Michael A. Horowitz Profile picture
Geopolitical analyst | Head of Intel @LeBeckInt | Commentator on international affairs | Author of Hope & Despair: Israel's future in the new Middle East.

Mar 2, 2022, 47 tweets

Thread on the #Russian invasion of #Ukraine - March 2

At 12:00 last night Ukrainian authorities reported that #Belarusian forces are in a state of high combat readiness and concentrating along the border of #Ukraine.

#Ukraine's intelligence shows significant aerial activity in #Belarus, as well as the movement of supply convoys of ammunitions and food

Yesterday #Russian forces likely tried to isolate Sumy, which (similarly to Kharkiv) has been resisting from day 1. They attacked Byshkin. An armoured column was destroyed using the Turkish-made Bayraktar drone - Sumy Military Administration

Bank of #Russia decided not to resume trading today at the Moscow Stock Exchange.

Full video (same as last night) of the Russian attack against a weapons depot yesterday in Chuguev near Kharkiv #Ukraine

Damage to an elementary school in Kharkiv after #Russian shelling. Multiple smaller impacts on wall, windows shattered.

Geolocation:
google.com/maps/place/Kha…

Aftermath of shelling of #Kharkiv last night. (Possible grad rocket debris seen in video)

Kholodna hora area of Kharkiv #Ukraine

Same building visible in this video of the aftermath of heavy shelling last night #Kharkiv

A Russian strike hit the national police building in Kharkiv

Noting several of those reports that the strike also hit the nearby Kharkiv National University also

If you look at the geolocation, the strike was right in the center of Kharkiv, far from the previous frontlines/clashes in the city.

This picture shows that the university (first building) was hit alongside the police HQ (background building)

Aftermath of clashes near the SBU headquarters in Kherson, in southern #Ukraine

Archive picture of the building for reference

Man waves the Ukrainian flag in front of Russian forces assembled on Freedom Square in Kherson, southern #Ukraine

The #Ukrainian Ministry of Defense claims that yesterday, a pair of Ukrainian MiG-29 as well as air defenses engaged two Su-35s near Kyiv. Both of them were shot, but one of the Ukrainian MiGs was lost. (their picture)

Russian prisoners in Mykolaiv #Ukraine

A cruise missile hit the City Council in Kharkiv moments ago #Ukraine

According to the Kharkiv city council, thankfully the missile did not explode inside the building itself, but led to heavy damage in the street #Ukraine

Picture from Odessa, appears to show smoke rising, possibly from a ship. #Ukraine

Aftermath of a cruise missile strike in #Kharkiv #Ukraine

Impact on a school in Kharkiv #Ukraine

The Kherson city council is reporting significant civilian casualties due to the Russian attack against the city (translated)

Source: facebook.com/khersoncouncil…

Aftermath of Russian shelling in Bordyanka near #Kyiv

#Breaking video showing Russian forces purportedly opening fire at civilians in Energodar, where residents had attempted to block Russian forces.

Some initial reports suggest there may be casualties. Unconfirmed at this point.

This is the area where civilians were blocking the road, reported earlier today

Russian forces entering Balakliya in the Kharkiv Oblast

Geolocation:
google.com/maps/place/49%…

Ukrainian Defense Ministry claims to have discovered documents maps and plans for the #Russian invasion of #Ukraine, approved back in January (January 18)

According to these #Russian documents, the battle plan called for a two-week-long war to capture Ukraine, which would take place from February 20 to March 6. #Ukraine

So Russia planned to take Ukraine in two weeks. We're around a week in.

The battle plans found also show a planned landing in Stepanovka, involving the 177th Separate Regiment of Marine of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, with the goal being to eventually take Melitopol.

The deputy mayor of Tokmak in southern #Ukraine reports heavy clashes between Ukrainian and Russian forces in the town

#Russia says 498 soldiers were killed, 1597 wounded during the invasion of #Ukraine

Multiple videos here (including the one above) showing Russian forces opening fire at civilians, likely from the same incident #Ukraine

Ukrainian official with the Donetsk regional administration says the city of Avdiivka, near Donetsk, has been shelled with Smerch rockets. #Ukraine

A bridge was blown up in Baryshivka near #Kyiv, as Russian forces are approaching the city from the east.

There are reports in Ukrainian and Russian media that the second round of talks will take place in the Białowieża Forest at the border between Poland and Belarus. Unconfirmed for now

After heavy clashes and significant civilian casualties reported today, Kherson is confirmed to have fallen

Earlier today, a church in Kharkiv was hit by a shell. People were taking refuge in the church. Thankfully no one was injured. #Ukraine.

Kharkiv is being bombed again tonight #Ukraine

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