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Faisal Islam @faisalislam
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Told Cabinet ministers will have phones taken off them at 1030 tomorrow on arrival at Chequers and not returned till meeting ends at 11pm, and they've all agreed to a draft of the paper
Paper currently contains proposal for a “common rule book” for goods and agrifoods- and acknowledgement that will restrain scope/ negotiating power for any potential US free trade deal. Reference to joint dispute resolution, including ECJ - sounds EEA like for goods
these aren’t binary states:
- can choose to be in single market/EEA and do your own trade deals - indeed Iceland’s with China regularly cited by Leave campaign.
- can even be in a CU and do trade deals - eg Turkey with Georgia and Malaysia
But will constrain scope of FTA
So there is a trade off between the degree of EU alignment designed to maintain frictionless trade and thus trading conditions for Airbus, BMW, JLR & the ability to do an unconstrained trade deal with US or China etc...
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Interesting - maybe too late. Labour MPs astonished No 10 failed to consult with unions too. Also one told her directly that her talking up of No Deal as a viable option was making things difficult. Ie they need her to say publicly that No Deal is a disastrous non option...tricky
Labour sources briefing against: “We will look at any proposal that is put forward to improve T May’s bad deal.

“However, amendment would mean MPs supporting deal based on promises that are not legally binding. also doesn’t guarantee UK won’t fall behind on important rights”
“Protection of rights is also one element of this deal. The government has still refused to listen to Labour’s demands for a permanent customs union and a strong single market deal.” Says Labour source...
Read 3 tweets
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Another ticking No Deal time bomb -Lords Grand committee supposed to take 4 hours to deal with 10 Brexit Statutory instruments - Got through just 3 on stem cells, embryology etc, all referred up to full House of Lords.

Hundreds more required to be passed to correct statute book
Some Govt sources suggesting there is a filibustering game going on here - Lords strenuously deny - todays committee included Lord Winston, Warner, Foulkes, Adonis etc, say it is scrutiny legislated for in Withdrawal Bill.

In any event, cant see how they get through all the SIs
Here’s the committee taking on the minister who was trying to get 10 SIs through today... parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/8a…
Read 4 tweets
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Very good story about Brexit consultancy contracts from @AdamParsons1 and @TomBoadle

My understanding was BCG and Mckinseys ones were to work up rejected plans for New Customs Partnership and Max Fac to test them with very sceptical manufacturers (under gagging clauses ofc)...
Essentially, the Government paying many millions to external consultants to tell them it was going to take years to prepare customs etc, but also trying to square circle of its own red lines on Brexit with keeping frictionless trade.
Plenty of people were telling the Government, often under NDA, for free, that such plans were unworkable...
Read 3 tweets

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Cabinet more

Amber Rudd told Cabinet:

“History will take a dim view of a Cabinet that presses ahead with No Deal. We have to face world in which we find it, not as we wish it to be and we have to deal with the facts as we find them.”
In response to Sajid Javid pointing out that under No Deal we wouldn’t be able to uphold Dublin agreement and send people back, Amber made clear that, as a former Home Sec, we’d be less safe as a country.
Amber Rudd added:

“More than ever we need to find the centre, reach across the House and find a majority for what will be agreed. Anything will need legislation.

“I want us to proceed with Brexit, I want to find the will of the House.”
Read 3 tweets
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Inside the minds of Conservative Party voters - a thread
We seem to be talking a lot about what Conservative MPs want but not a lot about what Conservative voters want
One of the reasons that many in Britain have been repeatedly shocked by political change -Ukip, Corbyn, Brexit- is because they've not been paying sufficient attention to public opinion & voters
Read 23 tweets
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am told cabinet ministers at Chequers were presented with three alternatives to May’s favoured “turd way”, all toxic:

1) EEA-plus: intolerable for Eurosceptics

2) No deal: intolerable for Hammond, Clark etc

3) Barnier proposal with border in Irish Sea: DUP would explode
analogy: displaying three alternative political dog turds before serving up political dog food
this isn’t the most pleasant metaphor, sincere apologies etc
Read 17 tweets
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Chequers latest:

Am told that Andrea Leadsom and Esther McVey grumbled about the Brexit offering....but Boris was very quiet and Gove enthusiastic while Fox and Grayling (who’s doing Today tomorrow) were on good behaviour: some Tory Eurosceptics annoyed that no one resigned....
Indeed apparently Boris gave a mini speech at dinner supporting the deal, some colleagues found it “moving” apparently, that bit may or may not be sarcastic
this is like being promised Butch Cassidy & The Sundance Kid and getting Love Actually instead
Read 4 tweets
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1) #Chequers today with the scene set for a big showdown. Six Brexiteers - led by Johnson & Davis - to tell PM her plan not acceptable; told that Javid, Williamson & Alan Cairns behind them. PM can’t afford to alienate 9 cabinet ministers
2) Brexiteers baulked at language around a “common rule book” for goods & agribusiness, which will undermine a future trade deal with US. Brexiteer source told me last night this part of the paper needs reworking
3) Phone calls going on as No 10 tries to reassure angry Brexiteers. Source says claims this plan will mean UK can’t sign trade deals ‘simply wrong’
Read 10 tweets
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Chequers. A brief retrospective from my representative's ancestors:

1/5 Here we have James Ramsey MacDonald (first Labour PM) and daughter, Joan, reflecting on national negotiations of the time. Well NOT Brexit. #chequers
2/5 Dennis and The Boss. Good times (mostly). I believe Mr T once said "Chequers is why you get the job". That, and "Shut up, Fool!".
[She'd have sorted out this bloody Brexit nonsense, I can tell you.] #chequers
3/5 Ladies' day. The G8.
Meryl Streep taking a role in close international relations, apparently.
(Blair too, being well non-Brexit. GAME ON, GIRLFRIEND.) #chequers
Read 5 tweets

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