1/6. The USA, Oct. 10 to 16 - Will be plateauing at high epidemic activity for #COVID19, with high mortality rates for 7 more days.
5 states below detailed in the thread.
Data coronavirus.jhu.edu renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
5 states below detailed in the thread.
Data coronavirus.jhu.edu renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/6. New York is experiencing a recent surge in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at medium levels, foreseen to reach high levels by mid-October, with increasing but still low levels of mortality, for 7 more days. A situation similar as those seen currently in Western Europe.
3/6. Texas will be plateauing at high level of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
4/6. Florida will be plateauing at medium to high levels of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with high mortality rates, for 7 more days.
5/6. California will be plateauing at medium levels of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with decreasing medium levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
6/6. Arizona will be plateauing at medium levels of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with decreasing low levels of mortality.
7/6
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
Mortality assessment:
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
Mortality assessment:
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50
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