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May 11 9 tweets 8 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Will #Putin outlast #Lukashenko?

#Russian President Vladimir Putin was puzzled by a serious problem yesterday and held several video consultations in this connection. Having seen Lukashenko yesterday, Putin realised that...
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he did not even know approximately how bad #Lukashenko's health was. #Putin thought that Lukashenko's illness was just a ploy that could be used as a cover for his refusal to pay a visit or to speak by phone. The president always dismissed reports that...
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#Lukashenko was seriously ill and considered this a skilful game of the "Potato Elk" (that is what #Putin calls Lukashenko), who could fool anybody but not him. But, this time, the president was astonished at how bad things really are.
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The possibility of #Lukashenko's imminent death, in #Putin's opinion, is a huge problem. Losing control of Belarus, with the consequent loss of the country from his sphere of influence, is a nightmare for the #Russian president.
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Yesterday, #Putin discussed possible options to keep the Republic of #Belarus in his orbit after #Lukashenko's death and concluded that only a complete absorption of this country into the Union State, or rather...
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the actual accession to #Russia as a subject of the Russian Federation, is the only good option. Moreover, the Russian president believes that a successor designated by #Lukashenko must not be allowed to succeed him and that...
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all of his (#Lukashenko's) sons must be fully controlled in #Russia until all processes have been completed. All security forces in #Belarus, according to #Putin, must be guaranteed their safety, status and property, and they must...
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be redistributed to #Russian regions after integration. #Putin said he thought it was amusing to be able to outlast #Lukashenko. Putin himself, yesterday, failed to hold a normal meeting with the leadership of the military bloc and, after listening to an incomplete report,...
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cut off communication. The president complained again in the evening of weakness, dizziness, stomach aches and nausea. So far, the treatment is not having the effect expected by the doctors.
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More from @generalsvr_en

May 10
#Putin & #Prigozhin

No sooner had Putin secluded himself than he was told about a half-hour YouTube video in which Prigozhin continues to develop his political career as a passionate oppositionist/ ultra patriot, who is already at pains to criticise and...
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humiliate the president, calling him a "complete asshole". After reading the provided printouts of #Pigozhin's quotes, #Putin, according to witnesses, turned sullen and said: "When will he shut up already. He's got a dolt on his head."
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The President's inner circle has for some time offered him to solve the problem with #Prigozhin in a cardinal way, but the potential of the head of the PMC was discerned by some of the power elite, close to the Secretary of the Security Council Nikolai Patrushev, and...
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Read 4 tweets
May 10
Victory Parade

Yesterday, #Russian President Vladimir #Putin had a difficult day, which did not bring the desired results. But there is one good thing in yesterday's day for Putin - the serious illness of Alexander Lukashenko.
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Compared to the gravely ill Lukashenko, who couldn't walk just a few hundred metres, #Putin, who not without effort made the trip, looked rather chipper. During the greeting Putin and Lukashenko exchanged pleasantries. Putin asked Lukashenko "How are you", to which...
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he received a rude reply "It ain't gonna happen!". The greatly reduced programme of the Victory Day parade and other events with the participation of the president is a consequence of #Putin's deteriorating health.
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Read 5 tweets
May 9
The last Victory Day parade for #Putin

#Russian President Putin has an unexpected "joy" and a reason to cheer up a bit. A number of heads of state will take part in the Victory Day parade in Moscow. Of course, all his "friends" are leaders of the former Soviet republics.
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The vast majority of leaders agreed to come at the last moment. The motives are varied, but the "polite" and insistent request has come from the suzerain, #China. The Central Asian states are steadily drifting under China's prevailing influence, as is Lukashenko.
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But Pashinian's (Armenia's PM) story is somewhat different. Pashinyan wants to make peace with Azerbaijan, but at least on more or less tolerable terms, and with the help of the #USA and a number of intermediary countries, he is close to doing so.
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Read 9 tweets
May 8
#Putin on the Victory Day Parade

#Russian President Vladimir Putin believes that the appearance of the president-hero during the Victory Day parade is the best solution. Of course, the real Putin does not intend to take part in such a risky, for many reasons, situation.
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The appearance of the double is planned. The president believes that the provocation with the "strike" of the drone on his apartment in the #Kremlin was a success, and the appearance before the nation of the brave president almost immediately after...
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the attempted terrorist attack against him personally will only strengthen his image as a desperate hero who boldly looks into the eyes of danger. That the threat is imaginary, and the provocation against the dome of the building in which...
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Read 8 tweets
May 6
#Putin vs #Patrushev

On Thursday, #Russian President Vladimir Putin held a series of consultations with people in his inner circle about possible options for introducing martial law in a number of Russian regions. Such consultations will be held by the president today.
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He promised to make a decision as early as next week. Apart from these consultations, yesterday, the president held a meeting with representatives of the leaders of the security and military blocs via video conferencing.
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During the meeting, representatives of the military leadership expressed certain doubts that it would be possible to gain full control of Artemivsk (#Bakhmut) before May 9. The visibly upset president did not have time to respond to...
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Read 11 tweets
May 4
On #KremlinDroneAttack

Two drones strike against the "#Kremlin", or rather the "presidential residence in the Kremlin", is, of course, staging. The operation was developed under the personal direction of Security Council Secretary Nikolai #Patrushev,...
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with the assistance and coordination of the Presidential Security Service, and was approved in its final version by Vladimir #Putin. Putin likes it when an operation solves several problems at once. This time is not an exception.
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First, the president must have a serious reason for introducing martial law, cancelling the parade in Moscow (or reducing and changing the format of his participation in the Victory Day parade on May 9). Second, on the eve of a large counteroffensive by #Ukraine to show...
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Read 11 tweets

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