Balthasar Becker Profile picture
Jun 7 β€’ 11 tweets β€’ 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
A recent post by John Authers @johnauthers raises some interesting questions about the US consumer market and #crypto industry. Let's look at some important points.
1/10 πŸ’΅ Consumer discretionary stocks are outperforming staples, which is usually a sign of economic expansion. However, retail sales growth remains slow, causing some uncertainty. #Markets Image
2/10 πŸ“‰ Surveys like those run by the University of Michigan and the Conference Board show that consumer expectations have waned since the start of the year. #ConsumerSentiment Image
3/10 πŸ’³ Credit card delinquencies are on the rise, particularly among younger demographics who tend to spend more. This could signal trouble ahead. #CreditCard Image
4/10 πŸ“Š Spending figures overall don’t seem healthy. Consumption of goods surged during the pandemic, leveled off, and services spending stopped growing about a year ago when excluding health care and housing. #SpendingTrends
5/10 πŸ’° If there's optimism, it's around liquidity. Government stim checks during the pandemic have left a lot of money in consumers' pockets. The question is how long this can last. #Stimulus Image
6/10 πŸ“ˆ The stock market might be seeing things not apparent in the data. The rise in consumer discretionary stocks could be due to management briefings or balance sheet analysis. #StockMarket
7/10 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Partisanship impacts the perception of economic conditions. Republicans and Democrats have drastically different views on the economy, possibly skewing survey results and actual spending decisions. #Partisanship Image
8/10 πŸ’Έ In the #crypto world, the US SEC is getting tougher. It's accused Binance and Coinbase of mishandling funds and breaking rules, causing their value to drop sharply. #SECCrypto
9/10 πŸ“ Regulation ambiguity remains a big challenge for the crypto industry. It's causing uncertainty for investors and platforms alike, leading to calls for clearer laws. #CryptoRegulation
10/10 πŸ“‰ As regulatory action increases, Bitcoin's libertarian appeal could diminish, impacting its price. These lawsuits, though creating short-term volatility, might shift the industry away from its original ethos. #Bitcoin

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More from @BalthasarBecker

Jun 9
The main points of the Glassnode newsletter of 5 June: Image
1/9 🧡@glassnode Insights: Stagnant digital asset prices and underlying indicators suggest a shift towards risk-off capital rotation, with an increasing preference for stablecoin capital. #CryptoMarket #RiskOff #Glassnode
2/9 Despite flat $ETH price since mid-March, beneath the surface, growing divergences hint at a risk-off environment, with depressed trade volumes and automated DeFi usage. #Ethereum #DeFi
Read 10 tweets
Jun 8
Thread🧡 on GMI's key macro charts by Raoul Pal. @RaoulGMI #GlobalMacro
1/7 ISM is falling to 46.9, indicating short-term weakness. New orders point towards a drop closer to 45 in June. #GlobalEconomy Image
2/7 The GMI Financial Conditions Index suggests recovery, having already bottomed out and now rising. #FinancialConditions #EconomicTrends Image
Read 9 tweets
Jun 7
Short summary of the Cake DeFi Twitter Space on 6 June: 1/11 πŸ“’ In a recent @cakedefi space, @julianhosp & @andreattafab discussed the current state of the #cryptocurrency industry. Key focus: the SEC's lawsuit against Binance and its impact on the crypto community. #CryptoNews
2/11 Notably, they shed light on the difference in allegations against #Coinbase and #Binance, suggesting the latter's case might be more severe. Discussion ensued about potential regulatory actions of the US government. #CryptoRegulations
3/11 The hosts also dove into the lawsuit implications for coins like ADA, SOL, and BNB. Despite some fear in the community, they reminded listeners that being classified as a security doesn't spell the end for a coin. #CryptoInvesting
Read 11 tweets

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