NEW: If you had asked me, before it happened, whether a Global pandemic would bring the UK together, or divide us, I would have said "unite us".

But that isn't what happened. Here is what did happen via @ft -
how #COVID19 strained the Union 1/

ft.com/content/05bcde…
@FT I cannot think of a story in my 25 years as a journalist that has so foregrounded the realities of devolution - not least because #COVID19 as a *health* crisis meant that Scottish, Welsh and NI govts did have a lot of control. /2
@FT So when it came to decisions on quarantine from abroad, test and trace and locking/unlocking, time and again Westminster was confronted by the limits of its power/2
@FT Sure, it did not help that one part of the country is run by a party whose raison d'etre is to secede from the Union, but it is too crude to accuse @NicolaSturgeon of playing politics with a crisis - even if the polls show her demeanour played better than that of @BorisJohnson /4
@FT @NicolaSturgeon @BorisJohnson But what crisis did, undeniably, was give the leaders of the devolved governments a platform, on an almost daily basis, that I can't remember the like of. If I had time I'd count how many times Ms Sturgeon was on the BBC News at 10 in 2020 compared with other years in office/5
@FT @NicolaSturgeon @BorisJohnson A platform has - as we've seen this week - been given to regional politicians like @AndyBurnhamGM but without the policy independence to match. As he tells us, the UK 'unlocked' in July without his advice/consultation, when the stock of the virus in the north remained high/6
@FT @NicolaSturgeon @BorisJohnson @AndyBurnhamGM So when London had come well through its peak southern business interests were clamouring to unlock. And they seem to have won the day at the expense - we now see - of the north, where the Reproduction (R) number was not nearly so depressed. /7
@FT @NicolaSturgeon @BorisJohnson @AndyBurnhamGM All this has proved a stormy curtain-raiser for what is coming in 2021 - #Brexit (for real) and the Holyrood elections that may well give Ms Sturgeon the platform to demand another independence referendum. When #COVID19 subsides, the Union will be the issue/8
@FT @NicolaSturgeon @BorisJohnson @AndyBurnhamGM And Brexit is material, because all those power that are being repatriated from Brussels need to be dished out - and this government has chosen to do it in a way that is pretty much as abrasive as possible, hence the hullabaloo round the UK Internal Market bill /9
@FT @NicolaSturgeon @BorisJohnson @AndyBurnhamGM All the furore round the law-breaking clauses on #Brexit have obscured the bitterness that the UK govt's approach has taken - if you have time read this report from the Centre On Constitutional Change - I will thread it another day. /10

@FT @NicolaSturgeon @BorisJohnson @AndyBurnhamGM But it gets to the nub of why #Brexit will see an English government (re)asserting itself - on food standards, on discretionary spending, on state aid - over the devolved governments at a moment of constitutional volatility that has been highlighted by #COVID19 /11
@FT @NicolaSturgeon @BorisJohnson @AndyBurnhamGM This piece we've done - a real team effort led by @robertshrimsley with me and @AndyBounds @PickardJE @MureDickie @ChrisTigheFT @bethanstaton @SarahNev @RKWinvisibleman - is a tale from the front line of the UK's coming constitutional crunch. ENDS

ft.com/content/05bcde…

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More from @pmdfoster

21 Oct
🚨🇪🇺🇬🇧🌭🍗🥩🍖🇪🇺🇬🇧🚨British sausage makers face EU freeze after Brexit - my latest via @FT with ⁦@JudithREvans⁩ ...a tale that illustrates how many odds and sods need tying up. Stay with me! 1/thread
on.ft.com/37sxphk
@FT @JudithREvans So first the issue itself, and then the question: is it really a big deal? Can't it be, won't it be fixed?

The issue: on current EU 'export health certificates' there is basically no 'box' to tick that allows meat 'preparations' (sausages, mince etc) to be sent in chilled form/2
@FT @JudithREvans So here is a specimen certificate for beef products put out by @DefraGovUK recently...you'll see mince must be frozen. Which is a problem if a) your client wants it chilled b) doesn't have facilities to defrost c) wants premium product /3

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f687df7…
Read 13 tweets
20 Oct
As 'no deal' risk rises, why is business not getting more ready for new #Brexit borders? Well, its #COVID19, plus rubbish govt comms, plus assumption that some 11th hour fix will happen - again. My latest with @DanielThomasLDN

ft.com/content/746f08…
@DanielThomasLDN First #Covid_19 As @BCCAdam tells us, business is just too busy fighting the "five alarm fire" of coronavirus to have the time, money and general bandwidth to start damping down for a fire that isn't yet actually lapping at the door /2
@DanielThomasLDN @BCCAdam Or as Craig Beaumont, of the Federation for Small Businesses @fsb_policy puts it even more bluntly many businesses are focusing on “surviving to Christmas” rather than what happens on January 1. /3
Read 19 tweets
16 Oct
End of a long week in #Brexit world. But next week, after this week's chest-beating will be key.

Can this move now? Or is it stuck? It's not about fish, ultimately, it's about LPF/Governance and what 'strings' the UK can accept in exchange for a 'zero/zero' FTA. /1
So @BorisJohnson say he "only wants Canada-style" deal, but actually CETA took years to negotiate because it was a line-by-line deal, with tariffs and quotas that opens a can of worms on competing EU27 interest. The UK actually wants a quick n dirty zero/zero deal. So.../2
@BorisJohnson By opting not to extend #Brexit transition period, that "real" Canada-like FTA is off the table.

The squeeze is on and while the EU will move on fish, it will ultimately only do a deal with the "commensurate" (see Political Declaration) levels of LPF. And there lies the row. /3
Read 8 tweets
15 Oct
Right. We are getting to the twitchy bit now. Who will fold first as the #Brexit crucible intensifies?

The EU side appears to bet that Boris Johnson will. But are they right?

Latest @FT #Brexit briefing is out 1/thread

ft.com/content/5fe027…
@FT First the status update. Another weeks of incremental nothingburger talks. Another call between @BorisJohnson and @vonderleyen with both sides expressing "disappointment" that not enough moves made on fish/LPF/governance to get the deal Mr Johnson wanted by #EUCO. /2
@FT @BorisJohnson @vonderleyen EU leaders have met and basically shrugged - original instruction to @MichelBarnier to "intensify" talks diluted to "continue" and clear that up to UK to "make the necessary moves" to get a deal.

Well guess what? The UK say the same. So what now??? /3
Read 20 tweets
13 Oct
NEW: Where EU chemicals Assoc boss Marco Mensink @MMens and UK's Assoc Simon Marsh @See_Chem_Bus warn of coming "double whammy" to chemicals industry from #Brexit and new EU rules - now accepting deal will be v thin. via @ft w @Michael_Pooler
/1


ft.com/content/d73436…
@MMens @See_Chem_Bus @FT @Michael_Pooler Both bosses now seem to accept that a data-sharing deal to enable UK to build parallel REACH chemicals database won't happen - but still want decent Annex in FTA on chemicals to try and mitigate damage - details on dual registration regime here/2

@MMens @See_Chem_Bus @FT @Michael_Pooler The immediate issue is that UK companies will need a EU "only representative" for trade in EU (not clear that high % yet done this) which is worrying @MMens and others.../3
Read 6 tweets
13 Oct
Lord Agnew to @CommonsTreasury says "I cannot give you a date" when the Northern Ireland border operating model will be published. Admits "I am worried about it" given sensitivities. #Brexit

parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/49…
@CommonsTreasury Adds 200 NI businesses have registered for the govt £200m Trader Support Service, out of 10,000 traders that need to be reached by "D-Day".

Reasonably confident they'll get rest signed up, but again admits worried. /2
@CommonsTreasury Explains delay in announcing TSS because govt was "agonising" over monopolising a service that should be provided by private sector. Admits, again "I am very worried about it." [Being ready] /3
Read 12 tweets

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