If we are in a climate emergency... It's not in lives lost due to natural disasters or an increase in geophysical, hydrological, meteorological,or climatological disasters. So where specifically is the emergency? It's in the failed predictions. #climate#ClimateEmergency
No increase in global land area burned and no increase in global major hurricane frequency. Where is this emergency I keep hearing about?
No increase in economic damage from droughts. Where is this emergency?
There is, however, an emergency in our fundamental misunderstanding of forcing within the climate system and the climate models.
"Our observational analyses render models with large positive feedbacks implausible..."
There is no decrease in crop yields. Again, where is the climate emergency?
So, although there is no metric by which the state of the climate can be considered an emergency, the constant catastrophizing of all weather events by fear mongering adults has caused an emergency in the mental health of young people.
On a dynamic planet the climate always changes and we are relatively cool as compared to the last 5 million years as exemplified by the temperature stripes below.
The climate system is extremely complex and disentangeling natural variability from anthropogenic changes remains difficult.
Although there is likely a consensus that humans can influence the climate, there is absolutely no consensus on the amount of anthropogenic warming currently occuring. Furthermore, the focus on consensus is the opposite of how science is done.
And the simple fact still remains that after all the hysteria there has been almost no change in the rate of increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration. What is this all for? Where is the climate emergency?
No matter what the magnitude of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions has on climate (I would argue its overstated by the IPCC) the warming climate has not at all been bad for most of the planet. Yes sea levels are rising slightly (about 1/10th of the rate...
...that they rose after the last glacial) and obviously temperatures have risen (much more in urban areas due to the Urban Heat Island Effect) but people are living longer than ever. Less folks are at risk of famine or malnutrition than ever before. There has been...
...no increase in extreme weather events such as droughts, floods, or hurricanes. The planet is greening and with that crop yields are at record highs. Vast amount of land that was unsuitable for agriculture or livestock due to cold temps is becoming available...
The climate alarmists playbook simplified. 1) Lie about today's temperature being higher than anytime in recent history.
2) Lie about the changes in temperature being greeter than anything in recent history. Note: the Younger Dryas had temperature changes of 15°C in a century, we have seen 1°C in a century and a half.
3) Pretend that there is a consensus about anthropogenic CO2 emissions effect on temperature. There is not.