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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
No idea how it is proposed to pass the fully amendable Withdrawal Agreement Bill in 17 days post Mar 12 - this is actual legal instrument of ratification.

It’s all amendable - detail of £39bn+ bill, transition application of EU law, etc etc

Lords, ping pong etc etc
also some big statutory instruments some require a 28 day process and are yet to be laid...

The Big One:

Tariff schedules...

Massive decisions creating winners and losers between consumers and producers, and between different industry sectors - as yet not debated in Commons
decisions on tariffs are extremely important for businesses obviously..

Been discussed in a small Cabinet subcommittee

But massive potential localised implications depending on who is deemed to be priority.

Ceramics industry? Welsh hill farmers? Shoppers buying fresh produce?
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Here Henry makes clearest case for May deal - as a compromise that will maintain current goods trade supply chains currently integrated with EU, while offering new trade freedoms in biggest section of Econ - services.

Striking thing - Downing St failure to communicate this...
... Number 10, and PM failed from the beginning to even make the case that a compromise was required, which is clearly their belief now. They can’t make case that this deal saves manufacturing, because they have never rolled the pitch for the idea that there is anything to lose.
... from my conversations this lack of willingness or perhaps capacity to properly sell the deal, and even to take risks to sell deal, has led to mistrust on other side - that there has been a lack of ownership of the clear domestic consequences of this international negotiation.
Read 3 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
French Customs on day 2 instigating what I think are 3rd Country “reinforced” checks ahead of No Deal Brexit on all passengers at Eurostar terminal, (Calais too on freight) douane asking everyone (incl EU/UK) after bag search why in France, & for how long = lengthy queues/delays
Apparently could last for days now, & while queues here are not exactly unknown, and the French douane have had to endure many MUFC supporters gladly explain why they were in Paris... there are also what appear considerable hold ups on freight into Calais:
can assure you this most certainly is happening. Its literally here about 10 metres from where I am sitting and I can see it, and was asked alongside every other passenger same questions...
Read 6 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
NEW. Sky Sources: Brexit Secretary Barclay has written to EU negotiator Barnier asking to carve out citizens rights chapters of Withdrawal Agreement to apply even in a No Deal situation.
This is the human face of this issue as reported by our Europe Correspondent @Stone_SkyNews
“I would welcome your views on the proposal put forward by our Parliament to ring-fence citizens’ rights and I propose that we discuss this issue in more detail when we meet”... Barclay letter to Barnier on Costa amendment now published
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Read 3 tweets

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Brigid Fowler
@Brigid_Fowler
OK, I've now read the transcript of today's debate & since the Constitutional Reform & Governance Act 2010 (CRaG Act) seems to have hit the headlines & there's a degree of confusion around, a thread just to clarify (I hope): 1/
The CRaG Act says that a treaty that needs ratifying must be laid before Parliament for 21 sitting days, without the House of Commons resolving against its ratification, before the gov may ratify it. 2/
The Act is primarily a vehicle to ensure the gov publishes, & tells Parliament about, treaties at least 21 sitting days before it ratifies them. 3/
Read 17 tweets
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Paul Daly
@pauldalyesq
With so much Brexit-related doom and gloom around, I thought it might be fun to change things up.

Let’s play a game.

It’s called “pick your crisis” and, I promise, it’ll be great fun.

THREAD.
In one corner we have the gallant Prime Minister.

Her supporters, the five-minutes-to-midnighters, are waving banners: “Run Down the Clock!”

They are waiting and waiting until the last possible moment to hold the "meaningful vote"
In the other corner we have a motley crew: Nick Boles, Yvette Cooper and Dominic Grieve.

They have a banner too, a rather long one: “Let Parliament take control, please, for a short period, for limited purposes”.

Their goal is to prevent the PM from running down the clock.
Read 16 tweets
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Paul Daly
@pauldalyesq
The funny thing is that, legally speaking, it is actually really easy for Parliament to legislate to prevent a No Deal Brexit

It could pass a law requiring the Prime Minister to revoke the Article 50 notification on March 28 if the Withdrawal Agreement hasn't been ratified

1/
@SpinningHugo has even produced a very short, very clear and very effective draft of what the legislation might look like

spinninghugo.wordpress.com/2019/01/18/cha…

2/
This would, to say the least, be politically controversial.

But it is perfectly feasible, as a matter of law.

It follows from the @andywightman @JolyonMaugham case on revoking Article 50 unilaterally.

The UK could certainly safely revoke if Parliament legislated for it

3/
Read 5 tweets
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Eleanor Sharpston
@akulith
1. Reading tweets over the (notional) Christmas Brexit truce, I’ve been struck by the repeated confusion about what the UK can / cannot do over the three months to 29th March 2019.
2. As Parliament resumes and the surrounding discussion heats up, it may therefore perhaps be helpful to offer a little (further) clarification about how the process under Article 50 TEU works.
3. Once Article 50 is triggered – as was done by the Prime Minister’s letter on 29th March 2017 – the two year time period specified by Article 50 runs down automatically.
Read 22 tweets
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Raphael Hogarth
@Raphael_Hogarth
Lots of news sites leading on @theresa_May's claim, in interview w @bbcnickrobinson, that MPs' vote on the Brexit deal will be a choice between what she has negotiated, and no deal at all. But as @instituteforgov has argued, the reality is more complex. 1/
bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Ofc, the PM is right that the legal defaults are set to no deal. The UK is scheduled to leave the EU on 29 March 2019. This does not automatically change if the UK and the EU fail to agree a deal, nor does it automatically change if Parliament declines to approve the deal. 2/
But, if Parliament wants to express a view beyond ‘yes or no’, it will be able to. For a start, MPs will be able to amend the motion to approve the government's deal. More explanation of this here. 3/
instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publications/v…
Read 17 tweets
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
The joy is unfinished. David Davis now up in the Commons to update House on Brexit talks.
Like a man living in another world, talks about progress towards trade phase & how talks have now "narrowed" on a "few" unresolved issues.
"Creativity". DRINK.
Read 38 tweets

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