Thread by @HeliosRunner

1/ Alexander Sladkov statement "Ukrainian arty does whatever it wants."
saying #Russia counter-battery is really lacking efficiency because of a lack of ground reconnaissance and #UAVs that can quickly locate #Ukrainian artillery. "Our artillery is blind."
yeah.. so sad. nope

2/ "All talk about our superiority in artillery remains an empty phrase !!!"
and the "famous" Ru superiority (i learned it too this way) with counter battery is far gone!
#Ukrainian are able to sustain strong attacks because a blind is always falling fast if he runs unguided...

3/ "Do they report about this with intelligence"
oh no honey 😬😂👋 they don't!
bc this is what is about when you work in a total autocratic effing country based on fake "alpha" shit & reprimand & with no real intermediate structure/ competent non-commissioned officers (sous off

4/ also their "intel service" has been rotten from inside and their hyper hierarchy does not allow them no more to report all this to "superior"
or when they do, the only thing they hear is 'shut up' or "yes i passed along to the colonel" but frankly no one can do anything bc

5/ anyway we have no more materials to pour-in in this effing war son!

so at the end of the day, you are just stuck with your simple soviet "big guns" and are enable to fit the requirement of a modern warfare situation.

6/ also other big issue is that the Russ army has now a complete lack of other means of long range reconnaissance that could actually locate and target Ukrainian precision fires. (because they still can use small DJI drones now) even if short life expectancy.

7/ and this is why all the moder super fast SPH (like Caesar) or Himars-like when well used and properly protected (if Ru can't capitalize on sat imagery analysis) are such a huge factor in this war !
because they are too far beyond ru "intel eyes"

8/ i can still remember until (around) #Marioupol battle, that Russian SOF was playing a special role in that regard and since the very first days of war.
but because this is a total war that went far beyond the "acceptable point" for a simple "expeditionary corps" as Ru army

9/ was build for... then all the "famous" (and some of them were certainly great combattant don't get me wrong i can recall lots of them when they came to Lyman and still were alive to post on their TG accounts 😅😅) SOF and reco spe ops ARE NOW DEAD.

they have been "used".

10/ just put through the giant meat grinder that this war is. (a lots of good Ukrainian too don't be fooled though).
BUT remember when i was explaining even back then in week 30 that whatever they were "thinking" & contrary to missiles for example, Ru will enter the "dead zone"

11/ also for the Drones and reco materials on the ground to support their troops (and i've made thread specifically about this)
so now, they are "cooked" because Iran is not so much able to give some right now (they produce what they understand/elec for = suicide drones etc)

12/ and China is just effing fed up with all this war and the huge recession that western countries are about to experience and themselves are just in absolute need to have a good one, because of internal problem and "stall" progress.
anyway..

13/ so no more "specialiZZed recce elements to support long deep reco.. as they have been used up as regular infantry in some cases and or have been themselves just obliterated with high precision #Bavovna strikes... or just killed while helping "regular" corps/troops to go front

14/ also now the big big diff as explained a while ago for #Kherson (diff time/space frame but exact same pb for Ru) : #UAarmy has a perfect land picture and is able to determine unitary Target Sets, and with the help of various effectors & highly trained operators ( so with

15/ long reco device, with UAV short/ "instantaneous" correction/designation and precision 155mm rockets (like excalibur) or even the use of Brimstones-like and all the range of special antiperso warhead mounted on things like StugnaP etc
ukrainian are able to "contain" Ru push

16/ reminder :

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1547285919396421634

(#Kherson assessment here) more :

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1567086033057026050

17/ and "funny" enough, this morning someone reports to me this vid posted on Youtube (thanks to my Ukrainian friends!)
Artillery specialist captain Arty Green. Providing us another view of the battle around #Bakhmut
CC included.

18/ it's a bit on the "long side" regarding the length of the vid, but it's quite informative.
there are other Ukr accounts though and we shall all take them into accounts to make a "truer" picture when we can.
remember this is a typical true way of thinking for historians.

19/ just to stick some "reminder" notes here in the thread :
so this one as important (and i'll complete the explanations if i have time) :

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1601629191493287936

et vs pouvez avoir la "version basique" Fra ici (faites par Stephane :

https://twitter.com/StphaneCardon3/status/1601987133404766211

20/ but we need also to acknowledge the hard facts and reports of losses.

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1600475303272280066

("funny" enough one of the less rt thread.. which gives me headaches when people just don't want to "see" the simple truth). i got to tell you i was thinking just stopping reports.

21/ yes there are other think to "talk" in this comment from this morning.
like it seems now that all the men (if not dead or who fled in Russia) of #Donetsk are on the front.
Do you imagine the "future" of this area anyway.
tells you what the Kremlin really thinks about this.

22/ so yes many other thinks to talk about like interesting conversation i had this morning w friends abt the "way" ru were "originally" using their army to go forward (doctrine)... & why Putin is an UTTER failure as a "strategist" both in term of planing & military knowledge.