👉CLSA has flagged mean reversion as a derating risk for Indian equities.
👉A record valuation premium in equities as well as domestic bonds indicates low margin of safety.
👉A simple valuation mean reversion anchored on bond yields indicates fear of 30% in Nifty.
(2/4)
👉About individual stocks in NSE500, 55% have current TTM PE higher than 5 year avg.
👉At high volatility & stretched valuations, PEG ratio can do good in quality stock selection as high PE stock can be a good bet if it is expected to report strong earnings growth.
(3/4)
👉PEG ratio refines the standard PE multiple of a stock by including its projected earnings growth. It is calculated by PE/EPS growth.
👉Stocks with PEG ratios of less than 1 are considered undervalued, whereas those with ratios more than 1 are considered overvalued.
(4/4)
I hope the thread was useful. Do you use PEG ratio in your stock selection process? Lemme know in the comments below.
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🔸News headlines are rarely helpful for investors. Most are just junk flowing through. Even today, there is no shortage of headlines which are just up-to-date version of the past headlines.
(2/4)
🔹Most investors do badly because they pay too much attention to the news & react too much to the events.
🔸So now the question comes, what news should one react to for making investment decisions? What news might affect stock markets?
👉Indian tech IPOs are finding the going hard due to depressed valuations & a more conservative approach from the market regulator.
👉Droom technology is the latest IT company to withdraw its IPO of around Rs 30 billion preferring to raise money in private market.
(2/5)
👉The online loss making automobile marketplace had filed Prospectus in Nov 2021 & withdrew last week.
👉Droom is not the 1st to shelve IPO this year. In August, online healthcare platform API Holdings cancelled Rs 62.5 billion IPO citing tough market conditions.
👉SEBI seems to be regretting some of the IPOs it approved last year, after they have eroded investments away. They include Paytm, Policy bazaar & even Zomato.
👉Now, SEBI is paying closer attention to how valuations are decided.
(2/5)
👉Earlier SEBI proposed that loss-making tech companies should explain how they decided pricing & how it compares to pre-IPO funding rounds.
👉But now, SEBI is asking cos in the tech space to make earning projections for the coming qtrs to check if they achieve them.
👉They are a tech driven affordable housing co supported by centralized underwriting & in-depth understanding of local properties having pan-India presence.
👉They provide home loans to 1st time buyers with focus on salaried individuals having monthly income of < Rs 50k
👉Dividends are distributed from the free cash flow left with the companies after completing all their operating expenses.
👉If the company is not able to find a suitable place to invest or park its surplus money into, they buy back their own shares from the market.
(2/10)
👉Benefit of buying back shares is that the earnings per share or EPS increases as number of shares go down. Hence, the value of each remaining share rises up.
Following the great traction in passenger vehicles, next in line might be commercial vehicles (CVs) to lead the auto industry sales.
(2/5)
Pandemic restricted cargo mobility but now, demand for Light commercial vehicles or LCVs (largest segment in auto segment) is picking up boosted by FMCG, e-commerce & logistics sectors.