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Sep 23 • 5 tweets • 6 min read
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces likely continued limited counteroffensive operations along the #Kharkiv-#Luhansk Oblast border and continued attacks toward #Lyman on September 22. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Several #Russian sources reported fighting to the northwest of #Lyman and claimed that Ukrainian troops penetrated Russian defenses in #Ridkodub and #Karpivka, both 20km north of Lyman. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian sources also stated that Ukrainian forces broke through at Korovii Yar (22km northwest of #Lyman) and are continuing attacks in Drobysheve (just west of Lyman). /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian troops reportedly shelled Yatskivka (25km northwest of #Lyman) and Korovii Yar, indicating that Russian forces are targeting newly captured Ukrainian positions in this area. /4
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks along the frontlines in #Donetsk Oblast on September 22. /5
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…

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More from @TheStudyofWar

ISW Profile picture
Sep 25
#Russian Mobilization & Force Generation Update:

The #Kremlin’s “partial mobilization” continues to hastily press thousands of men across Russia into military service but remains unlikely to generate effective combat power. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
#Russian Mobilization & Force Generation Update:

Russian sources state that some mobilized men will receive 1-2 months of training. Others may receive even less. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Russian Mobilization & Force Generation Update:

Mobilization has drafted men in their upper 50s with serious medical conditions to fight in #Ukraine. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 25
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces likely continued to make localized gains along the #Kharkiv-#Luhansk Oblast border on September 24. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

A #Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian assault detachments occupied the settlements of #Hrianykivka and #Horobivka in northeastern #Kharkiv Oblast (about 70km east of Chuhuiv). /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian sources additionally indicated that Ukrainian forces are continuing positional battles further south along the Oskil River near #Kupyansk. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 8 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 24
Southern Axis Update:

#Ukrainian forces continued their interdiction campaign in #Kherson Oblast and maintained operational silence regarding Ukrainian progress on the axis. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Southern Axis Update:

#Russian occupation officials claimed that #Ukrainian forces broke through Russian defenses in western #Zaporizhia Oblast. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Southern Axis Update:

#Russian-appointed #Zaporizhia Oblast occupation official Vladimir Rogov claimed on September 23 that a #Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance group broke through Russian defenses near Polohy and traveled toward Rozivka. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 24
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces continued to advance north and northwest of #Lyman. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian milbloggers reported that Ukrainian forces have driven into the rear of Russian positions in #Lyman from the north, after reportedly breaking through Russian defenses around Karpivka and Ridkodub. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Another milblogger noted that there are no communications with a #Russian BARS-13 reservist detachment that was occupying a defensive position near Drobysheve (7km west of #Lyman). /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 24
The Russian mobilization system will likely fail to produce mobilized reserve forces even of the low quality that #Putin’s plans would have generated unless the #Kremlin can rapidly fix fundamental and systemic problems.

isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… ImageImageImageImage
2/ #Putin and Defense Minister Sergey #Shoigu announced that the Russian Armed Forces would mobilize combat-ready reservists to quickly stabilize the frontlines and regain the initiative on the battlefield. However, milblogger and social media reports show...
...that Russian military recruitment centers, enlistment officials, and local administrations are mobilizing men who do not meet the #Kremlin’s stated criteria, especially #Shoigu’s promise that mobilization would prioritize men with “combat experience.”
Read 7 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Sep 23
New: the Kremlin’s heavy-handed approach to partial mobilization may successfully meet the internal #Russian quota of mobilized personnel but is unlikely to generate effective soldiers. It is prompting significant domestic backlash for little gain.

isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Russian authorities are forcibly recruiting Russian citizens to fight in #Ukraine on flimsy pretexts, openly violating the #Kremlin’s promise to recruit only those with military experience just 24 hours after its September 21 declaration. 2/ isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
#Kremlin quotas will likely force local officials to mobilize men regardless of their military status and will likely incentivize the mobilization of ethnically non-Russian and immigrant communities at a disproportional rate. 3/
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets

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