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1)
#China’s threat is real in military/economic deal with #Iran

-$400 bn from China
-Sino-Russian bombers, fighter jets & etc. to have unrestricted access to Iran's air bases
-China gets privilege, discounts on all of Iran’s oil/gas/petchem deals
iranfocus.com/en/economy/346…
2)
Jan 2016—China’s Xi meets with Iran’s Khamenei, after Obama’s nuclear deal came into effect

March 2019—Xi sends letters to Khamenei, emphasizing on “maintaining & strengthening ties with Iran”

August 2019—Draft 25-year Iran-China deal presented to Khamenei
3)
Sep 2019—Mohammad Bagheri, Iran’s Armed Forces Chief of Staff, traveled to China.
This sheds light into the role of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) in this 25-year deal.

Reminder:
The IRGC is designated as a Foreign Terrorist Organization by the U.S.
4)
Nov 2019—Fars news agency

“Bagheri: The relationship between Iran and China is strategic/Drafting a 25-year cooperation document between the two countries”
5)
Deal “will involve complete aerial/naval military co-op between Iran & China, with Russia also taking a key role.” If an August meeting goes as planned, “as of November 9, Sino-Russian bombers, fighters, and transport planes will have unrestricted access to Iran’s air bases.”
6)
Bombers to be China versions of the Russian Tupolev Tu-22M3s, with a range of 6,800 km (2,410 km with a typical weapons load).

Fighters will be the all-weather supersonic medium-range fighter bomber/strike Sukhoi Su-34, plus the newer single-seat stealth attack Sukhoi-57.
7)
It is apposite to note that in August 2016, Russia used the Hamedan airbase to launch attacks on targets in Syria using both Tupolev-22M3 long-range bombers and Sukhoi-34 strike fighters.
8)
Chinese and Russian military vessels will be able to use newly-created dual-use facilities at Iran’s key ports at Chabahar, Bandar-e-Bushehr, and Bandar Abbas, constructed by Chinese companies.
9)
Deployments to include Chinese/Russian electronic warfare (EW) capabilities, encompassing key EW areas—electronic support (including early warning of enemy weapons use) plus electronic attack (including jamming systems) plus electronic protection (including of enemy jamming).
10)
Part of the new roll-out of software and hardware from China and Russia in Iran, according to the Iran sources, would be the Russian S-400 anti-missile air defence system: “To counter U.S. and/or Israeli attacks.”
11)
The Krasukha-2 and -4 systems are also likely to feature in the overall EW architecture, as they proved their effectiveness in Syria in countering the radars of attack, reconnaissance and unmanned aircraft.
12)
Part of the new military co-operation includes an exchange of personnel between Iran and China and Russia, with up to 110 senior Iranian IRGC men going for training every year in Beijing and Moscow and 110 Chinese and Russians going to Tehran for their training.
13)
Sep 2019
“…Chinese companies will be given the first refusal to bid on any new, stalled or uncompleted oil/gasfield developments. Chinese firms will also have first refusal on opportunities to become involved with any & all petchems projects in Iran.”
petroleum-economist.com/articles/polit…
14)
"This will include up to 5,000 Chinese security personnel on the ground in Iran to protect Chinese projects, and there will be additional personnel and material available to protect the eventual transit of oil, gas and petchems supply from Iran to China…”
15)
“China will also be able to buy any and all oil, gas, and petchems products at a minimum guaranteed discount of 12% to the six-month rolling mean price of comparable benchmark products, plus another 6-8% of that metric for risk-adjusted compensation.”
16)
One of Iran’s goals in this 25-year deal with China is to sell 8.4 million barrels of oil per day, according to Ali Agha-Mohammadi, head of the Economic Group in Khamenei’s office.
17)
“China will be granted the right to delay payment for Iranian production up to two years. China will also be able to pay in soft currencies that it has accrued from doing business in Africa and the Former Soviet Union (FSU) states,” according to petroleum-economist.
18)
“… in addition to using renminbi should the need arise—meaning that no US dollars will be involved in these commodity transaction payments from China to Iran.”
19)
Sep 2010—US Treasury sanctions Europäisch­-Iranische Handelsbank

June 2018—Oberbank will withdraw from Iran because of increased risk for European companies in light of potential U.S. sanctions

Oct 2019—US prosecutors accuse Halkbank of scheme to evade Iran sanctions
20)
Tabriz, home to a number of key oil, gas and petchems sites, and the starting point for the Tabriz-Ankara gas pipeline, will be a pivot point of the 2,300km New Silk Road
21)
Iran’s benefits
-Veto power from China & Russia in the UN Security Council

-China to increase investment in Iran’s oil/gas industry, especially Phase 11 of the giant South Pars gas field & West Karoun oil fields

-China has agreed to increase imports of Iranian oil
22)
There is talk of Iran providing further privileges to China

Reuter concession
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reuter_co…

Terms similar to D'Arcy Concession, a petroleum oil concession that was signed in 1901 between William Knox D'Arcy & Mozzafar al-Din, Shah of Iran.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D%27Arcy_…
23)
China is also seeking to “develop banking, financial and insurance cooperation” with Iran’s regime.

And it is quite obvious how the mullahs will use the money.
24)
Iran is also seeking China’s participation in its technology & communications industry, including search engines, email, social messengers, GPS, servers, database, mobile phones, tablets and laptops.
25)
History:
Last year the regime gave away Iran’s historical share of the Caspian Sea to Russia to attract Putin's support on the global stage.

Apparently that wasn't enough & Moscow is cashing in on this new deal between Iran & China.
dw.com/en/caspian-sea…
26)
Iran’s regime went to concede the commercial Chabahar port to India, to attract economic agreements in hope of circumventing U.S. sanctions.
27)
By permitting China to use trawling ships in Iran’s southern waters, the mullahs’ regime has literally forced thousands of local fishermen into poverty.
en.radiofarda.com/a/chinese-fish…
28)
This thread sheds light on the appalling nature of China's bottom-trawling techniques & how the mullahs' regime is allowing Chinese ships destroy Iran's precious marine life.
29)
And while Iranians inside & abroad are furious over this deal between the regime & China, Jason Rezaian of WaPo uses his column in an attempt to score cheap political points against US President Donald Trump by running Tehran's talking points.
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/…

#Shame
30)
Final thoughts:
-The regime in Iran is desperate, but don't expect to see mainstream media highlight that aspect.

-The regime is selling out all of Iran to foreign countries, further fueling domestic anger.

-Many things can happen before Tehran ever profits from this deal.
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