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1/ Time for a Tweetorial on the BNP!

You are working up a patient with dyspnea on exertion, but you’re unsure whether it’s heart failure – in fact, your suspicion is 50/50! You order a BNP, which comes back elevated at 350 pg/mL.

This BNP level:
2/ Before we answer this question, let’s review what BNP can/cannot tell us by taking a look at this incredible table. It comes from a systematic review of tests used to diagnose acute heart failure in patients with dyspnea. source: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.11…
3/ If your brain exploded, you’re not alone – mine did too! But it’s fairly simple if we break it down. A positive likelihood ratio is the likelihood that a positive test appears in a patient WITH disease compared to the likelihood that it appears in a patient WITHOUT disease.
4/ LRs, then, are a great way to think about how clinically useful a diagnostic test is!

🔸LR>1: the test result supports the diagnosis
🔸LR<1: it makes it less likely
🔸LR = 1: the test has no diagnostic value.
5/ This neat thing (called Fagan’s nomogram) allows us to compare pre- and post-test probabilities by drawing a line through the LR.
6/ Back to BNP: It turns out that a BNP level < 100 pg/mL is really useful in ruling OUT heart failure (LR = 0.14). Remember, your pre-test probability was 50%. With a BNP < 100, it is now below 10%! Nice!
7/ However, a BNP > 100 pg/mL doesn’t perform very well in ruling IN heart failure. The overall LR for BNP > 100 is only 2.2, meaning it only brings the pre-test probability up by about +15%. Why? B/c BNP is elevated in a bunch of other diseases, including kidney failure!
8/ Does that mean a high BNP level is always inconclusive? Not exactly. If your patient has a REALLY high BNP (1,000 and above), then your LR+ is closer to 8, which strongly supports the diagnosis of HF.
9/ Back to the original question: what does a BNP level of 350 pg/mL tell us in this patient? Basically… nothing. The LR for BNP = 350 is about 1!

(If your institution uses proBNP, the same principles apply, although very high proBNP levels are not as suggestive of HF)
10/ TL;DR:
👉BNP < 100 pg/mL = less likely to be heart failure
👉BNP > 1,000 pg/mL = more likely to be heart failure
👉100 < BNP < 1,000 = not very useful information!

That’s it for now. Thanks for reading!
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