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Let’s apply our test again. In two weeks, when we look back, what would we wish we had done today?
As a planning assumption, not necessarily a prediction, we would expect 2,500 dead in the U.S. and ~120,000 #coronavirus cases. I take that from applying the Italy curve.
They will be disproportionately concentrated in hot spots. Likely Seattle, Los Angeles, San Francisco, and New York (this does NOT mean others are safe, just a distribution reality).
What will the three most important things be to me two weeks in the future?

1. PPE
2. PPE
3. PPE

Professional staff are national treasures. If illness induced absenteeism affects healthcare providers, there’ll be nobody to treat us, use ventilators, or save our moms and dads.
And, let’s be clear. It’s not just the elderly at risk. Four of the most ill, intubated patients at Massachusetts General Hospital are aged 42-51. Unfortunately, very ill, with minimal comorbidities.
The guidance we’re following now is not something rapidly improvised, it is deeply grounded in science, math, and, the very real history of former pandemics. It might be a break-glass plan, but it’s not a Hail Mary. It’s got a proven record of success, IF we stick to the play.
Follow the play and your assignments. Do not let your household be a link in the ongoing chain of transmission.

How we treat each other is how we will remember this moment. I think we can show the world a thing or two about common decency.
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