Will global oil demand peak in 2030 then decline quickly @IEA or peak in 2045 and decline slowly @OPEC?
The answer has significant implications for #Canada and oil-producing provinces, especially #Alberta.
#OOTT #ABleg #cdnpoli share.transistor.fm/s/72e05025
2/Framing the peak oil demand discussion: Fast vs slow energy transition
International Energy Agency (IEA) = fast
*Peak oil demand by 2030, short plateau, rapid decline in 2 of 3 scenarios
3/My hypothesis: IEA's modelling and analysis is more credible than OPEC's.
Several of OPEC's key assumptions (discussed later in this thread) are falling apart only a few months after the release of World Oil Outlook 2045. opec.org/opec_web/en/pr…
3/AB Electricity System Operator (AESO) also wrote a letter dated July 21 that supported "an inquiry into land use and reclamation issues..." alberta.ca/external/news/…
1/🧵 debunking @Alberta_UCP's claim that @albertaNDP net-zero grid by 2035 plan will cost $87 billion and "you're going to pay for it!"
AESO: net-zero is an investment opportunity. Interview w/AESO VP markets Miranda Keating-Erickson. #AlbertaElection2023
2/We were discussing a 2022 AESO study that was based upon AESO's 2021 20-year load forecast.
*Cost of between $44 billion and $52 billion depending on one of three scenarios
3/*"almost 90% of that comes from the supply side of the equation, so that is the turnover in actual production of electricity, which is all PRIVATE INVESTMENTS."
1/🧵"First, in what is the most significant economic transformation since the Industrial Revolution, our friends and partners around the world—chief among them, USA—are investing heavily to build clean economies and the net-zero industries of tomorrow." FinMin @ChrystiaFreeland
2/"...Canada must either meet this historic moment—this remarkable opportunity before us—or we will be left behind as the world’s democracies build the clean economy of the 21st century." - Freeland #cdnpoli#bcpoli#ableg#onpoli#cleanenergy#canada
3/The "most consequential budget in recent history for accelerating clean growth in Canada. Climate action, economic policy are one and the same—world’s major economies know that investing in clean energy is the catalyst for future competitiveness" - Rick Smith @ClimateInstit
2/March 28 AER release: At March 16 meeting, AER Board of Directors "decided to commission an impartial, third-party review into certain aspects of the AER’s response to incidents at Imperial Oil’s Kearl facilities that took place between May 2022 and February 2023.
David Goldie
3/"Today, the board will issue a request for quotation (RFQ) seeking a qualified, impartial, 3rd-party" to conduct the review.
In "spirit of transparency" and to demonstrate "the regulator is both credible and trustworthy the findings of the review will be shared publicly."