Thread by @HeliosRunner

1/ Operational situation update / #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on September 29, 2022
The situation is still evolving at fast pace #Oskil river & North Donets river. Lots of reports that #UAarmy is still moving forward & ready to encircled Ru in #Lyman (if they stay)
#UkraineMap

2/ On the direction of #Borova as we still have seen today with actual footage of Russian up there, they are preparing to defend the entire city & have blown up bridges in order to control the movements in the outskirts. (West/South/East)
but as the #UArmy is moving North i do

3/ believe that Ukrainians might want to do one more time a very "basic" move and outsmart the Ru, one more time.
I think they might want to go up to #Pershotravne #Першотравневе & then for one part, close the only road that is going to #Borova (appart north axis) & it would also

4/ kind of "sealed" all their East flank up to the Zherebets' River. Then it would be much easier to control the area.
would also help to impeach Russians reinforcements to to go south to #Zarichne #Torske by this side of the river.
then they can push north & circled #Borova

5/ as for the south part of the current action of #Lyman encirclement. we have to acknowledge that ru soldiers with a lot of "fresh" reinforcements (yeah about that.. ppl who said "we would not see anyone there before 2/3 weeks minimum".. i do remember..).
anyway they are now..

6/ in a very precarious situation as the pocket is closing every hour a bit more.. (hopefully there is RU "genius" who ordered to send troops there without being certain that the north positions would hold...)
and because of all this, it is becoming quite obvious that sooner than

7/ later this will totally collapse and i don't even think, Ru are going to be able to hold #Torske as the dynamic & the entire flow of Ukrainians soldiers would be able to bridge over the entire area (very small river/defense) & rush through next line.
Then #Kreminna ...

8/ As for the area of #Kupiansk it is not easy to assess all the position but has become clear that Ukr (even from Ru themselves) have used to their best interest some forest area to expand and reinforce some strong position, and still moving south
this could imply as they gather

9/ lots of heavy materials there, that they could launch a much more important action to join their comrade coming from the south, and we could witness within couple week the "jonction" between north and south around #Borova
(then it would be a "second" #Lyman kind of treat)

10/ Around #Lysychansk the situation seems to be very fluid & it's even harder to assess. apparently Ru have also received some reinforcements and are using lots of "fresh" manpower to delay the action of Ukrainians there.. so i can't make a "solid" FEBA line there.
we'll see..

11/ as for #Bakhmut area : "During the current day, units of the Defense Forces repelled enemy attacks in the areas of #Zaitseve, #Mayorsk, #VeselaDolyna, #Bakhmutske, #Odradivka etc"
there are hard battle there to push back russian past the river & not let them stay on higher

12/ ground... they are also not fighting Ru the same way they are doing near #Lyman
in that specific area they are more doing a "combat retardateur" & are still putting Ru in the meat mincer,
but they still need to control carefully all the situation, to avoid a break through.

13/ part of the Gen staff report this morning :

14/ About the #Pisky area... (reported shelled /bombarded)
it has become, literally, one of the biggest joke on earth, and for sure in military history one of the "reference" for "losers"..;
their famous "gigantic" conquest is not even secure yet after 7 full month of war.
lol

15/ For the south i can't tell tonight about the #Kherson area (no big changes though)
but for the axis to #KriviyRih
after really hard battles & loss of some places, South command officially claimed that : "Ukrainian defenders expanded the bridgehead across the Inhulets' River.

16/ They regained control of #Bezimenne # and advanced to #Chkalove #Чкалове .
Russian attacks on these settlements were repulsed & also all along north east front.
But it appears that Ukrainians are still not able to put enough pressure to go to #DavydivBrid #ДавидівБрід

17/ last gen staff report of the day :
part 1 & 2

18/ Also another bad bad day for Ru air force.. melting like an ice cream under a torch..
"2 RUSSIAN SU-25S DOWN
On September 29, 5 PM, in the Bashtansky district of Mykolaiv region, soldiers of the Odessa anti-air missile brigade "South" shot down two Russian SU-25 stormmen.

19/ #Zsu are grateful for the support and help of #NATO and #USA / #AFU are grateful for #NATO & #US support and help.
(more toys to come... Hi! Mars! (pun intended)

20/ "Accordingly, a decision will be made on our further actions, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine are ready for the further development of events," added Alexei #Gromov.

21/ also as i can see... there seems to be a lot of "fun" out there, that i've missed this couple past days..
T-90 having a bath or just asking to change his identity because it relates more to a submarine?