Mick Ryan, AM Profile picture
Jan 4 25 tweets 10 min read
Since the beginning of Russia's invasion of #Ukraine, President Zelensky has harnessed the full range of national resources to defend his country. A thread on the #leadership & speeches of @ZelenskyyUa. 1/25 🧵 mickryan.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-tw…
2/ Whether it is the mobilisation of Ukrainian people for military or civil defense purposes, to conduct cyber operations, engage in the global influence campaign or to simply keep their nation running, Zelensky has been the leader that Ukrainians look to.
3/ Of all the resources that Zelensky has appropriated to halt and throw back this vicious assault on #Ukraine, perhaps one of the most powerful has been his use of the written and spoken word.
4/ He has leveraged language to inspire his people, provide purpose for his soldiers and his government, to share the tragedy experienced by his people and to celebrate their successes as well.
5/ This is a rare skill. Few are able to master the right language for a given moment, while also ensuring the right audiences are engaged, or inspired, by the core messages. To this end, Zelensky is quite rightly compared to Sir Winston #Churchill.
6/ President Kennedy, speaking in 1963, said of Churchill that: "In the dark days and darker nights when Britain stood alone—and most men save Englishmen despaired of England’s life—he mobilized the English language and sent it into battle."
7/ Zelensky has mobilised language and sent it into battle since 24 February 2022. His quote that “I need ammunition, not a ride” is sure to be used in everything from #military doctrine to corporate leadership speeches for decades to come.
8/ His New Year’s message for 2022, likewise provided several memorable passages, including the following: "I'm here. We are here. You are here. Everyone is here. We are all Ukraine." president.gov.ua/en/news/novori…
9/ Zelensky, and what is assumed to be a supporting strategic communications staff, have overseen perhaps the best example of modern strategic communications by any democratic nation.
10/ The aggregated efforts of Ukrainian online activities, and their investment in a robust telecommunications infrastructure, has resulted in stories from the war being available globally and in near real time.
11/ It has allowed the world to see the debased behaviour of Russian soldiers. It enables journalists to access audiences & analysts to share observations. And it permits people who never expected to see such a war in their lifetime to understand the reality of war.
12/ But the centre of it all has been Zelensky. His almost daily speeches, including talks to world institutions, universities and other groups, are available in Ukrainian and English, in video and written forms.
13/ Just before Christmas last year, Ukrainian President Zelensky gave two speeches. One, an address to a joint sitting of the US Congress, was televised live around the world and provided important messages on supporting Ukraine’s war effort.
14/ But Zelensky gave a 2nd speech a few hours before departing for his visit to Washington DC. Visiting his soldiers on the front line during the continuing Battle of #Bakhmut, Zelensky met with the troops, presented awards for valour & was given a signed Ukrainian flag.
15/ At first glance, these were two entirely different audiences. One, the lawmakers of the richest and most powerful nation on earth. The other, a group of weary, grimy soldiers just back from the front line in one of Ukraine’s most vicious ongoing battles.
16/ But in examining these speeches, we see in Zelensky a confident orator who understands his audience, is able to tailor the messages for each, and provide them with purpose for their ongoing support and efforts.
17/ He shifts his tone depending on location, & varies his language to suit the outcome he desires for each speech. This is a skill he has applied and refined throughout the war to inspire his own people while seeking support and assistance from beyond Ukraine’s borders.
18/ General Dwight Eisenhower wrote in his book, Crusade in Europe, that: "Belief in an underlying cause is fully as important to success in war as any local espirit or discipline induced or produced by command or leadership action."
19/ Whether he is speaking at the front lines with his soldiers, or in the legislature of the most powerful democracies, Zelensky wants his own people, his enemies and the rest of world to believe that #Ukraine can and will win this war.
20/ At heart, his speeches and all of his strategic communications activities, are about providing purpose. A purpose that his people, and many from foreign nations, can believe in.
21/ This where Zelensky’s #leadership & talent for strategic influence intersects. He is able to craft a message for his own people, his government, his soldiers as well as people in foreign countries, that describes the importance of supporting the defence of #Ukraine.
22/ Zelensky adroitly uses the written and spoken word to outline why defending democracy is important, and why the price of doing so is much less than not doing so.
23/ President Zelensky has demonstrated physical and moral #courage and set an example for his own people. The moral clarity of good versus evil in this war, and Zelensky’s speeches about it, has been a vital foundation for the ongoing external support provided to #Ukraine.
24/ This blending of #leadership & global influence is what makes Zelensky a rare leader. And it is what also makes him essential to the defence of his nation, the protection of democracy more broadly, and the finest leader of the 21st century so far. End. mickryan.substack.com/p/a-tale-of-tw…
25/ You can read a longer version of this at my #Substack (its free). Thank you to the following who images were used in this thread: @KyivIndependent @CNN @wartranslated @IAPonomarenko @washingtonpost @ZelenskyyUa

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More from @WarintheFuture

Jan 5
The announcements in the past day of infantry fighting vehicles being sent to #Ukraine represent an increase in capability for Ukraine’s soldiers, and a change in mindset in the Western leaders. What does this mean for 2023? 1/25 🧵🇺🇦 washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
2/ And we should not forget, the French are also contributing to this enhanced armoured fighting vehicle fleet for #Ukraine.
3/ These decisions will have several impacts on fighting - as well as strategy and preparing for fighting - in 2023.
Read 25 tweets
Jan 1
There is much in the war in #Ukraine we do not see. The struggle on the ground is dynamic, and the correlation of forces can be unclear. This makes predictions about the future trajectory of the war nearly impossible. 1/25 🧵
2/ However, there are certain variables which are likely to have a significant impact on the course of the war in 2023. I believe there are five key variables, which depending on the approaches of #Russia and #Ukraine, will shape this war in the coming year.
3/ Variable 1 is effective conservation of ammunition and the capacity of the west to increase defence production. The war in #Ukraine is the first in three decades to challenge post-Cold War defence industrial and strategic logistic models.
Read 25 tweets
Dec 22, 2022
President Zelensky of #Ukraine has just completed his historic and stirring speech to the US Congress. What were his key messages, and what might we take away from his address? A thread on my initial impressions. 1/24 🧵
2/ Back in February, such an address was unimaginable for most people. In the grim first few days of the Russian invasion, @ZelenskyyUa uttered those immortal words “I need ammunition, not a ride”.
3/ Not only was he telling his people that he was staying to lead them no matter what, his words electrified western populations and government leaders. The aid began to flow despite the concerns by some that Russian might succeed. #Leadership
Read 24 tweets
Dec 20, 2022
Recently, there has been much commentary about whether #Ukraine can - or should - seek to take back its Crimean territory through the force of arms. #Crimea remains Ukrainian territory, occupied by Russia since 2014. A thread on how all roads may lead to Crimea in 2023. 1/20 🧵
2/ There is no prospect of Russia negotiating over the future of #Crimea unless they are forced to through continuing battlefield defeats. Putin has shown zero inclination to give up annexed territory he doesn’t control, let alone Ukrainian territory he illegally seized in 2014.
3/ How might Ukraine, and its supporters in the international community, move towards an outcome where Ukraine regains control of this part of its territory? abc.net.au/news/2022-12-2…
Read 20 tweets
Dec 19, 2022
War is a very destructive human endeavour. But war is also a learning opportunity for military institutions. Many governments and institutions are watching the war in #Ukraine for insights into future competition and conflict. A thread on lessons and the war. 1/25 🧵
2/ Back in May, I explored why learning in war is so important, and explained some of the principles related to lessons and lessons learned for military organisations. You can read that post here:
3/ In the past ten months there has been a profusion of articles that propose lists of lessons from the Russo-Ukraine War. Some – from experts on war, the military, strategy and national security affairs - are well informed and cogently argued. atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atla…
Read 25 tweets
Dec 15, 2022
In 1914-1915, a scandal erupted in England about the shortage of high explosive shells for the western front. There was a lag in industry expanding to satisfy the enormous consumption of munitions in the war. Something similar is occurring now with #Ukraine. 1/24
2/ Importantly, the WW1 shell crisis was also a symptom of a military institution that had failed to anticipate the challenges of modern war. The current shortage of munitions should be understood as a government & military failure to anticipate. smh.com.au/world/europe/a…
3/ Consequently in 2023, the Ukrainian Army may run out of munitions before it runs out of fight. Based on current usage of ammunition in the war, production of munitions is increasingly lagging battlefield needs.
Read 24 tweets

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