IMF publishes quarterly long-read on world economic outlook. Title is scary: "The Great Lockdown: Worst Economic Downturn Since the Great Depression" blogs.imf.org/2020/04/14/the…
Magnitude & speed of collapse is unlike anything experienced in our lifetimes… we project global growth in 2020 to fall to -3% - a downgrade of 6.3% from 2020/01. This makes #GreatLockdown the worst recession since #GreatDepression and far worse than Global Financial Crisis
Assuming the pandemic fades in the second half of 2020 and that policy actions taken around the world are effective in preventing widespread firm bankruptcies, extended job losses, and system-wide financial strains, we project global growth in 2021 to rebound to 5.8 percent.
if the pandemic continues into 2021, it may fall next year by an additional 8 percent compared to our baseline scenario.
IMF deploys our $1 TRLN lending capacity to support vulnerable countries, including thru rapid-disbursing emergency financing & debt service relief to our poorest countries, & we are calling on creditors to do the same - I assume we'll come out of this w/ dept exceeding our GDP
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#Armenia says, #Azerbaijan shelled #Stepanakert & outskirts.
Then Azerbaijan says, Karabakh shell #Ganja.
Then Armenia says, Azerbaijan shells Khnatsakh, Artsvanik & David Bek (Armenia). 2 drones are downed in Armenia.
No shelling for some days. So who started this now?
#Azerbaijan media shares vid of #Armenia|n Grad in action, claim Armenians target Ganja & Mingechaur.
Armenian Grad has 20km range.
Distance to Ganja: 40km, Mingechaur: 50+.
I trust @ShStepanyan. And there are more important targets, than civilian houses.
One of the most dangerous aspects of war - is endless cycle of revenges. Murder, and revenge, and revenge for revenge, w/ no end. Previous war revenges had already passed away in 30 yrs. No we are gaining new ones. And why is this for? For #Aliyev revanchism?
#Azerbaijan killed 2 #Armenia|n captives, likely #Hadrut district. Video shows an old & a younger man are ordered to approach to Azeri soldiers w/ hands in the air. Next video shows both, old man face covered w/ blood, but moving. Then soldiers gunshot them.
"Families gathered at #Syria-#Turkey border, waiting for drivers to dispense 52 Syrian men bodies, killed in war 600m away. They were mercenaries, recruited by Turkey-backed militias to fight on behalf of #Azerbaijan against #Armenia, relatives said" washingtonpost.com/world/middle_e…
And another flight route to Baku from Bagram, #Afghanistan these day. Afghanistan is very likely provides mercenaries/weaponry to #Azerbaijan.
Air siren wailing in #Stepanakert. Video taken from the open-air cafe, I always go when visiting #Karabakh.
Streets empty, people are in basements under air strike.
This woman's father, husband, brother and son are at front line. They are safe and brave. It's a war. We are going to win like in previous war, she says.