Katy Hayward Profile picture
Sep 13, 2020 13 tweets 8 min read Read on X
N.Ireland is once again the rope in the UK/EU tug of war.

(we've been here before, several times 🙄😩)

Both claim to be acting on the grounds of the Good Friday/Belfast 1998 Agreement.
🇬🇧🇪🇺🇮🇪

Both have a point…

But it’s complicated.

A twitter thread.
#Brexit #GFA
1/13
The Belfast/Good Friday #Agreement has 3 strands.

These strands represent the lines of division that gave rise to the #conflict:
* unionist/nationalist within NI,
* north/south across the border, &
* British/Irish.

The B/GFA formalised cooperation across these lines.
2/13
Crucially, all are #interdependent.

Underpinning it all is the British-Irish relationship
🇬🇧🇮🇪

That relationship was improved & became closer as a result of being ‘partners in the EU’ 🇪🇺

The EU was also a go-to model for some of that cross-border & multilevel cooperation.
3/13
There are as many references to the UK in the B/GFA as there are to the EU (15).

These are mainly in relation to the new institutions’ consideration of EU issues👇

The principle of #coordination is key.

& the EU dimension is most important to north/south cooperation.

4/13
+ B/GFA makes the European Convention on #HumanRights [Council of Europe, but a legal obligation of EU membership] a #safeguard for the B/GFA.

To ensure that ‘all sections of the community are protected’.

This is why it is included in the NI/IRL #Protocol.

5/13
But above all else, the #principles that underpin the B/GFA are key.

See the Declaration of Support signed up to by the parties & both govts:

“to strive in every practical way towards reconciliation & rapprochement within the framework of democratic & agreed arrangements.”
6/13
"Democratic & agreed arrangements" are absolutely key here.

There's something unimpeachable about what is negotiated, what is confirmed by democratic process.

It cannot be in tune with the B/GFA if it undermines democratic & agreed arrangements.

Who would disagree?

7/13
Second: ‘partnership, equality & mutual #respect’ as the basis of relationships across these islands.

What ever smacks of distrust, inequality, disrespect is undermining of the B/GFA.

This includes #Scotland & #Wales… they are equal members in the British-Irish Council.

8/13
Third: ‘exclusively #democratic & peaceful means of resolving differences on political issues’.

Elected representation has to matter.
Democratic process must work.
The rule of law must be revered.
Publicly promulgated. Equally enforced.

Undermine that & the B/GFA withers.
9/13
One thing m.important than we may have thought before:
There are no formal dispute resolution mechanisms in the B/GFA.
The courts overseeing it are national supreme courts, not an international court.
If UK or Ireland breaches it, there are no intl. legal means of recourse.
10/13
There is another principle worth mentioning: #consent.

“Northern Ireland in its entirety remains part of the United Kingdom & shall not cease to be so without the consent of a majority of the people”.

Nothing in the #Protocol changes the constitutional status of NI.

11/13
We are left on the faultline of future UK/EU relations.

But when all is said & done, the most critical relationship for peace in NI is the British-Irish relationship.

Devalue, jettison, undermine, stymie that relationship & you'll undermine the foundations of peace in NI

12/13
The softer the Irish land border & the softer the Irish sea border, the better it is for N.Ireland.

We can’t help it.
We’re perched in between.
#BritishIrishBoth

Try&pull one way or the other & we’re in trouble.

The only way ahead, in tune with the B/GFA, is #compromise.
13/13

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More from @hayward_katy

Sep 22, 2022
It would be weird if a political sociologist in N.Ireland didn't have something to say about the #NIcensus2021 results released today, wouldn't it?!
& a pity if there weren't slides to go along with those comments...

So, here we are, a thread of nine.
1/9
nisra.gov.uk/publications/c…
NI population is up, more households with fewer people in each (2.44 ave).

There is more ethnic and language diversity than before but, oh my, it's still not very much.
2/9
"How would you describe your national identity" - a comparison here between 2011 & 2021.
A drop in British only (down 8 percentage points), and a rise in Irish only (up by 4 % points).
3/9
Read 9 tweets
May 28, 2022
*Thank you* for every tweet & supportive msg re: the slurs on my academic integrity

I'm not important, but information, evidence & facts are.

In honour of that, here's a🧵correcting false claims in @bbcquestiontime on #Protocol [16:22-38:50] #bbcqt
1/22
bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episod…
There were statements made that some will disagree with or view v. differently.

& Each panellist @RobertBuckland @peterkyle @johnfinucane @little_pengelly @naomi_long made some statements that were true.

No need for me to repeat those ones, with two interesting exceptions…
2/
@little_pengelly claimed @allianceparty had called for "rigorous implementation" of the Protocol [33:05]

As @naomi_long said, it was re: UKG previous intention to break intl law in Sept 20

NB the phrase was used by *4* party leaders & @MarosSefcovic
3/
reuters.com/article/uk-bri…
Read 23 tweets
May 26, 2022
Latest N.Ireland Life&Times #NILTSurvey results are out!📊

NI’s leading social attitudes survey.
Randomised sampling.
Individual interviewing.
1,397 respondents.

All results here: ark.ac.uk/nilt/

Here's 6 findings on political attitudes to pique your interest -
1/8 Image
First up, everyone’s talking about the Belfast/Good Fri Agmt these days. What does NI really think about it?

2/3 see it as still the best basis for governing NI

Most want further implementation (Bill of Rts, Civic Forum)

Most want some reform too e.g. Petition of Concern
2/8 Image
Now then what about that other international agreement of some consequence for N.Ireland?

Knowledge of the #Protocol rose from 47% in 2020 to 65% in 2021.

Support for it rose too.

In 2021 people became more opinionated about the Protocol. Read our @ARK_info report for more
3/8 Chart showing 1/3 think Pro...
Read 8 tweets
May 4, 2022
Predicting the outcome of the Assembly #Election in N.Ireland is straightforward enough if you know how.

There are a handful of key factors to bear in mind.

Nail all of these & you’ll be way ahead of the game come results day 🤓
#AE22 🏖️

1/8
#1: the Issues 📝
What concerns are raised on the door steps? On the airwaves? Social media? Street demos?

What real life problems are addressed in the manifestos?
What policies are dissected in political debate?

Find the common thread across these & ... oh 😶

Moving on💨
2/8
#2: the Parties🥳

What do the polls say [& do they tally]?
How trusted are their leaders, & how secure are they?
How did they perform in the last mandate?
Have they made major blunders?
Are they running too many or too few candidates?
How transfer-friendly are they, to whom?
3/8
Read 8 tweets
Feb 17, 2022
Serious concerns about growth of executive power & weakening rule of #law & #humanrights protection are closer to home than Hungary or Poland ⚠️

I'm proud to be part of the UK Constitution Monitoring Group, whose 2nd report is issued today @Con_Soc
👇
1/5 consoc.org.uk/publications/t…
In summary -
UK govt intent on reducing already-insufficient checks and balances on ministerial power.
2/5
Raft of new bills show nature of the UK Govt's agenda for constitutional reform.
3/5
Read 5 tweets
Oct 22, 2021
The #Protocol on IRL/NI was agreed 2 years ago, with a key objective of avoiding a hard @BorderIrish

But what has #Brexit been like for people living along the #border?

We @QUBSSESW @europe_icban @UKandEU investigated…
And our report is out today!
tinyurl.com/AfterBrexit
1/10 Cover of Border After Brexit report
This is our 4th QUB/ICBAN report since the 2016 referendum.

The study involved an online #survey of those living/working in the Central Border Region.

Our survey received c400 responses, equally spread either side of the border. There were also interviews & focus groups.

2/10
We are VERY grateful to each of the respondents to this survey.

It took a time to complete because we insisted on getting comments/views/examples…

And hence the report is another fairly hefty one, as the #Contents show.

The focus is on giving space/voice to respondents.

3/10 Contents pages of the report
Read 10 tweets

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