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Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Apr 1

1. When a terrorist state like Russia kidnaps an American journalist to hold for ransom our tendency is to think of reciprocal responses. So, perhaps we expel some Russian journalists but we don't stoop to the criminal behavior of holding them hostage.

2. Russia is transactional, and in that transaction they win. But there are other ways to retailiate against Russian agression that will make them think twice. One is to use US power to defeat a Russian and Iranian backed terrorist who has control of parts of Syria and commits

3. war crimes with impunity. In 2018, Trump betrayed our Syrian partners in an area they controlled in Afrin Syria. They had already sacrificed a large part of their population to fight a war Bush43 Iraq policy caused: The fight against ISIS. Trump again betrayed them in 2019.

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Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 31

1. Reflection on the Wall St Journal reporter accused of being a US intelligence agent. One memory of my youth was the dispute between my father and his foster brother who I knew as my uncle. 1949 my parents and my sister had fled Shanghai on a refugee ship. My uncle had just

2. become a member of the first recruitment class of field agents of the new CIA. During that period many were trying to get my father to return to China. Before they fled, the AP wanted him to stay and be captured. The purpose was to use him as an intelligence asset because the

3. Reds said they trusted him. My uncle apparently tried to recruit him and my father went off and barely spoke to him again. He felt that strongly against using the press as spies. It make what the press reports untrustworthy and puts all reporters at unnecessary risk.

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Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 30

1. There are a lot of things happening in the world. We've entered a period of potential upheaval. Putin and Patrushev have decided to go all in but the problem for them is we can see their cards and the number of chips they can play and it's clear they don't have a winning hand.

@WSJ

2. Russia had three facts going into April already established:
-Russia is losing in Ukraine.
-The Ukrainian offensive with NATO armor is coming.
-Russia has April UN Security Council Presidency.

The kidnaping of a @WSJ reporter is just to get some

3. chips at the poker table Lavrov will be dealing from on Monday. Today we saw additional attacks on Ukrainian cities and movement of equipment in obvious preparation for a Ukrainian offensive. The Kremlin’s criminal proclivities makes their conduct today entirely

Read 5 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 30

@AliVelshi

1. @AliVelshi @msnbc confirms that Allen Weisselberg is no longer represented by the Trump-funded attorneys. Former NY state prosecutor Karen Freidman Agnifilo explained how easy it would be for Allen Weisselberg to testify without anyone knowing about it.

2. Ms. Agnifilo also explained how the scheduling works and why a hiatus is not a surprise. Also there are two days left to have the grand jury indict and even if they vote to indict it doesn't have to be filed right away.

When a witness like Weisselberg ditches his lawyers

3. IMO it is consistent with their flipping because when the money guy pays for your attorney they typically get a common interest agreement where they have a joint attorney-client privilege. If the witness flips and can't share with the money guy they have a duty to say so or

Read 4 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 28

@POTUS

1. @POTUS @JoeBiden can order under his emergency national security powers that all production and stocks of 5.56 and 7.62 ammo in stock and as that is produced is US govt property to prepare for war with Russia and China. Don't tip it and make the first that the industry

2. learns of it when it is already in effect. Any NFA licensee that violates the order will lose their license and face additional sanctions including criminal charges. That will make any AR-15 purchased likely incapable of being fired without the help of current owner.

3. Then work on EO that cuts off the ability of non-NFA sellers to transfer ammo. Make any cache larger than 1,000 rounds a military cache and under the POTUS authority to command the militia subject to seizure with just compensation to the former owner.

Read 5 tweets

Tim Hogan 浩勤

@TimInHonolulu

Mar 27

https://twitter.com/Andreas_Hopf/status/1640370950800646145

1. If #Ukraine can figure out a way to put a mechanized force across the #Dnipro at #Kherson, #NATO supplied armor force that has arrived could be used for a lightning strike on #Mariupol from #Vuhledar while a second force moves from #Kherson to cut Russian escape at #Armiansk.

https://twitter.com/Andreas_Hopf/status/1640370950800646145

2. With only the #Crimean bridges at #Chongar and #Henichesk available to withdraw the dilemma created by possible loss of #Mariupol could start a rout that will see #Russians abandoning more equipment to be able to escape into Crimea or in the east towards #Donetsk or #Rostov.

3. #Zalenskyy's visit to #Zaporizhia may suggest this is the plan. But guessing the #Ukrainian moves has proven a fool's errand. Just making the #Kremlin contemplate the capture of 50,000 Russian soldiers might be enough to get #Putin to withdraw especially

Read 4 tweets

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