Marc Garlasco Profile picture
Mar 19 14 tweets 6 min read
Twenty years ago the invasion of #Iraq began with airstrikes on Dora Farms in an attempt to kill Saddam Hussein. I was the Chief of High Value Targeting (HVT) in the Pentagon. We conducted 50 airstrikes on #Saddam and the "deck of cards" and never killed a single one of them. 1/
HVT cells were at the Pentagon (DIA), CIA, NSA, and CENTCOM forward. The war was to begin two days later yet Bush changed the plan & struck a massive palace complex on Dora Farms in Baghdad. CIA had HUMINT reporting of Saddam being there so the war might be ended swiftly. 2/
As we tried to discern if Saddam had been killed the Joint Targeting List (JTL) was RAPIDLY altered. The targeting community had spent a week at Shaw AFB meticulously planning the opening strikes of what would later be known as "shock and awe." Now it had to be redone. 3/
If Saddam were dead many of the buildings slated to be bombed would be needed so we removed them from the JTL and re-racked and stacked them. What people called shock and awe was far from what had been planned. But was Saddam dead? 4/
Cheney went on TV and SHOCKED us as he read almost verbatim from CIA reports that "He was seen being dug out of the rubble and wasn't able to breathe." Audio and later video of Saddam came out. He was alive and so we kept trying to kill him. 5/
Thus Dora Farms was the first of 50 strikes in the whack-a-mole hunt for Saddam that only killed civilians. April 5 Basrah - 17 civilians killed in a strike on Chemical Ali, King of Spades. April 8 Baghdad - 6 civilians in a strike on Saddam's brother Watban the 5 of Spades 6/
April 7 Baghdad - the most famous strike on Saddam and his two sons the Aces of Spades, Clubs, and Hearts killed 18 civilians. We had put together the "Black List" (that became the deck of cards) at CIA. The last dozen or so names were pulled from a hat. 7/
The pressure to kill Saddam and those on the list was intense and group think combined with hubris kept the strikes going. At what point do you reevaluate? Ten failed strikes? 20? No you keep going because THIS is the one. The intel is better. But we went ZERO for FIFTY. 8/
What's in a number? The US famously said they don't do body counts. We probably won't ever know the true human cost of the Iraq invasion and wars that it led to. The "insurgency," rise of ISIS, dead soldiers, dead civilians. @ThisAmerLife once tried 9/ thisamericanlife.org/320/whats-in-a…
Today the US is finally creating its FIRST policy on civilian harm and I applaud the @SecDef for his efforts to implement the CHMRAP but WE ARE STILL WAITING and the policy is hung up in the Pentagon. It's been 20 YEARS @DOD_Policy - push the damn thing out already. 10/
My heart is filled with sorrow. Looking back over the past 20 years I can tell you one thing for certain - it wasn't "Iraqi Freedom" that was launched that day twenty years ago...
I left the Pentagon the day after Saddam's statue fell. I have worked these last 20 years as a war crimes investigator and human rights investigator. I now work with militaries to improve their CIVCAS work so civilians in conflict are spared the harms or war... END
As confusion reigned
Sorry - that last was an unintentional remnant

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More from @marcgarlasco

Jan 19
🧵 #OTD 20 years ago the US targeting community travelled to @20FighterWing for targeting week under OPLAN 1003 V - the "final" planning of the deliberate targeting phase for the Iraq war in 2003. #OIF @MarkHertling @laraseligman @MilAvHistory @militaryhistori @dave_brown24 1/ Image
CIA, DIA, NSA, CENTAF, CENTCOM, UK, etc - went to the Outback steakhouse in @CityofSumter outside Shaw AFB to watch the AFC playoff game in a then dry county. The next day we started our macabre task. We plotted DMPIs on hundreds of buildings, worked with weaponeers, finalized 2/
the Joint Targeting List - all for naught as the eventual decision to hit Dora Farm scrapped the JTL and we started the targeting process anew and on the fly. Then I switched to leading High Value Targeting and the hunt for Saddam... I had helped create the "Black List" 3/
Read 4 tweets
Sep 27, 2022
The @DeptofDefense just released their annual 1057 report on #CIVCAS, admitting to killing 12 civilians and injuring 5 during operations in 2021. After a quick, admittedly cursory read here are my thoughts 1/ media.defense.gov/2022/Sep/27/20…
The report leans heavily on the CHMRAP at times noting that there are extra steps that will be taken based on that plan in the future that may not have been available for this report. 2/
There are 12 civilian deaths and 5 injuries reported. Hoping @airwars will check the DoD numbers against their database but they reported VERY LOW numbers for Baghuz when compared to open source reporting. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Aug 5, 2022
My thoughts on the @amnesty report on #Ukraine. These are my personal thoughts and not affiliated with any of the orgs I work for. They got the law wrong. Protocol 1 states militaries shall to the maximum extent feasible AVOID locating military objects near populated areas 1/
Ukraine can place forces in areas they are defending - especially in #urbanwarfare. There is no requirement to stand shoulder to shoulder in a field - this isn’t the 19th century. Ukraine still has an OBLIGATION to protect civilians - but they are taking steps to do so like 2/
helping civilians relocate. The info environment is complex but when I train Ukrainian #WarCrimes teams I always tell them they must investigate alleged violations of ALL parties to the conflict. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Apr 12, 2022
I was the military advisor @UNCoISyria war crimes commission & documented the use of #cemicalweapons in the war in #Syria. We have UNVERIFIED accounts of #Russia using these weapons in #Ukraine. Perhaps the Syria experience can help inform. Russia NEVER used them in Syria. /1
There was NO USE OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS by #Russia in #Syria that we know of. There were dozens of chemical weapon strikes by Syria. Please see extensive analysis by @bellingcat and this report where I wrote multiple sections and contributed throughout: ohchr.org/Documents/HRBo… /2
This is NOT an apologist thread. We are seeing manifold #WarCrimes in Ukraine. But we must not invent crimes. Just as the reports of use of White Phosphorus in Ukraine turned out to be thermite it is highly likely the reports of CW use are something else. No need for hysteria. /3
Read 7 tweets
Sep 17, 2021
Thoughts on the #Dronestrike in #Kabul that killed an #Afghan family. For background I was the Chief of High Value Targeting on the Joint Staff 2002-03, led UN war crimes investigations in #Afghanistan in 2011, and in 2015 assisted in a study of airstrikes while deployed on the
USS Theodore Roosevelt while working for @CNA_org. There are two types of airstrikes - deliberate and dynamic. Deliberate are planned long in advance, have numerous checks, use a pattern of life analysis, and have a relatively low incident of civilian casualties. Dynamic strikes,
such as Time Sensitive Targeting, are when the attacker has a small window of opportunity to engage a mobile target that is of high value. In a TST there is rarely time for a pattern of life analysis, structured collateral damage estimate, and all the checks normally conducted.
Read 13 tweets
Jan 5, 2020
A thread on targeting: Bottom line is there are many checks in the targeting cycle to ensure targets are lawful, necessary, can be struck in a lawful manner, do not unduly risk lives, and are the proper course of action for the requirement. 1/
In all the missions I was part of there was NEVER a thought to actively target sites that were on their face unlawful. It was against your oath, training, and immoral, let alone unlawful. I never saw reprisals. Ever. 2/
I was an intelligence officer in the position of military planner and targeter at DIA and on the Joint Staff from 1997-2003. I provided recommendations to military planners and policy makers for both contingency planning and operational planning, produced target lists, 3/
Read 15 tweets

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