🧵Racial minorities are 40% of the US population but only 5% of jurors.
For @Stanford CS109, I built an interactive site that explores the probabilities of jury selection and race.
cs109.olafblitz.repl.co
👇 more info
For @Stanford CS109, I built an interactive site that explores the probabilities of jury selection and race.
cs109.olafblitz.repl.co
👇 more info
https://twitter.com/itsandrewgao/status/1636611922429898754
@Stanford 1/n
In the #AhmaudArbery trial, only 1 in 12 jurors was Black, even though the local population is 27% Black.
The defendants struck out 11/12 jurors.
In another case, a jury pool of 105 people in Stockton, CA had 0 Black people.
The website teaches probability in the context… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
In the #AhmaudArbery trial, only 1 in 12 jurors was Black, even though the local population is 27% Black.
The defendants struck out 11/12 jurors.
In another case, a jury pool of 105 people in Stockton, CA had 0 Black people.
The website teaches probability in the context… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
You'll learn about Bayes Theorem, Hypergeometric and Binomial Theorems, Maximum Likelihood Estimation, and the Chi-Squared test.
It's fully interactive with Python code showing how things are calculated.
It's fully interactive with Python code showing how things are calculated.
Caveats: jury pools are drawn from a random sample of registered potential jurors. This list is often drawn from DMV drivers licenses and voting registration.
It may not be representative of the population. "jury of peers'
It may not be representative of the population. "jury of peers'
Also, low statistical probabilities of a jury's racial composition is not considered evidence of discrimination.
Litigators just need to provide a race-neutral reason for excluding a potential juror.
Litigators just need to provide a race-neutral reason for excluding a potential juror.
@kathleen_belew, you might be interested in this!
bayes theorem!
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
