Nooresh Merani Profile picture
Apr 20, 2023 12 tweets 21 min read Read on X
New iOS in #Markets

Indian #Options Speculators.

There has been a huge surge in #Retail and #Proprietary trading in #Options and more specifically in #Index Options.

The Data & Charts below are just #Crazy and getting crazier.
1) #Retail Participation went through the roof in 2021

Some Moderation now in 2022-2023

#Retail in Cash Market From 3 cr in Jan 20 to 11.7 cr in 2021.
#Retail at 3.2 cr participants March 23.

3x jump in all participation from Jan 20 !! Image
2) Everyone is an #Option Trader

#FIIs are just 9.5% of #IndexOptions Premium Turnover !!! From 21% in Fy20.

45% is #Domestic Prop ( #Broker trading on its own behalf )

35% is #Retail.
Retail + pro = 80%
#Retail is almost 4x of #FIIs.

Btw #FIIs own 20% of India. Image
3) #Pro are propping up the #Trading Volumes in #EquityDerivatives .

On a notional turnover, 53% of the #Volumes is #PRO accounts.

#Brokers are now #Traders or #Traders have turned #Brokers ?

#FIIS are just 7.4%

#Retail at 27% Image
4) The #Indian #Options #Speculator is an Indexer

For all the talk about #IndexFunds & #ETFs the data suggests #Retail is all in on #Index Futures instead.

31.7% of #Index Futures is #Retail and 34% is #PRO

#FIIs at 11.8% Image
5) #Retail is shifting from #Futures to #Options

#StockFutures sees a major cut in #Retail participation.

From 31% of Volumes in 2018 to just 15.6% in 2023.

#FIIs continue to be at 23-25%

#DIIs at 8.5% thanks to the #ArbitrageFunds and #TaxBenefit. Image
6) #StockOptions is all about the #PRO and #Retail

56% of Volumes by #PRO and 31% by #Retail.

#FIIs are just 3.1 % .

Repeating

#FIIs are just 3.1% of Stock Options ( Premium Turnover ) Image
7) The #Machines are fighting it out.

51.5% of #Volumes of Equity Derivatives and 33% of #CashMarket is via Co-Location.

17% of trades via a Mobile in cash Market. It peaked at 25% in 2021 !! ImageImage
8) #CapitalMarket still has #FIIs #DIIs and #Retail slugging it out.

#PRO is 27%

#Retail is 36.5% from a peak of 45% in FY21.

#FIIs at 15% Image
Couple of odd ones
#SURAT just beat the Rest of India in terms of Cash turnover of #Individuals in March 23 with 6.3% of Volumes !!! .

Mumbai continues to be the largest.

#EquityMarket AUM crosses #DebtMarket in #MutualFunds ImageImage
10) #Retail participation is increasing in a big way. More in #OptionSelling

Mind you #Leverage is the toughest way to make money and the easiest to Lose it All.

I just hope a lot of #Retail does not have to learn this lesson in a tough way with #Volatility going berserk.
A lot of things are not in your Control.

Outages can be everywhere.
#Broker
#Exchange
#Bank
#War a lot can create volatility.

Remember a 15 min Lower circuit in 2012 due to a Freak order by a Broker.

Control your Size and Leverage. Be conservative.

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Let's see what happened.
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#WisdomTales: Insights from Legends

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5 Trends - A thread

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BankNifty@44k
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A lot of charts trying to make 2-3 yr highs- Ujjivan, LTFH, M&M Finance, IDFC twins, Equitas, Chola, Federal , Muthoot Cap, etc ImageImage
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