Thread by @generalsvr_en

Already on Sunday evening, #Russian President Vladimir #Putin, after talking with several permanent members of the Russian Security Council, removed the discussion of the issue of agreeing on the possibility of using tactical nuclear weapons from the agenda.
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He decided on a "massive missile strike" on #Ukraine. Given constant failures at the front, the explosion and collapse of part of the #CrimeanBridge, a symbol of the realization of #Putin's imperial ambitions, of course, demanded a "response" and, preferably, immediate.
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At the time of choosing the response, #Putin was considering only three options. The first, indistinct, is to launch several missile strikes on #Ukraine's critical infrastructure and a symbolic "decision-making center", for example, the parliament building.
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The second, massive missile attack on civilian and energy infrastructure and on the buildings of the "decision-making center", was accepted. BUT in some "miraculous" way, not a single missile hit any of the planned symbolic buildings.
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However, either the #Ukrainian air defense that worked out according to these missiles or the missiles went way past the target. The third option was a final warning/ ultimatum (approved by the Security Council).
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The ultimatum should be followed by a strike with low-yield tactical nuclear weapons on bridges across the Dnieper. The second option was accepted as “optimal”, and such that for a short time would solve two main tasks:
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“the mob” as #Putin calls his “nuclear” electorate, and ultra-patriots would get satisfaction from revenge for the trampled symbol and continue to believe in the Great Victory;
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and the elites, who do not fully understand the state of affairs (there are many of them), would be ready to be deceived and calm down for a while, to observe the agony of the regime. It must be said right away that a massive missile strike is a one-time action...
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that does not have real consequences, and has a short-term effect, mainly informational. And of course, this action can be repeated several times with approximately the same "success", but with a fading effect.
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The Russian leadership DOES NOT have the opportunity to deliver constant massive missile strikes, due to the insufficient number of "high-precision" missiles. It is known to the military leadership, to which Putin shifted responsibility for yesterday's strike on #Ukraine...
10/14

and, of course, all of #Putin's entourage.
Putin has already lost the war. There is practically nothing to fight with. The escalation that the Russian leadership is embarking on is senseless and criminal and will lead to more victims among, above all, the Russian military.
11/14

The hope that #Ukraine or #Europe will “freeze” and will beg #Putin for peace on any terms is untenable - this is propaganda nonsense for completely outright idiots. Throwing corpses of poorly dressed and poorly armed "mobilized" is generally beyond...
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the bounds of reasonable understanding, and it won't be enough for a long time. The second wave of mobilization is a big question. #Belarus, if it enters the war on the side of #Russia, which is highly doubtful, will exhaust its reserves in less than a month and a half.
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The war is lost. #Putin knows about it, the General Staff knows about it, as well as the Ministry of Defense with all the leadership of law enforcement agencies. Every day the war continues for Putin and the leadership of #Russia is worse than a crime, it is a mistake.
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