ISW Profile picture
Nov 22 5 tweets 3 min read
The #Russian government is continuing to increase its control of the Russian information space as a milblogger noted that Russian efforts “look like a kitten against a rhinoceros” compared with foreign “think tanks,” nonprofits, and “independent media.” isw.pub/UkrWar112122 Image
2/ #Russian news outlet Kommersant reported that the Russian State Duma may consider a bill before the end of 2022 on the regulation of online “recommender” algorithms that would ultimately allow the government to turn off specific algorithms.
3/ The #Russian Federal State Security Service (FSB) took steps to codify control over the information space and signed a decree that approved a list of military and military-technical activities, which, if received by foreign sources, can threaten #Russia's security.
4/ Both the proposed #Duma bill and the #FSB decree indicate that the #Russian government is scrambling to take control of the information space as it is inundated by criticisms of the Russian military that are levied both internally and externally.
5/ #Russian officials likely seek to consolidate censorship measures to crack down on foreign voices and domestic critiques, applying legislative pressure to fundamental algorithms and presenting a range of activities that could be detrimental to Russian State Security.

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Nov 23
Updates on #Russian-Occupied Areas:

1/ Russian sources continued to tout the forced adoption of Ukrainian children into Russian families on November 22.

isw.pub/UkrWar112222 Image
A Russian milblogger circulated the fifth part of a Russian documentary series following the adoption of three children from Snizhne, Donetsk Oblast into a Russian family.
This documentary campaign is likely intended to propagate informational conditions to normalize the forced assimilation of Ukrainian children into Russian society.
Read 9 tweets
Nov 23
#Russian Mobilization & Force Generation Update:

1/ The #Kremlin continues to deflect concerns about mobilization onto the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD). isw.pub/UkrWar112222 Image
2/ Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stated on November 22 that the #Kremlin is not discussing the possibility of a new mobilization wave but noted that he is “unable to speak for the Russian MoD.”
3/ Russian recruitment officials are continuing to carry out crypto mobilization procedures in Russia and occupied Ukrainian territories. #Prigozhin subtly implied that he “was near” Kuzbass, Kemerovo Oblast, when responding to a question about prisoner recruitment in the region.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 23
Southern #Ukraine Update:

Russian forces continued conducting defensive measures and establishing fortifications in #Kherson Oblast south of the #Dnipro River on November 22.
isw.pub/UkrWar112222 Image
2/ The Ukrainian Center for Strategic Communications and Information Security also reported that Ukrainian forces are continuing to carry out unspecified operations on the Kinburn Spit, but specified that Russian forces are still holding positions at the spit.
3/ The Russian MoD continued to accuse #Ukraine of provoking a man-made disaster at the Zaporizhzia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) on November 22 in what is likely a continuation of Russian information and false-flag operations to consolidate control of the plant.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 23
New in tonight's Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment w/ @criticalthreats: Russian military movements suggest that Russian forces are likely reinforcing positions in eastern #Zaporizhia and western #Donetsk oblasts. isw.pub/UkrWar112222 Image
2/ The Ukrainian General Staff reported on November 22 that Chechen and #Wagner Group formations deployed to Debaltseve, #Donetsk Oblast and that Russian forces are regrouping individual units in the area of Molchansk, #Zaporizhia Oblast (just northeast of #Melitopol).
3/ Social media sources posted images on November 21 showing Russian trucks and vehicles in #Melitopol moving from the south to the north throughout November.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 23
NEW: The #Kremlin appears to be setting information conditions for a false-flag attack in #Belgorod Oblast, #Russia, likely in an effort to regain public support for the war in #Ukraine.

isw.pub/UkrWar112222 ImageImageImageImage
2/ #Kremlin propagandists have begun hypothesizing that Ukrainian forces seek to invade #Belgorod Oblast, and other Russian sources noted that Russian forces need to regain control over Kupyansk, #Kharkiv Oblast, to minimize the threat of a Ukrainian attack.
3/ Russian claims of an imminent Ukrainian attack on #Belgorod Oblast are absurd and only aim to scare the general public to support the war. #Ukraine has no strategic interest in invading #Russia and no ability to do so at such a scale.
Read 8 tweets
Nov 22
The Kinburn Spit is only 4km across the strait from Ochakiv and allows for control of the entrance to the #Dnipro and Southern Bug rivers as well as the #Mykolaiv and #Kherson city ports. isw.pub/UkrWar112122
2/ Russian forces used positions on the Kinburn Spit to conduct routine missile and artillery strikes on Ukrainian positions in Ochakiv, southern Mykolaiv Oblast, and other areas along the Ukrainian-controlled Black Sea Coast.
3/ The Kinburn Spit is also out of the 25km range of 152mm artillery that Russian forces have accumulated on the left (east) bank of the #Dnipro River in #Kherson Oblast.
Read 5 tweets

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