While researching for an analytical article (see tweet 4) on #Czechia's presidential elections (1st round this week), I conducted an interview with a leading candidate @danusenerudova to find out more about her positions.
Read the full interview here 1/5 expats.cz/czech-news/art…
@danusenerudova is up against Petr Pavel @general_pavel & oligarch & former PM @AndrejBabis
- While Pavel pledges to restore order, Nerudova has a vision of change.
Either would be far, far better than #Babis who could undermine🇨🇿's intl standing & support for #Ukraine.
2/5
Both Pavel & Nerudova will unify the anti-Babis vote in the second round but both have been criticised.
Pavel, more conservative, for his communist past. Nerudova, more liberal, for a scandal at her university - (+ some say she is lightweight but that may be partly misogyny).
3/5
What I found interesting was Nerudova's 1. Willingness to embrace the #NeoIdealist foreign policy of @JanLipavsky - & identify with e.g. Kaja Kallas & Sanna Marin. 2. Desire to rethink the country's economic basis - & put her expertise to this purpose expats.cz/czech-news/art…
4/5
See what you think of Nerudova's answers to my Qs (intended to allow her to lay out her positions rather than to interrogate them). I pushed her on the economics aspects & about the limits of tolerance but you can find my full analysis (from Nov) here. politico.eu/article/czech-…
5/5
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With the great news that #Poland will supply a company of #Leopard2 Main Battle Tanks & the #UK set to provide #Challenger2#MBTs, the spotlight is now trained firmly on Berlin. Will #Germany join the coalition to give #Ukraine the tanks -#Kampfpanzer!- it needs?🧵1/
Happily, that looks increasingly likely.
SPD Chancellor #Scholz' coalition partners the Greens & FDP are insisting that #Germany take part & rumours of a no-confidence vote ultimatum are swirling. @ABaerbock's visit to Kharkiv with @DmytroKuleba & @Makeiev was no coincidence 2/
But, as we know, #Scholz & co have a history of giving reasons not to deliver only for those to evaporate into excuses. @Kuleba noted this on Germany's main TV news show - 'first they say no, vigorously defend their decision, only to finally say yes' 3/ politico.eu/article/britis…
1. What is Neo-Idealism?
(seeing as many of you have asked)
It’s a new approach to Grand Strategy & International Relations that I think we can see emerging in responses to #Russia’s war & from #Ukraine’s brave resistance.
1st 🧵in a series on #NeoIdealism
1/25
I introduced the idea of #NeoIdealism in a piece for @RUSI_org in April '22. Its fullest elaboration so far is in my book 'To #Ukraine With Love' that came out last month - available on kindle & paperback on all amazon stores 😃
So what is it? 2/25 amazon.co.uk/Ukraine-Love-E…
#NeoIdealism is a morally based approach to the geopolitical pursuit of interests that emphasises all democratic states, including smaller states' rights to self-determination - e.g. in joining spheres of Integration (EU, NATO) & rejecting spheres of influence (🇷🇺 empire)
3/25
No surprises here - the ‘restraint’ school of foreign policy (little more than thoughts & prayers for a world they know little about & care for even less.)
- what does consistently amaze me is their failure to see the interconnection of US security with others & with values 1/3 twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The strenuous effort that Posen makes to shoehorn every Russian move into something that can be lauded is remarkable- and totally transparent. He nods to his own glaringly wrong assessment of the conflict last summer as ‘stalemated’ -yet it doesn’t deter him from repeating it 2/3
Like Kupchan, Walt, Mearsheimer & other realists, he also entirely fails to understand the human cost to Ukraine & Ukrainians of defeat (not happening) or premature, non-victorious negotiation (what he’s pushing). @noaasm_ well notes the wider costs too, which restrainers ignore
Disgraceful from #Germany’s main, public-funded news ‘analysis’ show .
-@tagesthemen & Host @HelgeFuhst highlight this view from their Washington correspondent @gudrun_engel
-why? Short🧵
Patronising Ukrainians & underrating #Ukraine's progress on the battlefield has been a consistent feature of Germany's public debate this year. From so-called intellectuals behind the #emmaoffenerbrief to the chief of Germany's military.
While so many of #Germany's population have been inspired by #Ukraine's courageous resistance & resourcefulness in the face of Russia's horrific attack, many in Germany's establishment seem unable to share in that positive sentiment.
So this claim is apparently bullshit. - that #Germany had to spend extra money fitting its Puma IFVs (which failed at the NATO exercise) to meet workplace requirements for heavily pregnant women.
🇩🇪has enough issues to solve without inventing fake ones.
Unhelpful distraction.
I love living in #Germany - & share lots of good things about it on Twitter - but there are always things that, as a migrant, are puzzling. 4 such things in *last 24 hrs* really made me question what is going on with 🇩🇪 ‘service’ culture
Is it just me or is there an issue here?🧵
Quick note for those who don’t know - I spend most of my time working on international politics esp. related to #Ukraine - & while the things mentioned here might seem like 1st world probs or complaining on a high level, I bring them up for a reason.
1 The wine order.
- ordered wine for Xmas season from a large wine retailer (2-3 days delivery)
- 8 days later, still no wine
- DHL/Deutsche Post Web pronouncing nonsense (claimed delivered, then not, then ?)
call up the store:
-it will be delivered today.
- are you sure?