ISW Profile picture
Mar 19 5 tweets 5 min read
NEW: #Russian forces targeted #Ukraine w/ 16 Shahed-136 drones overnight on March 17.

#Wagner financier Yevgeny #Prigohzin is likely trying to set informational conditions to explain Wagner's culmination around #Bakhmut. isw.pub/UkrWar031823

More from our 18 MAR update 🧵👇
2/ #Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova reiterated on March 18 that the #Kremlin has not abandoned its maximalist goals in #Ukraine. isw.pub/UkrWar031823
3/ Russian President Vladimir #Putin continued his campaign against anti-war dissent and the misappropriation of military assets within #Russia. isw.pub/UkrWar031823
4/ BBC and #Russian opposition news outlet Mediazona reported on March 17 that Russian forces (excluding Donetsk People’s Republic and Luhansk People’s Republic militiamen) have suffered a confirmed 17,375 deaths, a conservative estimate of 35K total deaths, and 157K casualties.
5/ Russian regional authorities may be severing their connections with #Prigozhin. Prigozhin claimed that the Goryachiy Klyuch, Krasnodar Krai authorities reneged on a prior agreement to bury deceased #Wagner Group mercenaries in the town. isw.pub/UkrWar031823

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with ISW

ISW Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TheStudyofWar

Mar 20
#Russian President Vladimir #Putin visited occupied #Mariupol on March 19, likely to project the image of invulnerability and to continue efforts to portray himself as an involved wartime leader. isw.pub/UkrWar031923
2/ #Putin also likely meant his visit to be a response to the International Criminal Court’s arrest warrant for his involvement in war crimes connected to the deportation of #Ukrainian children, at least 1,000 of whom #Russian officials deported from #Mariupol alone.
3/ #Putin’s visit to #Mariupol likely also aimed to assuage a longstanding and pervasive fear in the nationalist space about a prospective Ukrainian counteroffensive in southern #Ukraine. isw.pub/UkrWar031923
Read 4 tweets
Mar 20
#Ukrainian forces likely conducted a localized counterattack southwest of #Bakhmut amid growing #Russian discussion about a potential Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Bakhmut area. isw.pub/UkrWar031923 ImageImage
2/ Geolocated footage published on March 19 indicates that #Ukrainian forces conducted a successful counterattack southwest of Ivanivske (6km west of #Bakhmut) and pushed Russian forces further away from the T0504 highway in the area. Image
3/ #Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Serhiy Cherevaty reported that #Russian forces conducted 25 attacks in the Bakhmut area on March 19, but Russian forces likely only secured marginal gains.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 19
More on #Bakhmut:

The #Ukrainian General Staff specified that Ukrainian forces repelled #Russian assaults in the northern part of #Bakhmut, likely suggesting that Russian forces are concentrating offensive operations on the northern part of the city. isw.pub/UkrWar031823
2/ #Russian milbloggers claimed that #Wagner Group fighters captured unspecified industrial facilities in the AZOM complex in northern #Bakhmut and have cleared most of the complex of #Ukrainian forces.
3/ ISW has not observed any visual confirmation that Russian forces have advanced into the territory of the AZOM complex.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 19
Eastern #Ukraine: #Donetsk Oblast:

#Russian forces continued offensive operations in and around #Bakhmut and on the outskirts of Donetsk City on March 18. (1/4) isw.pub/UkrWar031823
2/ The #Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled #Russian offensive operations near #Bakhmut, within 11km NW of Bakhmut near Orikhovo-Vasylikva and Hryhorivka, and within 6km SW of Bakhmut near Ivanivske and Klishchiivka.
3/ Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces also conducted assaults near Khromove (2km west of #Bakhmut) and Bohdanivka (6km northwest of Bakhmut).
Read 4 tweets
Mar 18
ISW initially assessed on March 16 that #Prigozhin might have fabricated the alleged plot to support these informational campaigns, but ISW failed to observe that a Russian milblogger had posted rumors about the alleged plot on March 13. isw.pub/UkrWar031723
2/ #Prigozhin’s press service was involved in a fabrication of some kind given the Nezavisimaya Gazeta denial, but Prigozhin does not appear to have fabricated the rumor itself.
3/ #Prigozhin’s press service may have received a fabricated press request or may have fabricated the press request itself.

Regardless of whoever fabricated the press request, Prigozhin chose to give prominence to the rumored plot. isw.pub/UkrWar031723
Read 4 tweets
Mar 18
Western #Luhansk/Eastern #Kharkiv Oblast

#Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line on March 17 but did not secure any confirmed territorial gains. Isw.pub/UkrWar031723
2/ The #Ukrainian General Staff reported that #Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive actions near Hryanykivka (17km northeast of #Svatove), #Kreminna, Kuzmyne (3km southwest of Kreminna), Verkhnokamianske (7km east of #Siversk), and Spirne (11km southeast of Spirne).
3/ A prominent #Russian milblogger claimed that #Russian forces drove #Ukrainian forces near Hryanykivka across the Oskil River to the western (right) bank.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(