization announced by Russian Minister of Defense Sergei #Shoigu, which we’ll explore in a separate thread. /2
We further concur with @KofmanMichael that the 300k number Shoigu put out is “likely to be notional” and that the final result will likely “be a lot less than what Moscow might expect." /3
Read 5 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 21
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces likely continued offensive operations along the Lyman-Yampil-Bilohorivka line on September 20. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Several #Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian troops are attacking #Lyman from the northwest (around the Sviatohirsk-Yarova area) and south (along the Shchurove-Dibrova line). /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian sources also continue to indicate that Ukrainian troops are likely conducting offensive operations across the #Oskil River with the intention of penetrating Russian rear areas in occupied #Luhansk Oblast. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Read 5 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 21
🧵The #Kremlin’s annexation plans are primarily targeting a domestic audience; #Putin likely hopes to improve Russian force generation capabilities by calling on the Russian people to volunteer for a war to “defend” newly-claimed "Russian territory." isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
2/ #Putin and his advisors have apparently realized that current Russian forces are insufficient to conquer #Ukraine and that efforts to build large forces quickly through voluntary mobilization are culminating short of the Russian military’s force requirements.
3/ #Putin is therefore likely setting legal and informational conditions to improve Russian force generation without resorting to expanded conscription by changing the balance of carrots and sticks the #Kremlin has been using to spur voluntary recruitment. isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 22 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 19
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces continue to consolidate positions on the east bank of the #Oskil River in #Kharkiv Oblast despite #Russian efforts to contain them. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

A Ukrainian official stated that Ukrainian forces are waiting for the fall of #Lyman before beginning ground operations to retake #Luhansk Oblast. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian forces continued to strike border areas along the #Kharkiv-#Belgorod Oblast border and conducted a limited ground assault north of Kharkiv City. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 18
Russian failures to rush large-scale reinforcements to eastern #Kharkiv and to #Luhansk Oblasts leave most of Russian-occupied northeastern #Ukraine highly vulnerable to continuing Ukrainian counter-offensives, assesses @TheStudyofWar. isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
The Russians may have decided not to defend this area, despite Russian President Vladimir #Putin’s repeated declarations that the purpose of the “special military operation” is to “liberate” #Donetsk and #Luhansk Oblasts. 2/
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Prioritizing the defense of Russian gains in southern Ukraine over holding northeastern Ukraine makes strategic sense since Kherson & Zaporizhia Oblasts are critical terrain for both Russia and Ukraine whereas the less-populated agricultural areas in the northeast are less so. 3/
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Send Email!

Email the whole thread instead of just a link!

Separate emails with commas

:(