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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Hey folks, we now have updated depth charts and projections for every NBA team, which are updated for injuries and player absences. We think these are pretty cool! --> 53eig.ht/2rKF5Wa
You can also track the impact of injuries over the course of the season and what impact they have on team strength. Here's Denver, for example, which will be much stronger if/when they get healthy. 53eig.ht/2BuLER5
And you can see how a team's regular-season and playoff rotations differ -- makes a big difference for teams like the Warriors. 53eig.ht/2QCZsDf
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Not sure this is a fight worth getting into but FWIW, as someone who knows a relatively large amount about New York restaurants, this claim—that the restaurant where AOC worked was put out of business by a minimum wage hike—is dubious at best.
The restaurant, Coffee Shop, was closed mostly it occupied a lot of square footage and because rents are very high in Union Square, where it's located. A ton of restaurants in that area, including the iconic Union Square Cafe, have recently closed or relocated.
The owner did cite the minimum wage as one of a "combination of factors", but also said most of his employees were already making above the NYC minimum wage. Also, the concept was pretty dated, and the restaurant was poorly reviewed on Yelp, etc. fxn.ws/2F8ds1T
Read 4 tweets
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My basic view on Warren's chances is bearish. For whatever reason (she's seen as old news? the DNA test? sexism/she reminds voters of Hillary?) her polling has been quite poor especially given her high name recognition. Her margins of victory in MA also have also not been great.
BUT you could make a decent "buy low" case on Warren. She probably has a better chance than Sanders of bridging the gap between the left and the party establishment. She's always raised a ton of money. Voters know what she stands for. Women did well in the 2018 primaries.
Not exactly the right analogy, but Warren's path to victory might be something like McCain's in 2008, who was left for dead by pundits at certain early points in the nomination process, but was fundamentally a strong candidate and eventually benefited from a "comeback" narrative.
Read 3 tweets
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Repeating this point, but the tendency of presidents to recover after bad midterms doesn't necessarily happen automatically—it may happen because it prompts them to pivot. Not clear if there's any recovery if there's no pivot, and Trump isn't pivoting. wapo.st/2ThGLlA
Reagan and Obama (among others) also benefited from improving economies after poor midterms, something that probably won't work in Trump's favor because the economy is already pretty good—but with some signs that it's getting worse—so the risks are to the downside.
Finally, it's worth reiterating that Trump's numbers *right now* are pretty bad, with a -12 net approval rating (-11 among polls of RV/LV).

So SOMETHING has to change or he'll have to get quite lucky to win re-election (i.e. face off against another super-unpopular opponent).
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Hey folks! I have a rant here about condoms, specifically why in the world we're still so heavily reliant on latex condoms despite the reality of widespread latex allergy/sensitivity. Strap in, cuz I'm PISSED about this
A few years ago I noticed that I didn't feel great after sex sometimes. I thought maybe I was just getting roughed up during rough sex. NBD. But then I had a partner who used a non-latex condom with me, and I didn't have the irritation and pain after sex
Turns out I have a latex sensitivity. I had no idea. I didn't know it was something that developed over time, or that the more I exposed myself to latex the worse it would get. I decided to move exclusively to non-latex condoms and discovered that there just aren't many options
Read 14 tweets
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#wa தீபாவளி ஸ்நானத்திற்கு தடை !!

ஹிந்துக்கள் தீபாவளி அன்று குளிக்கக் கூடாது என்று பாப்கான் என்பவர் தொடர்ந்த வழக்கை மிக மிக அவசர வழக்காக இரவோடு இரவாக விடிய விடிய விசாரித்த சுப்ரீம் கோர்ட், அதற்கு தடை விதித்து வரலாற்று சிறப்பு மிக்க தீர்ப்பை வழங்கியது.
இது பற்றி தீர்ப்பில், ஹிந்துக்கள் பண்டிகை என்பதால் தைரியமாக தடை விதிப்பதாகவும், இதன் மூலம் பல லட்சம் லிட்டர் தண்ணீர் சேமிக்கலாம் என்றும் நீதிபதிகள் தெரிவித்துள்ளனர்.
இது பற்றி கருத்து கூறிய பப்பு, கங்கா ஸ்நானம் ஆச்சா என்று கேட்பது மதவாதம் என்றும் தேம்ஸ் ஸ்நானம் ஆச்சா என்றோ நைல் ஸ்நானம் ஆச்சா என்றோ கேட்பது ஸெக்யுலர் என்றும் தெரிவித்தார்.

ஸ்டாலின் இது பற்றி கூறுகையில், தீபாவளி பண்டிகை என்று சொல்லி குளிப்பதை மட்டுமே தங்கள் கட்சி எதிர்ப்பதாகவும்
Read 6 tweets
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Hey, this area's restricted.
Oh, hi. Yeah, I know. They called me down here. Some of this wiring got screwed up.
Nobody called it down to me. I'm gonna to have to see a work order.
Read 472 tweets
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I think it's pretty cool that in 1477 was a woman named Julian Rawson who was a member of the Worshipful Cutlers of Ldn. Here she is paying for her apprentice, John Baylly. I like to envision Julian using a sword forged by her own hands to boss around John B. (Guildhall MS 7146)
And here she is the following year, taking on *another* apprentice, Edmund Terry. Way to go, Julian! I salute you,
Give it up for Ellen (or Helen maybe) Shaw, yet another Worshipful Cutler! 1489/90
Read 3 tweets
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Hey @BillHarris__ 😊👋

1/ Firstly, congrats on the amazing accomplishments! CEO of PayPal AND Intuit, I am sure that I've got a huge amount of things I can learn from you and hope that I can lead our teams to find success that you've helped others find. Genuine crusher!

But...
2/ I caught your interview yesterday on @CNBCFastMoney and it was really interesting to watch. Bitcoin not having value and the current networks needing to be faster to solve the same problem is really surface level stuff. My name is Michael and I'm the CEO at Wyre. 😊
3/ Among other use cases... Our partners use Wyre to build remittance applications. They send us local currency, and we pay out fiat same day (6 hour delivery, average can be ~90 minutes give or take). They never see or hear about Bitcoin, but it's the engine room underneath
Read 18 tweets
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Hey folks! Today I'm going to prep my next #OnTheEdgeOfExile session live on Twitter. I'll take you through what I've done already, to get started, to where I am now, and then through my process to get from notes > game content. #OtEoEprep #RPG 1/?
Now, you have to understand that OtEoE is a sandbox game, but we use some play devices: Travel Phases, Settlement Phases, and the players forewarn me of their intentions per Story. A "Story" exists in a place, and lasts for 3-4 sessions. #OtEoEprep #RPG 2/?
So, what are we doing today? Well, the PCs just finished their last Story (no. 3), called "Problems at Heim", and they've decided to head next to a nearby city called Collina in the Border Princes. Collina, at this point, doesn't exist except in a notes. #OtEoEprep #RPG 3/?
Read 54 tweets

Trending hashtags

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