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ISW Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
May 28 • 5 tweets • 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The Russian military command may be transferring #Donetsk People’s Republic’s (DNR) forces to relieve #WagnerGroup forces in #Bakhmut city, which may decrease the tempo of Russian offensive operations on the #Avdiivka-Donetsk City line. isw.pub/UkrWar052723
2/ ISW previously assessed that the Russian military command has heavily committed a variety of DNR elements to the Avdiivka-Donetsk City frontline. Russian attacks around Avdiivka-Donetsk City area appear to have been decreasing in recent days, which may be connected to the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
3/ The Russian offensives around #Avdiivka have been steadily decreasing since at least April 8 after the RU military command attempted to intensify offensive operations near the settlement in mid-March.
4/ The transfer of DNR units to #Bakhmut may further slow Russian efforts on this axis. The Russian military command may be transferring DNR units operating in the well-defended Avdiivka-Donetsk City area to avoid making other directions vulnerable or to ensure quick… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
5/ The Russian military command appears to be reinforcing #Bakhmut’s flanks with regular formations, however. isw.pub/UkrWar052723

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More from @TheStudyofWar

ISW Profile picture
May 30
Eastern #Kharkiv/Western #Luhansk axis:

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks northeast of #Kupyansk and along the Svatove-Kreminna line on May 29. isw.pub/UkrWar052923 ImageImageImage
2/ The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive operations near Masyutivka (13km northeast of Kupyansk) and did not conduct offensive operations in the Kreminna area. ImageImage
3/ Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces advanced from Masyutivka, although ISW has still not seen visual confirmation of these advances nor confirmation that Russian forces control Masyutivka. Image
Read 6 tweets
ISW Profile picture
May 30
#Russia deployed more S-400 air defense systems (probably at least a battery) to #Belarus on May 28. These systems will likely enter service with the Belarusian military but under #Russian operational control. ⬇️ isw.pub/UkrWar052923
2/ The Belarusian Ministry of Defense released a video on May 28 showing a train with S-400 systems deploying to an unspecified area in #Belarus. These systems will likely enter service with the Belarusian military but under #Russian operational control.
3/ #Russia’s and #Belarus’ Joint Regional Air Defense System (established in 2009 and operational in 2016) effectively subordinates Belarus’ air defense assets to the Russian Western Military District.
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
May 29
#WagnerGroup financier #Prigozhin claimed that the Russian relief in-place operation in #Bakhmut may continue past his initial June 1 deadline & last until June 5. The tempo of Russian operations around Bakhmut remains notably low. isw.pub/UkrWar052823

Other toplines: 🧵⬇️ Image
2/ #Prigozhin appears to have again indirectly undermined Russian President Vladimir #Putin’s authority and regime. Prigozhin may be attacking Putin for failing to give Prigozhin some promised reward for seizing #Bakhmut.
3/ The #WagnerGroup held a reportedly illegal pro-#Wagner rally in #Yekaterinburg, #Russia on May 28 despite the reported banning of the rally by Yekaterinburg authorities.
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
May 29
#Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin appears to have again indirectly undermined #Russian President Vladimir #Putin’s authority and regime. 1/

isw.pub/UkrWar052823
Prigozhin responded to a journalist’s question about 🇷🇺 state media banning any discussions re: Wagner forces ... then gave advice to an unnamed official: “If you are starting a war, please have character, will, & steel balls—& only then you will be able to achieve something.” 2/
#Prigozhin implied that accomplishing real achievements would let the official avoid lying about the construction of new buildings, metro stations, and bridges in an effort to look good. 3/
Read 6 tweets
ISW Profile picture
May 28
Mobilization & Force Generation Updates:

The Russian Ministry of Justice registered the civil society group “Council of Mothers of Wives” as a foreign agent on May 26, likely to curb resistance to #Russia's ongoing and future force generation efforts. isw.pub/UkrWar052723
2/ The “Council of Mothers and Wives” routinely advocated for their relatives serving in the Russian military by reaching out to local officials following the start of partial mobilization in late September 2022.
3/ #Putin previously tried to dull the informational impact of the group’s criticism of mobilization in late November 2022 by attending a meeting with hand-picked women in the Russian political sphere falsely presented as mothers of mobilized personnel. isw.pub/UkrWar112522
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
May 28
Southern #Ukraine:

1/ Russian forces continued to target southern Ukraine with artillery, drone, and air strikes on May 27. The Ukrainian Southern Operational Command reported that Russian forces’ primary tactic in southern Ukraine is counterbattery fire. isw.pub/UkrWar052723 ImageImage
2/ Ukrainian forces continued to strike rear logistical nodes in #Zaporizhia Oblast on May 27. Russian and Ukrainian sources reported that Ukrainian forces struck Polohy and #Berdyansk, Zaporizhia Oblast on May 27. Image
3/ The Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) warned on May 26 that Russian forces are preparing to conduct large-scale provocations to create radiological danger at the #Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP). isw.pub/UkrWar052723 Image
Read 7 tweets

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