So a decade ago @Gautam_Adani invested $1bn in a HALE thermal #coal deposit 400km from anywhere in the Galilee.

At the same time Mr Adani invested $40m in a 40MW #solar project.

So fast forward to 2020: which investment is doing better?
So @AdaniAustralia's Carmichael coal remains a stranded HALE coal deposit with zero revenues, nets debts of A$2.1bn and negative A$786m shareholders "equity" (plus a royalty holiday for the rest of this decade, thanks to @AnnastaciaMP & @glencore's @mattjcan).
In contrast, #Adani Green Energy - with a US$15bn market capitalisation - is by value now the largest energy firm in India, by a mile (having overtaken the 65GW @ntpclimited giant last month)! 🇮🇳✅
Mr Adani owns 75% worth US$11bn!
And zero subsidies, emissions or pollution.
I wonder if Mr Adani regrets any of his investment decisions of a decade ago?!
Overdue time to pivot, and not sink more good money trying to salvage an irreparable error.
Time for #Adani to ignore @mattjcan, look after #1 & double down on the future: "Growth with Goodness".

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More from @TimBuckleyIEEFA

15 Oct
Wow - the biggest thermal power generator in Japan - JERA commits to net zero emissions by 2050 and as an interim measure, will close all outdated polluting supercritical / subcritical coal-fired power plants by 2030. 🇯🇵✅
energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/coal/japa…
This follows Mitsui & Co's announcement to exit coal fired power generation in Asia by 2030 earlier this week! 🇯🇵✅
And follows Marubeni Corp's landmark pivotal September 2018 announcement to exit coal fired power plant EPC and progressively divest from its existing #coal power.
Which I'm proud to saw @simonjnicholas & I suggested in July 2018. 🇯🇵✅
ieefa.org/ieefa-report-m…
Read 16 tweets
8 Oct
The world's largest investor in #RenewableEnergy, @NextEraEnergy, sees US wind costs declining by 10% annually for the next four years, so even as subsidies cease, #wind will be the low cost source of new supply. #coal can't compete. 🇺🇸✅
investor.nexteraenergy.com/~/media/Files/…
And @NextEraEnergy expects ~10% annual solar deflation to continue as well, remaining the second lowest source of new electricity in the US.
And batteries are seeing deflation of ~16% pa, meaning 4 hour storage will cost ~US$4-9/MWh by 2022, challenging peaking applications for fossil gas (solar already destroys that antiquated idea of gas base-load).
Other than @ScottMorrisonMP, who thinks a gaslit recovery works?!
Read 8 tweets
24 Aug
Today @IEEFA_AsiaPac Yong-Liang Por's new report on the global surge in investment interest in pilot green hydrogen projects. Like battery storage, this is a game changer for low cost #RenewableEnergy. Europe, Australia, Korea, Japan & the US are leading.
ieefa.org/wp-content/upl…
The US is lead by @nexteraenergy with a US$65m, 20MW electrolyser in Florida, operational by 2022/23 for blending with an existing fossil gas peaker. 🇺🇸 ✅
greentechmedia.com/articles/read/… by @KEStromsta
And @CWP_Renewables' Asia Renewable Energy Hub aims to build 15GW of wind & solar capacity in the Pilbara to power green hydrogen at world scale. 🇦🇺✅
reneweconomy.com.au/pilbara-green-… by @GilesParkinson
Read 18 tweets
2 May
The carnage of the Oil & Gas Majors.
Negative oil prices. LNG <US$2/mmBtu.
Pivot or Die.
The boards have doubled down on expensive M&A when prices were double today, &/or catching the falling knife buying back their stock at double current prices. Caught asleep at the wheel.
The humbling of @ExxonMobil.
In a decade & the S&P500 rose 200% Exxon returned -10.8% to investors. The market evaluation of former CEO Rex Tillerson is clear, he failed. 2020 saw Exxon destroy 38% of shareholder wealth, Darren Woods is doing no better.
bloomberg.com/features/2020-…
The price of oil has collapsed well below the breakeven price of oil, as defined by the oil majors as oil price needed to cover capital spending and dividends.
Read 11 tweets
27 Apr
Anyone else noticing despite the pandemic, global financial institutions seem to be accelerating their exit from fossil fuels, starting with formal coal exit polices that are tightening at an accelerating pace! Or maybe these two issues are connected i.e. accepting the science?!
Here is one of the latest ones, @HSBC removed its three country exemptions (Bangladesh, Indonesia and Vietnam) for coal power, and expanded their project finance exemption for new tar sands and arctic drilling. 🇬🇧✅
hsbc.com/-/files/hsbc/i…
It took a while, but now @Citi has strengthened their previously very weak #coal policy. Now it is not too bad + Citi has committed to tightening transparently every year till they reach zero coal finance by 2030.🇺🇸✅
citigroup.com/citi/sustainab…
Read 16 tweets
13 Apr
Indian electricity demand has dropped 21% in absolute terms since the start of March 2020. As the high marginal cost source of power, coal-fired power generation is down 28%. @RajKSinghIndia, a key lesson for us is that #coal has worn 99% of curtailment in 🇮🇳.
And India ended FY2020 with record high coal stockpiles.
Analysis by @CWorringham. With domestic coal production increasing, and coal generation declining, the inevitable is lower imports of thermal coal over 2020.
Coal imports down 27% year-on-year in March 2020 to 15.7Mt, a reflection of things to come over 2020 after three years of coal import growth. An interesting dilemma for @Gautam_Adani's #Adani Carmichael HALE #coal proposal.
energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/coal/coro…
Read 6 tweets

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