Josh Warner Profile picture
Jan 31 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 4 min read
๐Ÿ“ธ #Snap releases Q4 #earnings after US markets close today.

A conference call is scheduled at 1430 PT (1730 ET).

Here is a ๐Ÿงต on what to expect...
๐Ÿฆ #Snap was the canary in the coal mine last earnings season, when growth stalled to its slowest pace on record.

๐Ÿ‘๏ธ That was followed by disappointing results from fellow #advertising stocks like #Meta and #Alphabet - with both #stocks due to report later this week.
๐ŸŒ The slowdown will continue this quarter, with revenue set to grow just 0.5% - marking the slowest pace since Snap went public back in 2017. Image
The topline will only grow because Snap continues to grow its user base, countering lower revenue from each user - with ARPU set to be down 14% YoY as ad pricing comes under pressure.

Snap forecast to add 15.5m users in Q4 - and keep an eye on Snapchat+ subscriber numbers. Image
Snap remains in the red and won't turn to profit for years to come, according to Wall St.

Valuation is geared to growth, but prospects look subdued.

โœ‚๏ธ That could make cost control key going forward. Snap has already cut 6,000 jobs, equal to around 20% of workforce
๐Ÿ’ฐ Liquidity remains strong with billions in cash and, although cashflow has been under pressure, it should stay positive in 2023.

๐Ÿ’ช The strength of the balance sheet was demonstrated by the $500m buyback being launched last quarter despite a much tougher outlook.
๐Ÿ” What does Wall St expect from Snap in 2023?

๐Ÿ“ˆ DAUs are to continue growing rapidly and revenue plus earnings growth will accelerate as Snap comes up against easier comparatives this year.

๐Ÿ’ต Cashflow should also hit record levels
Quick look at $SNAP before the results:

๐Ÿ“‰ Stuck in $8 to $13 range for 8 months

๐Ÿฅ… Recently recaptured 50-day and 100-day MAs

โ“ Will #earnings provide catalyst to push it out of range?

๐Ÿšจ RSI approaching overbought territory

๐Ÿ” Brokers see just 5% upside from here Image
๐Ÿ‘ That's it, you're all set and ready for the earnings later.

Happy trading!

You can find out more about the result, including what consensus numbers to look out for today, in our full earnings preview below ๐Ÿ‘‡
ms.spr.ly/60135DMpf

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More from @CityIndex_Josh

Feb 2
๐Ÿ“ฆ #Amazon releases results after markets close today

โ˜Ž๏ธ A conference call is scheduled at 1430 PT (1730 ET)

Here is a ๐Ÿงต on what to expect from the #earnings...
๐ŸŒ Virtually all of Amazon's businesses are suffering a slowdown, from ecommerce to cloud computing

This is set to see it deliver its slowest sales growth on record for any Q4 - an important quarter covering the busy holiday shopping season. Image
#Ecommerce sales are falling as the explosion in demand seen during the pandemic continues to unwind.

However, they remain considerably higher than back in 2019 Image
Read 10 tweets
Feb 2
๐ŸŽ #Apple releases results after markets close today

โ˜Ž๏ธ A conference call is scheduled for 1400 PT (1700 ET)

Here is a ๐Ÿงต of what to expect from the world's most valuable publicly-listed company...
It was a tough quarter thanks to Covid-19 disruption in #China and softening demand

As a result, markets expect sales to drop for the 1st time in 3 years

That will be driven by lower #iPhone and #Mac sales ๐Ÿ‘‡ Image
๐Ÿ›๏ธ That will mean it won't deliver growth over the Golden Quarter - the busiest period covering the holiday shopping season.

This raises the question of how many of these sales will be pushed into 2023 or lost entirely
Read 9 tweets
Feb 2
๐Ÿ”Ž #Alphabet, the owner of #Google, releases results after markets close today.

โ˜Ž๏ธ A conference call with management is scheduled for 1330 PT (1630 ET).

Here is a ๐Ÿงต on what to expect from the #earnings today...
๐ŸŒ There has been a pullback in spending by advertisers and this is expected to see the company deliver its slowest revenue growth on record.

๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ While not immune, its monopoly over Search has helped it prove more resilient than its social media rivals like #Meta Image
โ˜๏ธ Google Cloud is forecast to see sales rise 30%, but that would be the 7th consecutive quarter of slower growth.

Plus, unlike rivals #Amazon and #Microsoft, Google Cloud is in the red and not set to deliver a profit for several years. Image
Read 8 tweets

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