The surprising thing is they're surprised about #Brexit. They're as out of touch about this as they are #Covid19

Some examples

1. Don't Break Most Favoured Nation! - It's a WTO basic you can't set different terms, for that you need to be in the EU!

businessinsider.com/leaked-liz-tru…
1a) Even more surprising is they've agreed to this.
TLDR is they know they're fooked in a no-deal no FTA scenario, and with this, they're confirming that.

Like everything else in Johnson land, it's more deception, the wrong idea, delivered in the wrong way, by the wrong people
1b) But it gets worse. I'm not sure whether Truss is smart enough to cover her ass, but I am sure that countries will fall over themselves to challenge this - not just for spite (though that'll happen with Russia), but due to the size.

27 NATIONS FFS

A little more than a breach
2. (No) Border Controls
I thought Gove was playing to the Rabid (or Raaabid?)
Can you set yourself up as taking back control of borders only to let anything and anyone be smuggled in?

The same open borders with #Coronavirus cost us £150B and 63,000 lives. Better luck this time!
3. Northern Ireland.

Many said this wasn't going away. I couldn't believe that a bunch of unionists had sold the mob the idea of splitting the nation down the middle as a win.

I thought it might break with NI defacto staying in the EU as Johnson ate his export promises...
3a Then when Raab on TV told Northern Ireland they had an amazing fortune, staying in the CU and SM, I honestly wet myself, just a little, laughing at the continued Raaabid Brexiter support.

But now, after all that, they're not even ready?
And Gove just blew the extension?
3b But it gets worse I'm afraid. It always does with #BrexitShambles. We're already "Most Hated Nation" by Democrats, slightly for cosying up with Trump, but much more importantly for completely dishonouring the Anglo Irish Agreement.

Visit Boston if you want to know why. Image
3c. I won't predict the demise of Trump but to turn flat curve->sharpened peak can't be good for reelection.

The #Brexit promise of a US Deal was always a lie, [it's a tiny offset for the EU]. But if Dems get in, it ain't even gonna be that.
Not so much oven-ready as roadkill. Image
Is this schadenfreude?
A told you so?

No, I'm sad populists led us to this.
Even tried to help - ways #Brexit could be achieved without ruin->🧏🦻
Not one a trade negotiator, not one who can do detail, led by the guy who CBA to turn up for pandemic briefings.
It was inevitable. Image
Postscript Oh God No REALLY IT CAN'T BE!

How badly did Faux mess up on rollover deals?
Canada told us they'd hold out for better terms when we were desperate
SKorea and Japan said only on vassal state (EU) terms.
Gawd Blimey Guv'nor u couldn't' make it up

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More from @atatimelikethis

Mar 23, 2023
An excellent summary of the cost of living in Germany vs in the UK.

This has very little to do with the EU. It's about corruption in politics.

One country invests in the long term future of its citizens

The other gives out backhanders, crony contracts and dodgy deals to donors
One thing @skedeschi doesn't cover is a comparison of the two political systems.

Like the UK, Germany is a collection of smaller states working together under a United Federation.

But unlike the UK, each state is fairly represented. In the UK, England gets a 90% block vote.
Lke the UK, Germans value both their local representatives and the ability to choose between various policies offered by political parties.

And both countries have roughly 600 MPs, albeit Germany makes this work with a much larger population

But there the similarities end
Read 50 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
You might conclude there are no data on lab lib overt/covert pacts.

You wonder. Has no one analysed whether to compete?

TLDR you'd be right to ask. And maybe then surprised. The bigger issue is that 75% of #Johnson's seats are due to a huge mess-up on this in 2019
Data follow⬇️
Ok first #TivertonandHoniton #Wakefield

Was it worth lab and lib striking local "non-compete" agreements?

Absolutely.

LSE analysis shows⬇️📈vote share can shift ~5-30% just by not competing. Or this week maybe a darn lot more.

blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpol…
Someone may want to argue lib dems do slightly better.

They do.
But that's because they start far smaller
AND it's easier for marginal voters to settle on centrist.

Also that effect is minor vs the boost labour gets from LD where they need it.

But one more thing...
Read 8 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
Since everyone is talking Criminal Justice today, for obvious reasons, some thoughts below.

Every time Patel plays Gesture Politics, changes sentences, botches laws, adds grounds for appeal, she knows she's making a broken system worse.

Proof of insincerity and/or incompetence?
How does Criminal Justice end up like this?

This man ⬇️ is a victim of another Home Office miscarriage of justice.

His pursuit by Patel is political. And the cost is massive amounts of Court and Barrister time.

Now recall, he is just one of thousands.

I doubt you're a fan of the Government's Rwanda Policy.

But imagine you were. Most likely you wouldn't want it in court, failing to work. You'd want to avoid last minute appeals.

Yet Patel creates exactly those problems. This is how to avoid them ⬇️

Read 6 tweets
May 10, 2022
Whatever faces the UK, it's complex. To prosper we will need these:

Careful, long term thinking
Objectivity in difficult tradeoffs
Honesty, shrewd negotiation
Deep analysis and preparation
Dedicated ruthless planning

Meanwhile it's #Bodger #Johnson's Queens Speech.

Chances? ❌
This dichotomy is just weird:

Take #Brexit.

Imagine, if you can; your passion for extracting the UK from the EU was unpersuaded by any argument to the contrary.

OK.

But did you think doing it was so simple that Slapdash-cover-the-cracks Bodger was the guy to run it?
Out of the blue, we faced a Global #COVID19 Pandemic.

OK,caught a little short with the No 10 leadership. It happens.

But maybe reconsider when you found out he dodged all the scientific briefings at the start to write a book?

You wanted to #Bodger your way through?
Read 8 tweets
Jan 27, 2022
The High Court has found the #HomeOffice guilty of illegal mugging of Asylum Seekers.

It is NOT illegal to flee danger, but the HO wrongly said it was, deciding to steal possessions from victims. That IS illegal.

No one knows where this 2020 policy originated. Some ideas ⬇️ ImageImageImageImage
@pritipatel has constantly and deliberately (unless she's just stupid) lied about the legality of those who flee danger to come to our country.

She also characterised the victims of violence as economic migrants - a number her HO data says is vanishingly small.⬇️ ImageImage
Today is #HolocaustMemorialDay

Lest any of us forget, this was an event, the result of a policy of hate directed toward a marginalised community unable to defend itself by lying positions wishing to rabble rouse and distract a disenchanted set of deceived voters.

Familiar?
Read 4 tweets

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