Detailed Summary of Chennai/TN 3rd wave Covid Analysis, thread 1/14:

Overall Active cases in Chennai had reached its peak on Jan 19th, and started down trending there on, as the recovery rate is now higher than the daily new cases. Below chart showing the rate of daily recovery is now greater than the rate of daily new cases, showing the cases have peaked in Chennai. 2/14

UK overall hospitalization trend showing an increase hospital admissions in last one week. ICU occupancy remains stable

US Hospitalization trend showing, Omicron wave now has higher hospitalization than its earlier Delta wave, due to the increased actual load of cases than earlier wave. 1/4 ICU trend is also raising now.
2/4

Tamilnadu Districts 18+ Age Vaccination % (Based on 18+ election population).
Overall TN 16.9% 1 dose (1,05,76,260) & 3.6% 2 dose.
Top :
Chennai - 50.7% 1st dose, 15.2% 2 dose.
Nilgiris - 33.4%
Coimbatore - 23.4%
Low:
Tiruvannamalai - 9.9%
Tiruvallur - 10.2%
Tenkasi - 10.9%
1/4 1st Dose vaccination Population %
Chennai50.7%
Nilgiris33.4%
Coimbatore23.4%
Virudhunagar18.1%
Namakkal18%
Tiruchirappalli17.9%
Vellore17.7%
Salem16.9%
Ariyalur16.9%
Krishnagiri16.6%
Karur16.3%
Kanniyakumari15.3%
Tirupathur15.3%
Madurai15.1%
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Thread 1/11 - Tamilnadu all 37 districts complete trend analysis with active cases, new cases, 10 days growth rate.
Increasing trend - 19 districts
Decreasing trend - 18 districts
Growth rate % more than 100% - 2 districts
70% - 3
50% - 8
30% - 9
20% - 3
10% - 4
<10% - 8 2/11
1) Tiruppur Active cases 17628 new 1697 growth 118% - Increasing trend
2) Virudhunagar Active 8187 new 519 (decreasing) growth 114% - Increasing
3) Namakkal Active cases 6281 new 897 growth 97% - Increasing
4) Erode Active cases 14400 new cases 1743 growth76% -Increasing

Chennai Test positive rate all time high 23.8% today crossed 20% forecasted by model last week. It could cross 25% in 3-4 day. Forecasting model shows TN would cross 1 Lakh active cases in 5 days, Chennai 40K in a week. Public support critical at this moment #StopTheSpread 1/8

https://twitter.com/vijay27anand/status/1382222563464548352

10 days growth rate of active case in Chennai at 95% and TN at 112%. Doubling Rate of Active cases for TN is now 9 days and Chennai at 10 days.
So rest of TN also growing faster now. 2/8 @ChennaiRains @kprabhdeep @rameshlaus @ashokhavarshini @karthikeyannews @karthickselvaa

Interesting observation from Chennai Age group of active cases.
There is a significant drop in % of active cases between age group of 40-70 years in last 10 days which could be +ve correlated with vaccination.
1/3
@sri50 @rameshlaus @sumanthraman @RAKRI1 @kprabhdeep @albyjohnV 1)60-69 age group reduced significantly 14.39% to 11.05%
2)50-59 age group reduced 18.50% to 16.71%
3)40-49 age reduced 18.76% to 18.4%
4)70-79 age from 6.9% to 5.2%

This could show positive correlation on Vaccine in reducing the % of age group been affected by Covid.
2/3

This Thread on status of all 37 #TamilNadu districts trend analysis on active #Covid cases

On rise-8 districts
SteadyFlat-11
Downtrend-18

@GunasekaranMu @Senthilvel79 @nelsonvijay08 @kprabhdeep @RAKRI1 @MaliniP @sumanthraman @sri50 @rameshlaus @ChennaiRains @srkias2012
1/10 1) Chennai - Increasing again
2) Coimbatore - Increasing - Steady now
3) Cuddalore - downtrending
4) Dharmapuri - downtrending started
5) Dindigul - Downtrending
6) Erode - flattening

2/10

Its 20 days from #unlock4 lets look at the trend of all 37 districts of #TamilNadu on Active #Covid case

Increasing 14
Flat 8
Downtrend 15

Its not over yet wear mask phy distance

1/10

@sumanthraman @srkias2012 @sri50 @rameshlaus @ChennaiRains @kprabhdeep @RAKRI1 @misra_ias Chennai - downtrending
Ariyalur - downtrending
Chengalpattu - Flattening
Coimbatore - Increasing
Cuddalore - downtrending
Dharmapuri - on the rise
Dindigul - Downtrending
Erode - flattening

2/10 #TNCoronaUpdates #COVID19 #Corona

This Thread on all TN 37 districts trend analysis for last 2 months on active #Covid cases.

On the rise - 13 districts
Steady flat - 5
Downtrend - 19

Wear mask

1/10
#TNCoronaUpdates

@sumanthraman @RKRadhakrishn @sri50 @rameshlaus @ChennaiRains @kprabhdeep @RAKRI1 @misra_ias 1) Chennai - flattening
2) Ariyalur - downtrending
3) Chengalpattu - flattening
4) Coimbatore - steady spiking
5) Cuddalore - on the rise
6) Dharmapuri - on the rise
7) Dindigul - on the rise
8) Erode - flattening

2/10

This thread - Analytics on Why #Chennai District is #Covid hot spot in #TamilNadu a detailed study based on Census 2011

Chennai is the smallest district with 178 SqKm
Population wise first 46,46,732
Population per SqKm 26,076
@sumanthraman @RKRadhakrishn @sri50 @rameshlaus
1/4 Some facts:
Chennai population density per SqKm is 26,076 people per Sq Km.This is out of proportion compared to other districts avg of 538.Lowest is Erode 276

The Chennai population density is more than all the district population per sq km (19356) Combined
#TNCoronaUpdates
2/4

This Thread on all #TamilNadu 37 districts trend analysis on active cases

On the rise-16 districts
Steady and Flat-5
Downtrend-16

1/10

@sumanthraman @RKRadhakrishn @sri50 @rameshlaus @kprabhdeep @RAKRI1 #Covid #TNCoronaUpdates #COVID19 #coronavirus @threadreaderapp
unroll 1) Chennai -On the rise again
2) Ariyalur - downtrend started
3) Chengalpattu - fluctuating and downtrend
4) Coimbatore - steady spiking
5) Cuddalore - on the rise
6) Dharmapuri - on the rise
7) Dindigul - fluctuating and spiking
8) Erode - sharp spiking

This Thread on all TN 37 districts trend analysis on active #Covid #TNCoronaUpdates

On the rise-19 districts
SteadyFlat-5
Downtrend-13

1/10
@sumanthraman @RKRadhakrishn @sri50 @rameshlaus @ChennaiRains @kprabhdeep
@GunasekaranMu @Senthilvel79 @nelsonvijay08 @kprabhdeep @RAKRI1 1)Chennai-Downtrend flat mild increase
2)Chengalpattu-fluctuating and spiking
3)Theni-Spiking yet to reach peak
4)Thiruvallur-spiking yet to reach peak
5)Kancheepuram-Flat without downtrend
6)Cuddalore-Sharp spiking
7)Thiruvannamalai-not stable, on rise
8)Coimbatore-Spiking

2/10

This thread on Chennai all zones #COVID active case in 1 month

Central zone:
Ambattur on rapid rise
Kodambakkam flat with downtrend
ThiruvikaNgr,Teynampet steady downtrending

1/3
@sumanthraman @albyjohnV @jmeghanathreddy @prabhusean7 @RKRadhakrishn @ChennaiRains @MaliniP @sri50 North Chennai
----------------
Tondiarpet, thiruvottriyur, manali looks flat.
Madhavaram was in a raise now in downtrend.

2/3

This thread on analysis of TN death comorbidities reported in Covid deaths. #COVID

1) Diabetes (Type 2),Hypertension,CAD(Heart),CKD(Kidney) are top 4 most reported in deaths.

1/5

@sumanthraman @NairShilpa1308 @sang1983 @RKRadhakrishn @MaliniP @sri50 @rameshlaus @ChennaiRains 2) Diabetes is reported in 70% of people. Within that Type-2 diabetes are reported in 61% of people.

2/5