Kevin Baron Profile picture
Aug 20, 2019 13 tweets 11 min read Read on X
Pompeo, in his Fox interview, made a few interesting statements on Afghanistan. 1) after the wedding attack, simply said US will continue to "decimate" "radical Islamic terrorism" "in a way that is smart and doesn’t require excess sacrifice on behalf of the American people." /1
That's a sensible balance, more than "end forever wars," signaling under Trump the US is not completely withdrawing from anywhere. and 2) Pompeo stated Trump's goal clear: reduce cost (money and lives) but ensure a posture that can reduce homeland attacks from Afgh. 2/
"Those twin goals are what the President set out for my team and for the Department of Defense. We’re working towards them. I am confident that we can achieve them." /3
"Any reduction that we make will be based on CONDITIONS ON THE GROUND and will be consistent with achieving those two goals on behalf of the President and on behalf of the American people." /4
So, us media when apeshit over Pompeo casually blurting that Trump wants the US to reduce forces in Afgh before the next election and about timelines... but really not much has changed. The US is ALWAYS looking to reduce forces based on "conditions on the ground." /5
We'll keep watching. Conditions of fighting are diff than conditions for peace talks, and there are so many factors. It's complicated (SEE BELOW). It's definitely more complicated than "end forever wars" security policy half a dozen 2020 Dems are selling right now. /6
Read all of @DefenseOne‘s #Afghanistan coverage here. Your nation is at war all over the world. Understand why. //
In Afghanistan, Is Sirajuddin Haqqani Ready for Peace? defenseone.com/ideas/2019/08/…
@DefenseOne It Matters Whether Americans Call #Afghanistan a Defeat
defenseone.com/ideas/2019/08/… /8
@DefenseOne Can US-Taliban Peace Talks End the War in #Afghanistan? @DefenseOne defenseone.com/politics/2019/… /9
@DefenseOne Top Diplomat Slams ‘Endless War’ Cries of Campaign Trail as ‘the Echo of the 1930s’
@DefenseOne
#Afghanistan #Iraq #Syria #terrorism #counterterrorism #GWOT #Election2020 #Democrats #Trump #Diplomacy #Turkey #NATO defenseone.com/politics/2019/…
@DefenseOne While you're here, sign up for @DefenseOne's daily security newsletter "The D Brief" free to your inbox, Mon-Fri. @natsecwatson curates a fantastic roundup of global security news that matters, interesting commentary, threads, events, and other fun stuff. defenseone.com/news/2019/08/t…

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More from @DefenseBaron

Apr 5, 2023
Proof Elon Musk is pushing his agenda? @NPR gets labeled “state-affiliated media” which is bogus. @starsandstripes, which is actually owned by the US government, is ignored. ImageImage
Remember Trump installed his own minions to run actual US-affiliated media as pro-Trump propagandists theatlantic.com/international/…
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Oct 25, 2022
JUST IN: Ash Carter, the 25th secretary of defense, died Monday night following a "sudden cardiac event," according to a statement from his family. He was 68.
This is heartbreaking news. I am fond of Secretary Carter and what he tried to achieve, bridging the civ-mil gap, and creating mutual understanding and respect between the worlds of technology and defense. As SecDef he keynoted @DefenseOne's inaugural Tech Summit. Image
Ash Carter set up the Pentagon's first Silicon Valley outpost: defenseone.com/technology/201…
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Jul 26, 2022
I asked NORAD/Northern Command's top general if they have a plan to defend the homeland against the threat of high-speed cruise missiles. His answer was... complicated:
NORAD scans for ICBMs over the Pole but now "cruise missiles can come off submarines in the Atlantic or in the Pacific, they can come off container ships parked in port, they can come off land, they can come off of airplanes, they can come off multiple directions from all axes."
"The North Warning System, which was put into place in the 1980s, did its job very well for the Soviet and the Russian threat of bombers coming over the [North] Pole. But now, as you develop a cruise missile with stealth characteristics, the radar coverage is shrunk."
Read 5 tweets
Jun 6, 2022
Russia's Lavrov was denied overflight into Serbia, reportedly. On Thurs, I asked Serbia's President Vucic how he can seek both Russian gas and EU entry: "Everybody is doing both. Sorry that I'm saying something and some don't want to hear it..." (53:00)
Vucic: Serbia's right-wing won more seats in recent parliamentary elections "exactly" because Serbia voted at the UNGA against Russia... "not because people in Serbia have something against Ukrainians. Not at all, we consider Ukrainians good friends. The issue was 1999..."
"We'll always be on the side of Ukrainian territorial integrity," Vucic said, in explaining Serbia's opposition to sanctions (76% oppose) or weapons against Russia, but several times in his appearance said that Serbs remember NATO bombing them in 1999.
Read 12 tweets
Mar 23, 2022
Vickers, on Putin: "Is he the same person he was?"
Gates: "I don't think so"...he used to take risks but then stop. "I think the two years because of isolation, because of COVID, has had an impact on him" and others who have had contact say so, Macron, Schultz, etc.
Gates: Putin has "a sense of personal desitny" to revive the Russian empire, slavic empire... "I was stunned" at his recent speech slamming Lenin, even.
Read 26 tweets
Mar 23, 2022
"Permanent stationing could be one solution", says US amb to NATO @Julie_C_Smith. So could rotational, though, she says, adding that Russia is in clear violation of the founding act, where NATO had agreed to not add permanent troops, so...
"We will continue doing everything of our power to ensure we can get them what they need quickly," says Amb. Smith.

(Read this as, despite Russia's threats against anyone aiding Ukraine, the US/NATO isn't slowing its arms and equipment aid.)
Our pal @nickschifrin asks a good question -- US officials talk about javelins and stingers, but won't talk about air-defenses under consideration. Why not? @Julie_C_Smith says there are simply sensitivities country-by-country.
Read 6 tweets

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