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Dec 18 • 4 tweets • 6 min read
Today's abbreviated update by @TheStudyofWar & CTP discusses the Russian military leadership's efforts to address failures in #Ukraine, the planned 12/19 #Putin-#Lukashenko meeting, and Yevgeny Prigozhin's continued efforts to legitimize the #Wagner Group: criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
#Ukrainian and #Russian sources reported that positional fighting continued along the #Svatove-#Kremmina line. (2/4)
#Ukrainian and #Russian sources reported ongoing fighting in the outskirts of #Bakhmut and to the northeast and south of the city. The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed that Russian forces captured #Yakovlivka, #Donetsk Oblast, northeast of #Soledar. (3/4)
A #Ukrainian official stated that #Russian forces are redeploying units from the east (left) bank of the #Dnipro River in #Kherson Oblast and that it is too early to tell whether Russian forces are withdrawing. (4/4)

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More from @criticalthreats

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Dec 19
NEW | Supreme Leader Ali #Khamenei and significant parts of his inner circle are continuing to misdiagnose the core problems driving the ongoing protests. Today's update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar: criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… (1/6)
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At least two protests took place in two cities across two provinces. Protests and strikes may increase in the coming days. (2/6)
Some protesters have increasingly focused on imposing economic pressure on the regime as the #Iranian Rial continues to devaluate. (3/6)
Read 6 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 17
Ongoing #Russian offensive operations around #Bakhmut are further driving a wedge between forces of the Donetsk People’s Republic and Yevgeny Prigozhin’s Wagner Group troops.criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… 1/4
#Ukrainian forces conducted counterattacks near #Svatove and #Kreminna and continue to strike Russian rear areas. 2/4
#Russian forces continued offensive operations near #Bakhmut and #Avdiivka-Donetsk City. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 17
NEW | Russian forces conducted their ninth large-scale missile campaign against critical Ukrainian energy infrastructure on December 16 and carried out one of the largest missile attacks on Kyiv to date. Read the update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
Russian forces continued offensive operations in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka-Donetsk City areas.
Russian forces conducted counterattacks in the Svatove and Kreminna areas on December 16.
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 17
NEW | Protest organizations and coordinators are increasingly promoting consistent and sustainable acts of anti-regime defiance as the #MahsaAmini protest movement enters its fourth consecutive month. Read CTP and @TheStudyofWar’s daily Iran update here:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-…
Iranian Parliament and the Supreme Cultural Revolution Council did not release an opinion on the mandatory veiling law--or how the regime chooses to police this law--on December 16.
Prominent Sunni Cleric Moulana Abdol Hamid condemned the regime for sentencing arrested protesters to death in his weekly Friday sermon in Zahedan, Sistan and Baluchistan Province.
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 16
Russia may be setting conditions to conduct a new offensive against Ukraine— possibly against Kyiv—in winter 2023. Such an attack is extraordinarily unlikely to succeed. A Russian attack from Belarus is not imminent at this time. criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s objectives in Ukraine have not changed.
Putin is using two simultaneous military efforts to pursue his objective of conquering Ukraine and securing major concessions.
Read 7 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 15
NEW | #Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly postponed his address to the Russian Federal Assembly, indicating that the Kremlin is not confident that it can continue to shape the Russian information space. Read the update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
#Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations and #Russian forces conducted counterattacks in the #Svatove and #Kreminna areas. Image
#Russian forces continued offensive operations in the #Bakhmut and #Avdiivka areas. Image
Read 4 tweets

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